Monday, September 1, 2008

GUSTAV: NOT REAL GONE
then there's HANNA SAVANNA

Gustav landfall radar

Although Gustav continues to warrant full attention of the media and weather outlets, those of you in the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic are understandably concerned about the next tropical threat. I have even seen the cable network meteorologists say on air, “everyone who’s calling or emailing is asking not about Gustav but Hanna…” It is almost as if the weather producers had to hastily ramp up their programming because the public is become ravenous about the next big storm. But you don’t have to wait for CNN, Fox or MSNBC to get it together. You have your very own personal team of eyes on the sky right here. As busy as the tropics can get, I’m sure that if I miss something brewing out there, one of you will catch it and together we keep a close watch on it all.

Gustav came ashore just west of where I expected, on the southwest side of Houma, LA not just to the east as I forecasted. The intensity, though very dangerous, was not the home crushing 130 mph or greater I was fearing. The biggest story still unfolding with this storm is the water.. how much, how long and where. I submit that catastrophic flooding (while I don’t wish it to be right!) is likely to happen all through the riverside Louisiana, because a combination of downstream surge waters meeting upstream rainfall will make for a horrific one-way flood in the next 72 hours.

StormPulse Hanna 1

HANNA SAVANNAH: THE HISTORICAL LANDFALL? (There I said it, wonder if I'm the first one to make the reference).The very presence of this storm concurrently with Gustav is going to push the media to it's limits of natural disaster coverage. You, the viewer are probably going to think there is no other news in the country, as networks will be flipping back and forth between the Gustav flooding and speculating on whether or not Hanna will devastate the giant live oak trees in Savannah. That would be a terrible thing of course, but I believe climatology may spare the beautiful southern belle city just yet, because a turn toward the north is in this storm's future. Eastern North Carolina, the Virginia tidewater, and even southern Maryland/DelMarVa may be involved in this eventual recurve, and they won't have a lot of time to prepare for it. The good news is that unless Hanna moves very quickly at landfall and turns north/northeast, most coastal school districts in Maryland and Virginia will likely be able to squeeze out a full day on Friday, except for the districts that border the southern Chesapeake Bay area. A more detailed look on the track and impacts Tuesday.

Savanna oak trees
That mental picture you've always had of the Spanish moss gracing Savanna's live oaks.

5 comments:

TQ said...

UKMET did a pretty good job with Gus such that if it's glommed onto Hanna...there/s probably not too much concern for the M-A.

Anonymous said...

models tending to take hanna farther up the coast at landfall. doeasnt look like a cat one with gusts to 100 mph. ike looks really good on satelite (it looks better then hanna) and I think that this could be a cat 5 at some point during its lifespan. this storm has a really good chance to go to the gulf. if it does not hit any large pieces of land and gets tithe gulf it may really explode into a monster of a storm. the low pressure just of Africa looks really organized and I think that it will be at least a depression for tomorow. please comment on what you think of these predictions I know that they are far off but can be just pondered in the following days.

Mr. Brisko said...

New NHC map is just awsome, takes hanna like 10miles to my west.

Anonymous said...

Wow Mr Foot, the newest coordinates for Hannah take the reminents right over our house. What sort of energy would really be left by the time it would hit the panhandle of WV?

Anonymous said...

Mr. b were are you located?