Wednesday, March 2, 2005



A quick look at the next 2 weeks indicates that we (the Northeast U.S.) are locked in an cold, windy and stormy pattern that will produce another minor to moderate snowfall on Saturday-Sunday from the Mid-Altantic into New England. This will be followed by a brief warmup on Monday-Tuesday of next week which will reload the cold in eastern Canada and allow it to explode southward right before a new storm arrives from the Southwest U.S. This storm has the potential to become Kahuna 3. (A Big Kahuna as referred to on this site would be a storm which delivers at least 12” of snow to a major east coast city.) Please note that I have not read anyone else's analysis on this, it's only me, the models and my mind.

The timeframe for this event is Wednesday-Thursday, and it will be followed by a tremendous surge of Arctic air at least 20 degrees below normal blasting southward to engulf the entire eastern third of the country right into the weekend of the 11th.

From next weekend forward into St. Patrick’s Day, the pattern is ripe to deliver a continous round of cold blasts and small clipper storms, any of which has the potential to develop snow on their way to and once they reach the coast. This summary is based on an analysis of the current GFS model output and a consideration of upper air indicators, as well as the 2-week trends of the North Atlantic Oscillation, among other things. A detailed analysis of each of the factors follows this section.

WEDNESDAY: As you have already figured out, it will be cold and windy. Not a pleasant day for the start of spring sports. The remnant low from Kahuna 1.75 is swirling in the Gulf of Maine and the entire Northeast is being raked by backlash winds and flurries, except for the Great Lakes, which have turned on the snow machine again for their cities..extending into western and central PA.

THURSDAY: As the low departs, the leftover snow will lessen and disappear. Continued cold, blustery, and well… more like January than March with a high of 38 in Baltimore when it should be 52 by now. Fields partially snow covered (in Baltimore)

FRIDAY: Slight warming ahead of the first of many clippers as it dives southeast from the Lakes. Otherwise dry and still a little windy. Fields wet with some snow still.

SATURDAY: This clipper has the potential to deliver up to 4” in western and central PA with perhaps 1-2” in southeast PA until it can reach the coast and tap Atlantic moisture. A straight east track across PA to NJ would deliver snow on the north side to New York, Long Island and possibly SE New England. A northeast track would bring more snow to New York and New England. The maximum extend of snowfall would be 4-8” but that is unlikely. A general 2-4” snow seems reasonable from Pittsburgh and the Seven Springs area streaking eastward, bisecting the PA/MD line. Some models are sending this into Virginia with a healthy little 3-6" snow there...probably too far south. More on this as it gets closer.

SUNDAY: Lingering flurries and chilly with some wind.

MONDAY-TUESDAY: A new system approaching the eastern Great Lakes will send welcome southwest winds across the Northeast, raising temperatures to about 5 degrees below normal. For example DC should be 53 by then, but will actually be 47. Baltimore 52, actually 45 and so on.

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY: This is the current timeframe targeted for development and impact of Kahuna 3, which is expected to form on the heels of the leftover front from the front runner low going through the Lakes. Arrival time would be early to mid-morning Wednesday, lasting into Thursday morning. Cold air will quickly recharge behind the front runner low, and snow would quickly break out along the I-95 corridor given this setup. Liquid equivalents being pegged to this event at .75 – 1.25 for the major cities. With a snow ratio of 10 to perhaps 15:1…the potential exists for 12 to 18 inches to fall out of the SKY. However, as we have learned in our last storm, 2 days of warming will allow roads to be above freezing at onset of the snow. The difference is there much more cold air is expected to accompany this storm, so snowfall rates will be higher, but perhaps 3-4 inches will be lost to melting. What will appear to be a 12-18 inch storm may be cut down to an 8-12 inch storm…but temperatures on Wednesday 3/9 and Thursday 3/10 could be in the upper 20’s, so that will enable the storm to somewhat counter daytime solar heating.

Remember the March 1993 Blizzard occurred on 3/11, and despite higher sun angle and days of 50 F I advance of the stor, every major city from Atlanta, GA to Portland, ME got 12 inches or more, ON THE ROADS.

HOW CERTAIN ARE WE OF THIS SCENARIO? As the NWS would say, confidence is medium to low. If the storm develops but the upper level polar vortex sitting nearby in eastern Canada is somehow not involved, it will be a snow to rainstorm for most areas. If the vortex gets involved early in the game, it will resemble the March 93 Superstorm.

WHAT DOES MR. FOOT THINK? Well as a card-carrying Powderhound, you know I am rooting for snow, but only if the atmospheric dynamics support the idea. Our last storm was nice, but not enough cold air was available to let it crank up the way you or I wanted. This time around, the TRUE cold air is being held at bay BECAUSE of the storm which passed, and the next two coming. The front runner Low on Monday-Tuesday is the key to allow direct discharge of polar air behind it into the Northeast. The NAO continues it’s long march into another universe (-6, -8 we have no idea really) and I think that is one of the critical elements which can give rise to another significant snow event.

WHAT EFFECT WILL THIS HAVE ON THE MONTH IN GENERAL? This over-abundance of cold which should have been spent in December, January and February is now being worked out of the system. It will take a while to do this, probably 2-3 weeks. I would not expect a consistent return to normal temperatures until at least the weekend AFTER St. Patty’s Day. But I do think March will follow it’s traditional route… in like a lion, out like a lamb. It is not impossible to see much-above normal temperatures by Easter, maybe 70 F? Maybe 80 F ? It has happened before, and this March I believe will go to the extremes for both sides of the aisle.


Unfortunately I had network problems this morning, and was not able to complete the next section, but I will put that online later today or tonight. Here is the one paragraph summary:

Last big storm sends heat pumping into the Labrador Low and Azores High pressure ridge poking into Greenland. This warm air enhances both systems, creating a double barrel flow into far northeast Canada. The polar vortex now located in SE Canada is blocked by these two systems. Each Low that passes by uses it’s counterclockwise motion to enhance the double barrel effect which puts increasing pressure on the 500 mb Polar Vortex swirling about. Meanwhile a strong west coast ridge forces the split jet stream to ridge up over the ridge into far northwestern Canada, and the rides down east side of rockies towards northeast. The “front runner” low on Tuesday is going to be little boy who pulls his finger out of the dam, allowing the Vortex air to come charging in behind that system right into the face of the newly energized southern stream riding along the southwest winds ahead of the front runner cold front. Combine these two forces together with the possibility of phasing along the Mid-Atlantic coast and you have a major snowstorm on the docket.

Storm Grading: reports still coming in, thank you to all who posted on that. When all data is in we will do a roundup of the grades and an overall GPA for the storm forecast.

Tuesday morning 3/1 update

I hope you have enjoyed this late winter celebration. Powderhounds should feel amply fed by now given that many locations in the Northeast, including my home here in Dundalk, MD have received about 12 inches of snow in the past 5 days. The storm is still raging fiercely in New England, and the cold air we've been avoiding for most of the past month is striking back with a vengence.

It is a bittersweet ending for those of us heading back to school today. I realize many who read the site are not in education and don't have that little perk called a snowday unless it is a massive storm. My headline from last Thursday night was not too far Harford County Schools get a six day vacation, and the rest of us get a 5.25 day weekend. Not too bad considering that Mr. Marty Bass in Baltimore said as recently as last Tuesday: "No winter activity in the next 5 days." I can revise that to say, "No excessive late nights blogging about winter activity in the next 5 days."


We all probably need a break from this twilight zone by going back to our regular life for a while. So in your time of reflection as you look back on this storm and this winter, I need your help with a few things. It is time to consider what changes or improvements that should be made with this site to keep it fresh and delivering the information you need. So here are my points for you to ponder between now and the LAST KAHUNA sometime in the March 8-11 time frame.

1. Storm Grading. I need someone who is willing to be my "storm grader", especially for this event. Have a ski trip coming up Saturday, another one next Saturday and just generally catching up on life means I would like someone to take over this job at least for the next 2 weeks until winter runs out of calendar. All you have to do is use the Snowfall Observation Links and compare the final totals against the forecasted amounts. The grade is based on deviation from the actual. So in Dundalk, I predicted 7" and we have 5.5 in the backyard. That's a 78% = C. If the amount goes OVER the predicted, same deal. 9" prediction in Boston, but 12" snowfall would be graded same way. First come first served... be the first to post a comment volunteering and the job is yours.

2. Ask And Ye Shall Receive. What do you want to see on this site? How can the information be conveyed differently or better so storm forecasting is in line with what you want to know. I have been trying to adhere to the "Weather, Analysis, Philosophy" approach to keep it simple. If wee have one more big storm, how should this last one be handled in terms of what to forecast when? You're the customer, you tell me what you want.

3. Storm Wrapup. I would like for someone to provide a brief review of the storm for the archives. This job would be reserved for those who have a fairly thorough understanding of atmospheric dynamics, fully comprehend all the technical jargon on the site, and know at least intrinsically how the computer model data is used. You will be credited as the author. I am looking for an independent analysis of how the storm matched our expectations and that of the computer models. I am also looking for a discussion of why the forecasting was so variable and why we believe there was so much variance in model output even during the event.

4. Spring-a-ling Services. As we head into Spring, my focus shifts away from forecasting because I really don't care that much about non-storms. If it is nice and sunny, good, I am happy. If it is raining, good, the plants are getting watered. However the suggestion has been made to provide site specific forecasting for Athletic Directors in Baltimore County. (No offense to other readers in the Northeast, the Baltimore Metro region is my main area of focus in non-storm periods). I could do a very brief chalktalk forecast each day on what impacts there might be to spring sports. Would this be of value to anyone? It is not nearly as time consuming as storm prediction.

5. Any Other Ideas? If you have any other suggestions, now is the time before our thoughts turn to spring. Strike while the iron is hot. Pretend it is December and we are gearing up for Winter Storm season...what do you wish you would have had at your disposal then you don't have now in terms of weather information?

The pattern that just got fired up is not going anywhere for the next 10-15 days. We remain in a cold and stormy pattern that will keep temps 10 to 15 degrees below normal, making spring practice and scrimmages very very unpleasant. I ran and coached track, I know how biting that wind can be in March. I don't see the pattern breaking until...the last storm. Time frame is somewhere between next Wednesday and Friday. Some Accuweather meteorologists are already thinking about this, so I cannot take credit for claiming I called it first. But I can tell you that with the NAO remaining super incredibly negative, the PNA trending positive, the Atlantic Ridge building, the Gulf Stream warming, the SOI crashing and El Nino hanging tough... the setup remains firmly in place to deliver one more fairly Big Kahuna before winter takes a bow and exits stage left.

I will have more information about this in a couple days. Until then, enjoy the peace and serenity of our most recent snowfall.


Terpboy said...

I'll do my "Terpboy 24" if that's OK...any body who wants to do won't hurt my feelings.

For what it's worth the main drag (2ndary) has been salted down to pavement.

Drive carefully!


YOD said...

my my my- such a quiet time here in blogland.

where oh where have all the weatheheads gone,?

are they out measuring the snow, waiting for the school bus, or sleeping in pretending they are sick.

Have a great day getting back to reality.


Drew said...

accuweather mentions that next MAJOR event on east coast to take place sometime between 10th - 15th.... possible phasing?
Also another 3-6" possible in mid atlantic Saturday

James Shannon said...

Getting hammered here in SE Michigan, 5-6" on the ground in Washtenaw County and still falling...!

Drew said...

ps.. also looks like the cold is now locked in the east for next 2 weeks... and beyond?

Frank said...

By Rutgers here in CNJ we have picked up 7 1/2". It is still snowing very lightly, but I think that the 7 1/2 will be the total. Predicted 6" here with sleet mixed. No mixing, but overall I would say B+. Like you said yesterday, NJ is a tough state, but I think you did a fine job. Thanks for all the information and time that you put into this.

Andy, Southern York County PA said...

About 7-8 inches here in southern york county. Hard to measure because had some wind and the tendency for the snow to pack down a little. But all in all a nice average snowfall. We need a storm with better timing to close work down. One that starts at night and covers the roads by morning, and is still coming down through the rush. I STILL NEED A SNOWDAY! Had 2 last year. 0 this year. Will the next 2 weeks bring one? Drum roll...

E.H. Boston said...

Light snows are wrapping up here in Boston...calling for another inch here today/tonight. ALL SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY. Storm accumulation officially is 8.5" at Logan, but I measure 9". Also Woburn is checking in with 8.5". Big winner was Carver, MA on the South Shore where they picked up 16" of snow! Quiet weather looks to be the rule for the rest of the week...snow pack here is back up to 14-17" on the ground. Good luck shoveling...29 deg here...already 40 deg. in DC and Baltimore. Hope you guys are enjoying the snow while it lasts. See ya.

Foot's Forecast said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Foot's Forecast said...

E.H.. how bout that storm? Was the call not for 9 inches. Do you not have 9 inches? That is the second A in a row for you. Maybe I should give it up here in Baltimore and just forecast for Boston from now.

There is a few more storms in the pipeline out another 10 days or so. Shades of March 1993? I will investigate the extended range models and see what they are sniffing. Hopefully someone gave the NAM some NYQUIL and let it sleep in a day or two.

I love it when a forecast verifies almost to the exact amount. It is worth the effort that goes into it.

E.H. Boston said...

Here are the snowfall totals so far...may add another inch with a few snow showers this afternoon.

Boston: 8.5" (Logan) (Pre: 9")

Woburn: 9.0" (Pre: 8")

Providence: 6.7" (Pre: 12")

Worcester: 6.1" (Pre: 10")

Hartford: 5.9" (Pre: 8")

E.H. Boston said...

My grades for you:

Boston: A
Woburn: A-
Providence: D
Worcester: C
Hartford: B

Snowfall amounts are likely to rise, so grades are a little higher than the math says.

Baseball, for my kids, start March 21st. Do you think all of the snow will be melted by then? Will it be a mudfest. One of my sons is a senior and the captain and my other son is a away my age. They are looking forward to nice weather by then. Unfortunatly they may have to start practice in the gym. Next storm for next kids have already used 5 SNOW DAYS...any more and the school year is extended past June 22nd or 23rd for my two younger ones, senior gets out the first week of May. Hope all the snow is melted by GRADUATION DAY. (hopefully) The skiing in the White Mts. and Maine will be great until mid May...some maniacs will be skiing on the highest mts. till mid June. They are nuts. See ya.

ocdonweather said...

Mr. Foot,
I think that would be outstanding to have a page or comments for Athletic Directors during the spring to monitor weather (rain) fronts that move in.I would use it daily. I usually follow WBAL web site to try and figure out if I think we can sneak a game in for that particular afternoon. However, your AD would have a hard time reading something like that! only kidding Walen is a good guy! I taught him every thing he knows!

MA Penna said...

I measured 9 inches of snow this morning in our front yard in Malvern. That's an A+, forecast was 9 inches. Good job Mr. Foot. Most of the snow melted today. Going to hit the slopes tonight.

Foot's Forecast said...

I have bad (or good) news for everyone. Bad for AD's, Good for PH's (Powderhounds)

Big Kahuna 3 is showing up on GFS 192 hour printout and she is a force to be reckoned with. Mon-Wed next week.

Liquid equivs....75 - 1.5 from DC to Boston, but get this, all those areas between the 534 and 528 dm thicknesses. That's surface air temps in mid 20's. Ratio is 15:1 so you do the math. This would be for all areas East of I-81 to the coast. 540 line is like, 100 miles off shore by Tues 7AM.

I am not making this up. Normally GFS will send up a car dealership sized storm flag about 7-10 days out, then back off back off, forget about it altogether, then start ramping it back up just a few days before.

I will post a pic on the site so you can at least dream a little about the potential of this. I'm sure Mr. dreamlittle will have something to say about it. We will watch carefully and see if the models hold to this idea or if it is only a fleeting gesture.

Thank you EH for the grade overview. Sorry the post went out 3 times, keyboard/wardrobe malfunction. (My watch was unintentionally clicking the mouse as I leaned on it.)

Mr. OCDONWX: I will explore this idea. Mr Walen is in favor, we;ll have to come up with a standardized format that would be easy to use and understand for all AD's. I used to do a feature called "SportsWeather" Or we could call it "Today's ChalkTalk" or "Today's Game Plan" I am guessing you just want to know:

A. Will it rain too much before a game that fields are overly wet

B. Will there be a risk of thunder/lightning during the game.

C. If rain falls during a game, will it be too much that a game is called?

The 4cast can be based on satellite imagery, radar, dewpoints, daytime heating. I could do a prelim post early in the AM, then a followup comment at 11:00 AM. It can be short, sweet and to the point. Tell me the date of your first major outdoor event for SPHS or DHS and I will prepare the 4cast prototype for it.

EH... one more thing, BK3 means that your school board will have to make some decisions with the calendar. I think we are all going to go over our limit if BK3 comes true.

I am wiped from all this storminess. Need a day to just sleep and not think about storms... but you know I can't resist, so I won't. BK3 update later tonight.

Hannah said...

Do you think there is still a possibility for snow this evening?

Terpboy said...

Terpboy's Twenty Four Grades-

Based on where I live: (Fallston)

Cosgrove 0400 (26th) used the "B" word, compared to '96
OVERREACTION, BUT HAD THE GUTS TO MAKE THE CALL EARLY......................................................................C+

Cosgrove 0400 (27th) r/s line Easton/Dover 12-24" not out of the question
SEE ABOVE..............R/S NOT TOO SHABBY...............C+

DT 1300 (26th) 1st guess (map) 3-6, with 25% to 15" west of Fall Line (his text STILL says "rain event"!!)
.............1ST GUESS GOOD................................................B-
DT- no update yet today....ZERO-"NOT TURNED IN"...E

Ch 2 2300 = "on fringe" snow to rain
Ch 2 0900 = couldn't get any numbers...graphic shows snow to rain..10 AM #'S TOO LATE.................................E
(Stormin' fabricating history, too!)

Ch 11 2300 = 0800 (Mon) snow, 1300 rain
Ch 11 0900 = website unchanged..................................E

Ch 13 2300 = 1-3", then rain (BOO)
Ch 13 0900 = 4-6"....(YAY)........................... (average) C


Keep in mind this was SUNDAY AM.

Wow..did anybody see the NWS has a 40% of snow tonight? I'll believe it when I shovel it.

I have never in my gazillion-year teaching career removed as much snow off of a vehicle to go right to work as I did this morning...but the roads were great!

Let's sit back and watch for K3!


Julee said...

Don't go changin' . . .

I like you just the way you are.
Oh, add in some spring/fall sports stuff for the Y chromosomes, but this site is pleasant enough just as it is.

Speaking of sports types . . . I got an exclusive today that one of your devotees was SO wrapped up in this past Sunday's BK1 posts that he was afraid that he'd be snowed in all week without adequate yeast-based liquid refreshment. Had to run out on Sunday and pay BIG BUCKS for a weeks supply. Such is the power of The FOOT.

All hail The Foot.

Am now jonesing on next week's BK Jr.

Julee said...

I agree about the incessant car cleaning. Multiple times in one outing!
What's up with THAT?
Which is why I was SURE we'd have no school today. So sure that I stayed up til 2:45 a.m. Big mistake. This morning my eyes were filled with porcupines.

Anyone else's school incur bus problems this morning?

Terpboy said...


I only cleaned my car ONCE! THIS MORNING!! I had today off as a LOCK, figured I'd get to it after I got up at 10 or so. (remember, I emailed you at 0330!)

The roads into Towson were:

a) Free of any winter debris
b) full of it like that everyday at 0900???

To my knowledge, none of our buses were late, but we had a relatively high absentee rate.

Still, it was a magnificently beautiful ride in. The burst last night had coated the trees, and they hadn't shed their snow yet.


Candy said...

I DO love snow, but I DID want to visit my sister, Julee, this coming Saturday and stay until Thursday. Think I'll be able to get BACK to Pittsburgh???

Foot's Forecast said...

If BK3 comes true on the current timetable (Tue-Wed), it should probably be clear by Thu. Then again, if I had free labor coming to my house right before a big snowstorm, I'd say "bring friends!" Could come in handy shoveling driveways, walks, etc.

E.H. Boston said...

Hi. Looking at the European and I see a storm off the coast along about Sunday that is 997mb. If this moves a little bit more NNW, could this give us some snow before BK3?

I just did the math in my head and BK3 has the potential to drop roughly 10-20" on the megalopolis. WOW! Already here in Boston it is our 6th snowiest winter ever, with 78.1" of snow so far. That looks like it WILL be raised.

mommyof3 said...

Mr Foot we are to go to Black Water Falls in WV the weekend of the 11th. Could we get snowed in:)

E.H. Boston said...

Mr. Foot, was just looking at the WINTER CENTER on and they are calling for 3-6" of snow from New York City to Boston (Southern New England. With 1-3" futher west. Check this out...could this be a SURPRISE SNOWSTORM that has even made it past your "radar screen". In your next post or comment, could you tell me what you think of this possible moderate snowstorm here in the Northeast.

E.H. Boston said...

The storm would be Sat. into Sun.

E.H. Boston said...

Here is an excerpt on the BK3 for next week:

A reinforcing shot of cold air May bring a chance of flurries late Sunday afternoon and night. However, all the long term models agree on some type of storm system that will effect the region probably Monday night and Tuesday. In fact, the ukmet, has a 991 mb low right over Boston at 12z Monday (think this probably is too fast). Models actually hint at some type of inland runner, but feel with our upper level patter will get secondary development which again would favor mainly a snow event.

Hannah said...

I can't wait to see what unfolds with this next storm! Is no one using the chat room anymore? Well, I suppose I'll be glad to go back to school again tomorrow. It is good to have something to do. Good night everybody!

Julee said...

Mr. Foot -- are you thinking another TWO day storm (Tuesday INTO Wednesday)?

p.s. Terpboy -- if you drove 695 and 83N every day you would KNOW that there is an unending supply of hot and cold running, garden variety morons for your driving pleasure. Rush hour just brings them out in abundance.

Terpboy said...


I take "da' back roads" of rural Harford/Balto COs. I guess I'm use to the 6:45 AM country morons...not the 8:45AM country morons. You know, dry roads..BUT THE FIELDS AND TREES ARE WHITE!!!!! OMYGOSH...I'LL DO 28 MPH TO BE SAFE!!! (Look, Hazel, a COW!)


Foot's Forecast said...

No I haven't overlooking the Sat Sun event, I think it is going to surprise a lot of people tho because models are downplaying it. Given this pattern that is dangerous. We are back in the arrangement we have for the Jan 22 storm...strong NW flow, southern jet taking a break. So this could be another clipper that gets to the coast and develops quickly, dropping 3-6 or even 4-8 on it's way out.

Remember Paul Kocin had the Jan 22 storm ON FRIDAY NIGHT as a moderate 4-8" event for the Northeast and missing New England. All this from a glorified clipper. Ahem... 30 inches later. Now that water temps are 10 F above normal off your East Coast, could give this storm just the juice it needs to go to town at last second. NAO should back off by then allowing the track a little more north than models (GFS) are showing. So this is probably going to be a Blue Bandwagon Special. Everyone will jump on board Friday night late.

Thank you Terpboy for that excellent and detailed storm overview. I'm sure you are objective with the grading. Ch 13 may deserve a higher grade because 4-6" is a pretty good mark on what happened. I'm sure you will hold me accountable if my calls do not pan out, and that is the way it should be.

Signing off for the night, very tired. Need to rest up in the event K3 is re-al-ity

Hannah said...

Good night Mr. Foot. Sleep well. I am sure I'll see you around school tomorrow. Pleasant dreams all.

Terpboy said...

Mr. F-

Yes, looking back, I was going with 2300 hours as being 24 hours ahead of the storm. That's basically why I am doing this. So maybe JZ should be a little higher.

You know much better than I do how hard it is to make an exact call 24 hours ahead...again, that's why I'm doing this. "OK, Mr./M's. Forecaster, tell me what it is going to be doing this time tomorrow!".

Even 18 hours ahead is easier, and so would 12 or 6. Right now, since I've only been following you for essentially 3 storms, you are 2 for 3 (with me watching). That's 66%...but, and this is one of the reasons I keep tuning in, is that you were VERY quick with "I was wrong, and here's why".

I gave you the A for this last storm because at 24 hours out, you said "5 to 10 Central Maryland." I got 7 in Fallston, (probably several more melted!) so that's a 'A'.

If you want to give me an exact figure for my neck of the woods, and hopefully I won't have to wait until next year, I'll give you a higher level of critique.

But that's not really fair...because I just want to base this on 24 hours out. I wouldn't expect anyone to give a snowfall total to the exact inch that far in the future.

You put a great deal of study into a weather event, and I for one appreciate it.
You say "5 to 10 inches", and the next day I get were right on.

You come on TV at 200+K per year and tell me its going to rain tomorrow, and I get a half a foot of snow, you're not doing the job the way it's supposed to be done.

Thank you for your hard work, your interesting website, and the opportunity for us weather nerds to sound off.

Enjoy your ski trip.

Here's hoping for K3...


Frank said...

Well said TB. I found this site for 3 storms ago also, and am now going to e a regular. I love the analysis. It is what I have been craving for years. Thanks for all the time you put into this.

ocdonweather said...

Mr. Foot,
I think the information you listed for the AD's and weather is excellant. The first playdate for BCPS schools is 3-21-05. That is if the fields do not still have snow on them!

Foot's Forecast said...

Russ...only problem with 3-21 is that the fields may not be available for a log period of time between now and the game. Indoor/parking lot practice for that long will be unpleasant to say the least, given the pattern.

Thanks Frank and TB for your kind statements. Knowing that you enjoy the analysis and such makes it worth the tine, as long as I do this when my wife and baby are sleeping so I don't drive them insane!

Mr.B said...

6" in myersville

Julee said...

Hey everybody! I'm looking at snow and crunching, cracking ice -- the wind is COLD and brisk, the sky is gray and overcast... it's, like, WINTER! FINALLY!

Mr. Foot,
Your latest BK3 post made me think of the numerous times my mother has told me about her birthday on March 29,1942. Happened to be Palm Sunday and they happened to get 23 inches of snow!

Andy, Southern York County PA said...

Next storms look a little rainy to me. Oh well, It is March. One never can be 100% sure in this business though.

Frank said...

I like the rain idea andy, seems to be working for us all.

DDW said...

I remember a mondo snow storm in Columbus, Ohio during the last days of March, sometime in the mid 1980s. At least 12 inches of snow. It snuck up on us. Yes, the snow melted within in days, but it was...freakish.

Hannah said...

It is terribly windy outside and rather chillish. Just thought I would stop by and say hello to you all. Good night everybody. Sleep well!

Foot's Forecast said...

Good evening everyone, it has been a wild time. I am whipped by the last storm but energized for the next one. This time, I will effort to really hone in on precisely what could or could not happen next week. Despite the concerns over a March 1993 repeat, we have to look at the key elements that would play into this for that type of event to occur.

That concept..."will we have a repeat of the March 93 storm?" is going to be the focus of the next few days. I'll present the evidence for and against the idea. Like Fox News... I forecast, you decide.

Good night! Next update Thursday morning around 6:30