Friday, January 31, 2014

Now is the winter of our discontent

Now is the winter of our discontent
- 1594 Shakespeare play Richard III: Act 1, Scene 1
- 1961 novel by John Steinbeck

Photo credit: The Science Comedian.
Disclaimer: The amount of snow on the reader, or in the background,  should not be interpreted as
a subliminal "forecast" of how much snow we "actually" will fall in the storm early next week. ;-)

6:45 PM EST 1/31/14 As we approach the weekend, and many eyes turn to the Superbowl, we are also watching two potential storms for wintry precipitation. We also believe it is important to note the wide ranging effects of this multi-day event could have a high impact on much of the country, as indicated by this latest U.S. Hazards Assessment shown below from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. 

The first is a small wave that would impact the Mid-Atlantic states mainly on Monday, as it travels along the trailing cold front passing on Sunday. The second storm is much larger, but potentially warmer too as it would pick up moisture from both the eastern Pacific and the Gulf of Mexico. This storm would be set for Tuesday into Wednesday.

Precipitation forecasts for the Monday event are for mostly a wintry mix. It is uncertain if the system will pass to our south, or move slightly north and bring a minor-moderate snow event to central MD. As is normally the case with complex winter storms in the Eastern U.S., several outcomes are possible depending on how the different waves of low pressure interact with cold air in the region.

At this time, we current see three possible scenarios: