The Central Maryland Team
Greg J., Aaron S., Jason M., Emily R. Connor M., Mike N.

A present for Washington's Birthday?

Current NWS advisory for the Baltimore-Washington area

1:00 PM Mon 2/21/2011 Forecaster Jason: Good afternoon and Happy President's Day! With an arctic front creeping south across the region, temperatures will remain steady or fall slowly from the 40's to the upper 30's this afternoon. Light rain this evening will changeover to snow tonight.

AMOUNTS: A Winter Storm Warning has just been issued for northern portions of the region for tonight, with a Winter Weather Advisory for the remainder of the area. We still expect 3-6 inches of snow tonight for most areas, with slightly higher amounts possible near the Mason Dixon line and lower amounts for southern Anne Arundel County.

TIMING & IMPACTS: Snow will by nightfall will become heavy overnight, falling at the rate of 1-2" per hour in some locations. The snow should begin exiting the region between 6 - 9AM tomorrow, with highs only reaching the mid 30s. Temperatures will fall through the 20's overnight into Wednesday, with extnsive refreezing of slush on untreated roadways, bridges and overpasses. It is highly likely this storm system will affect school schedules both Tuesday and Wednesday mornings, as temperatures do not appear to go much above freezing until late in the week.

We will continue posting updates throughout the day on this pending snow event for the region.


7:15 AM Mon 2/21/2011 Forecaster Winterman - FINAL CALL:Good morning Maryland! Right now temps are above freezing, but a arctic air comes in tonight, problems will arise by Tuesday morning. Today we will see cloudy skies, with some rain possible this morning. We stay dry for most of the afternoon, until rain arrives again by 7PM. Some sleet could be mixed in immediately with this rain in the northern counties of Central MD which would give proof to a much quicker change over to snow. All areas should be expected to be covered in snow shortly after midnight if not before. Now for our FINAL CALL! We have decided to increase our projected amounts to a general 3-6" of snow accumulation by mid-morning on Tuesday. We do believe it is very possible the northern counties such as Carroll, Baltimore, and Harford counties see locally higher amounts. The reason for this increase in accumulation: All model trends point to more along these lines, and we do believe temperatures will stay in the 40's today which will allow snow to fall earlier than expected and stick to the roads fairly easily.
4:05 PM 2/20/2011
Good afternoon central Maryland! After a very hectic day yesterday, calm conditions have returned to the area along with seasonably average temperatures. Tonight, there is a slight chance for some rain showers, with some sleet mixing in as you head north, but the main threat for wintry weather will be tomorrow night. Currently we believe that precipitation, in the form of rain, will begin throughout the area between 6 and 7 PM Monday night, but will transition to all snow between 11pm and 3am, from north to south. Snow should come to an end around the area by 9am on Tuesday morning. As far as accumulations are concerned, we believe that a general 2-4" will fall in central Maryland with locally higher amounts, especially to the north. Please be prepared to take some extra time to school and work Tuesday morning. We do expect the morning commute to be affected. Please stay tuned for our Final Call being released by 12:00pm tomorrow.
(Written by: Forecaster Connor Contributors: Forecasters Winterman and Jason M & Advisors Lear and Winstead)


2:10 PM 2/20/2011
Forecaster Jason: Conditions are thankfully much quieter today with surface high pressure building into the region. High and mid level clouds will continue increasing for the remainder of the day as a storm system approaches from the west. Temperatures will be seasonable in the mid to upper 40s. Southerly winds will increase late tonight to around 10-15 mph, with temperatures not falling below freezing for most areas. Heading into President's Day, temperatures will climb well into the 50s with light rain moving into the region late in the day. We still expect rain to transition to snow overnight, and we will post an updated statement later today regarding this storm system.


7:15 AM 2/11/2011
Forecaster Winterman: Happy Friday Maryland! Many temps are in the cold teens this morning, but highs will get into the mid-upper 30's this afternoon. We continue to stay dry, and we await the warm up into the lower 50's by Sunday in most areas. This warm-up will last through next weekend as a preview to spring, but we all know Mother Nature loves to tease. It is possible for the suburbs to stay just below 50 degrees Sunday-Wednesday, but by Thursday of next week all will be in the mid-upper 50's! Have a great day! (Map: Projected temps for this afternoon and evening from the NWS).
10:00 AM Thu 2/10/2011
Forecaster Winterman: Good morning Maryland! Most places directly around Baltimore ended up with just a coating of snow last night, but as you went further south you might have seen up to an inch or two. The picture this morning comes from our photocaster Emily Rund, which represents this light snowfall quite well. Today's and tomorrow's temps will not get out of the mid-upper 20's, but don't worry 50 degree weather is on the horizon by Sunday! It seems like we will stay dry for the next 5 days, which will bring relief to all of our forecasters and anyone who is ready for a few spring-like days! Have a great day!


9:45 PM 2/9/2011 - Forecaster Aaron Salter: Light snow will continue to our south, but for our area, only flurries and possible snow showers are expected. Temperatures will drop down into the upper teens overnight. Clouds will rapidly decrease across the area Thursday with northerly winds only allowing high temperatures to barely reach 30. Hang in there central MD, after one more cold day Friday, a milder airmass will be ushered into the region over the weekend with high temperatures by Sunday near 50° Have a great night!




5:35 PM Wednesday 2/9/2011 The storm system south of the region may spread flurries into southern portions of the area late this evening, continuing into the overnight hours. The best chance for a light dusting of snow will be in areas closer to Washington, D.C. The latest snowfall forecast imagery from the Sterling VA NWS can be found via this link: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/lwx/winterstorm/





Clouds will rapidly decrease across the area tomorrow with northerly winds only allowing high temperatures to reach the lower 30s. After one more cold day Friday, a milder airmass will be ushered into the region over the weekend with high temperatures by Sunday near 50°

11:10 AM 2/9/2011 Forecaster Winterman: One year ago today, we were shaking our shovels in disbelief saying, "Not again!" as our third blizzard of the 2009-2010 winter was about to begin. Today is a much different story, though temps are downright cold and highs will barely crack 32.

Clouds will be around the area this afternoon due to a storm system which will pass to our south tonight into Thursday. Another very cold night is in store, as shown by the Sterling NWS temperature map to the left for 4 AM tomorrow. However, if you are sick of all these cold days we have had this winter you are in luck! Spring-like temps in the low 50's will arrive this weekend and stick around into next week! So relief is in order, we just need to get through this work week. Have a great Wednesday!er Winterman and Mr.

WEATHER

38 comments:

BioPat said...

great job, thanks!

Rufus said...

Hey all Hope I'm doing this right LOL Looks great ya'll

Anonymous said...

Where can I find the full moon picture please?

saraleecz said...

Any chance the storm could slow up and give us more snow? I need a good snow, i.e. more than the little snow offerings we have been getting. NEXT week, is it Monday into Tuesday timeframe??Maybe THIS one will be bigger...

Anonymous said...

on the radar looks like precip shield is expanding more then models anticipated while most of it is virga though it is a good sign. is it me or does the radar look stronger further south then the models anticipated and doesnt that have to move east towards us?

And Mr. Foot with snow totals in the midwest higher then expected with many 6-8 totals is that a good thing for us with the S/W comming from the north west still?

Amy said...

I took a nap for an hour and the temp dropped 6 degrees. Getting cold out there. Feels like there's a real bite to it.

Rufus said...

Hey All! Be checking in later. Need to read some like when does it start :)

HoCoKtchr said...

Good evening to all! Patiently awaiting the snow to hit the ground...enough of this virga!

Just checked in on the FF FB page...geesh.... I am glad we have the comment section here is all I will say! No one reads a map-they just like to type "how much snow in ( insert town here) ? "

I have my Manwich ready...just in case and will be interested in reading everyone's thoughts tonight! :)

HoCoKtchr said...

BTW....the moon picture is on the FB page!

Anne said...

Still waiting for any advisories or watches to be posted? When and will this happen? Usually my weatherbug icon is lighting up by this point.

Allison said...

There is an advisory for Harford County, not sure where you are?

Allison said...

Oh, and didn't mean for that ^ to sound sippy...really just meant...not sure where your neck of the woods is :)

Rufus said...

how much snow will 21228 get :)...I miss my emocons :) Ho Co I'm with you nuff with the virga let's move it!!!!!! DP is 23* according to my weatherbug and temp is 36* As that gap closes we know the air is getting more daaaaamp! Henry Margusity said it's snowing in State College PA...odd for a storm that is supposed to be coming up from the south. I guess a low will form off the coast?

Are you trying to tell me something>? my word to type is mentl :P

Cathy in Bel Air said...

Glad to see chatter and some familiar names, I thought I had lost everyone! This new site is nice but a little confusing...at least for me! HoCotchr - I agree with you about the FB page comments. This is where I come to get the real info presented with a bit, (okay a LOT) of humor :) , and always explained for those of us without the background knowledge of weather. Thanks a bunch!

Mary said...

You are all right about the FB page. I get tired of reading how much snow will _________ get? cracks me up. My cousin lives in Cumberland and she said it is snowing like crazy there. Calling for 3-6 for her. I really hope this storm does it's thing during the critical time in the am. I would like another long weekend. Looking forward to seeing what Andy has to say.
Oh btw....when the site upgrade is finished, will there be one comment page or different pages for each area?

Lori said...

I've decided I would rather post here too than on FB. Some of the posters there are insane...yeah, the how much IMBY (even with a snow map posted at a first grade level) and the "it's going to snow two weeks from now...will schools be closed". Even the ones that interject their own forecast...geesh! So waving hi to everyone here and looking forward to chatting with everyone :)

Matt S said...

Weatherbug is now calling for only an inch in Howard County.... let's hope they're wrong!! I'm still keeping faith that we can get 3-6 out of this storm.... c'mon mother nature!!

Rufus said...

Matt this morning they were calling for no snow...well they didn't mention snow so they were not calling for it LOL!

I like to be able to look @ RH and DP...Wind Direction and speed...the forecast is sometimes meh!

Rufus said...

Sorry Hi Lori!

Lori said...

Hi Rufus!

Leslie said...

I like following the comments here too. I usually just read what you guys have to say, but it is nice to see the same people commenting. Bring the snow!!

Ravensbbr said...

Ravens: suck

Snow (lack of): suck

Hmmmmmm...got it! Moving to Wisconsin: snow in abundance, and a team that's still in it.

Where does one find a cheesehead on short notice?

:-)

Jen - Red Lion said...

Ended up with about 3.25" here. Not shabby..Just waiting for the salt truck and plow.

Let's hope next week's storm is all snow...we will all be benefiting from it somehow

Amy said...

As much as I love snow, I must admit, no snow day today makes for a much happier exam period. I know we all want as much as we can get, but it seems like a pretty normal year for snow in the Ho Co area, or am I imagining things?

HoCoKtchr said...

How'd we get the old comments here from last week??? Hmmm...perhaps because of that boxing match between Mr. Foot and Andy??? Andy wanted the "old" comments back...technically they are! LOL!

NeedaSnowday said...

If you scroll down to the next "section".. you will find the boxing match comments.. :)

HoCoKtchr said...

I know...but I do think it is funny that the old ones are up at the top of the page! Ironic! :)

Sadly, it looks like the JETS are not going to help make it a green Superbowl! Oh well...just another game then...will mostly be watching that score for a friendly "Superbowl" pool! Dagnabit!

Anonymous said...

Someone order up a hailstorm and take out Heinz Field right now. The Jets can't do it, the Steelers must be stopped by any means necessary...

NeedaSnowday said...

hear ya HoCoK...

no way Jets come back .. no way.. looks like I will be watching the PUPPY BOWL instead.. they are much cuter anyway!

Julie said...

All the comments from yesterday gone?

ANDY Southern York County, PA said...

I am going to now cast this storm. Models are everywhere. State College NWS felt this storm would track more west of guidance earlier when guidance was west. Gfs went east earlier this evening. If their logic holds that might be a good thing. Will see what 0z runs tell us. Anyway, no matter what they say they will shift again I'm sure. So this isa wait and see storm.

Mary said...

Andy I read your earlier post. I know where Norrisville Elem. is. I used to pass that all the time going to Taylor Haus. Are you near Maizequest?

ANDY Southern York County, PA said...

Not too far. I'm about 7-8 miles to the northeast of Taylor Haus. It is like a 10 minute drive from me.

Rachel-RL said...

NWS STATE COLLEGE UPDATED 5:22 AM

...LATEST NCEP WWD SNOWFALL IS HEAVILY WEIGHTED ON THE ECMWF SOLUTION...
AND RANGES FROM 2-4" OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS (WITH LITTLE IF
ANY SNOWFALL NORTH OF I-80) TO 8-10" OVER EASTERN LANCASTER COUNTY
OVER MY FAR SOUTHEAST. OBVIOUSLY...SLIGHT CHANGES IN THE TRACK AND
INTENSITY AND ORIENTATION OF KEY BOUNDARY LAYER FEATURES/LLJ WILL
BE PARAMOUNT TO EVENTUAL SNOW ACCUMS. FOR NOW...MEAN GEFS STORM
TOTAL PRECIP AND ECMWF QPF ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT AND
STRONGLY SUPPORT A LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL FOR CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF CENTRAL PA BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
WRAPPING UP BEFORE 12Z THU.

WITH THIS IN MIND...DID NOT MAKE MUCH IN THE WAY OF CHANGES TO
GOING GRIDS FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD AS OVERALL SCENARIO IS
DEPICTED WELL IN CURRENT FORECASTS AND EXACT DETAILS WON`T BE
KNOWN FOR STILL SOME TIME. A FEW TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW APPEAR
LIKELY FROM PLACES LIKE STATE COLLEGE AND ALTOONA TO LANCASTER AND
YORK...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR 6" OR MORE EXTENDING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF A BLOOMSBURG TO LEWISTOWN TO BEDFORD LINE...

Rufus said...

Andy you r right.

Darn Jets!

I'll check in later got to get moving :)

Mary said...

ok Bressi just posted 3-6 in on the back end of rain or out to sea. When is this storm supposed to happen?

Ok Andy now I know aprox where you are. I am very familiar with the apple places out there. Loved Taylor Haus. Had the best broasted chicken. So sorry it is closed now. Once it was sold, it didn't do as well.

BioPat said...

Currently  I am reading that the models are coming to some kind of agreement, however with the system arriving later on Wednesday, how many more times will the models change.  Today I explained the concept of "nowcasting" to the students; they really enjoyed Terp's comments on the storm situation.

Rufus said...

what's the scoop? awwww comfi is my word