Monday, October 4, 2004

TROUBLE BREWING IN THE GULF...TEXAS/LA COAST TO GET FLOODING RAIN

The satellite image shown below is a growing tropical wave that is showing signs of developing.
It may not get named before it reaches the northern Gulf coast, and drench the area from eastern Texas to central Louisiana with several inches of rain and 25-35 mph winds.

That would seem to qualify as a tropical depression, but the NHC does not see evidence of a circulation or a deep enough pressure to classify it yet.

Beware the ghost of Opal, which in 1995 started out in the same area as a weak storm, and literally overnight did a Charley....in this case going from a weak Category 1 to a strong 3 in the space of 6 hours, catching many in the Appalachiacola area by total surprise. October is the time of year for rapid development in the Gulf since water temperatures are now at their warmest of the entire season.

Otherwise the tropical Atlantic is quiet, only a few minor waves floating here and there.

May see the first frost of the season in PA and northern MD Tuesday or Wednesday morning. Overall, October is expected to remain above normal in temperatures, which portends good things for the powderhounds.


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