Wednesday, September 1, 2004

early morning update:
WHAT NIGHTMARES MAY COME

Before the comments, I want to say that I don't know why the site format changed suddenly. I did not make any changes to it's program. It is annoying because you have to scroll down to get the tropical links. I will try to fix it soon.

The nightmare that may come with Frances is if the storm slows down as it buzz-saws through the Bahamas, which was referred to on this site last night, and then followed by reference to that idea from the NHC in their 11 PM discussion. Computer models are returning to a more westward track toward Cape Canaveral after 72 hours. That track would mean a landfall early Sunday morning. The storm is speeding up at present, moving WNW near 17 mph, which is fairly fast for a Caribbean system.

I remain cautious of ruling out a turn to the north. But today is the first day of a "September to Remember" as Accuweather calls it. It will be a busy month for the tropics, and there are likely to be many surprises (nightmares) to come.

Next update is tonight around 6 PM.


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