Monday, September 12, 2016

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What About Winter? 
Part One - Clues from Summer

Finally, as the heat takes a break, we can get the winter forecast gears warmed up with this question: How many school closing curveballs and schedule shutouts could happen this winter? Science students and the FF team are on the case. 

The preliminary report begins below the bullet summary:

  • The above normal temperature pattern in East, connected to growing below normal pattern in West, may be early sign this winter could start like 2015-16: Mild first half, stormy and cold second half.
  • Seasonal melt-off of Arctic sea ice appears on level with readings of the past 3 years, not as low as the September 2012 record meltoff.
  • Rapid transition of El Nino to La Nina conditions sets stage for surprise ice events throughout the season ahead, especially in the Mid-Atlantic.
Orioles Opening Day in April 2003. Photo credit: The Baltimore Sun


Late summer in the Foot's Forecast team is the start of our seasonal process to identify how pre-winter indicators stand so as to detect developing trends. Large scale hemispheric trends known to influence how winter develops in the Mid-Atlantic include frequency and location of tropical systems, sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific and end-of-summer Arctic sea ice meltoff. 

In September 2016, this investigation will be conducted by science students at several high schools in the Baltimore metropolitan area, in collaboration with member of our team across the Mid-Atlantic. Initial findings released arround September 15, draft projections by October 1, full winter assessment by October 30.

Click below if ready for a sneak peek...

Thursday, September 8, 2016

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A special opportunity for you.

While the weather is calm for now, we are excited to announce this special news! If you or those you know are house hunting in Baltimore County, Maryland, the FF family home in Dundalk, MD was recently listed on the market for sale. 

We are thrilled to share this big step and invite an online sneak peek at what has been such a blessing and gem to us. If interested in further details or to arrange a visit, please feel welcome to contact the listing agent directly. 
Harris Weingrad, RE/MAX Allegiance:
                             1720 Wisconsin Ave NW WashingtonDC  20007                        
Cell 202.569.1600 | Office 202.338.8900

Friday, September 2, 2016

1 comment:
Weathering the weekend 
with Tropical Storm Hermine

6:00 AM Fri 9/2 - Weekend plans at the shore? Hosting an outdoor activity? You WILL need a Plan B, we guarantee it.
The expected track of now-Tropical Storm Hermine this weekend has prompted Tropical Storm Watches to be posted for the entire Mid-Atlantic coastline from:

* Virginia Beach and the Southern Chesapeake Bay to Smith Point;
* the Atlantic coasts of Maryland and Delaware,
* the New Jersey coast to Sandy Hook.

The current Advisory and Track map from the NOAA National Hurricane Center. The Tropical Storm Watches are shown in yellow below.

Period of highest impacts in these areas at this point will be Saturday morning through Sunday evening, including winds of 40 mph or greater for the coastline, rainfall of 2-4" and tidal flooding. Waves along the MD and DE coast of 10-12 feet are possible by Saturday afternoon. 

An hourly weather chart for Ocean City, MD as one example reveals just how nasty conditions will be through Sunday. Top line is wind gusts -- near 50 mph for 12+ hours!

Full details on specific impacts for different areas across the region:
For areas west of the Chesapeake Bay including the Baltimore-Washington metro area, currently we expect impacts from Hermine will include:

  • Winds of 15-25 mph Sat into Sun AM;
  • Occasional rain of less than 1.0" 
  • Tides about 1 foot above normal

This storm will remain a complex and evolving situation through the weekend impacting all of us in many ways. It is possible the storm may slow down by Monday and even move back toward the coast -- requiring major changes to current forecasts.
We will effort to keep you advised as information becomes available. Please continue monitoring your local NWS office websites for the most current advisories at

-Foot's Forecast Tropical Team