Tuesday, September 7, 2004

MAJOR FLOODING THREAT SPREADS NORTHEAST FROM FRANCES

IVAN STARTS PLAYING WITH OUR WORST FEARS

Read the posts below for details on the active tropical situation over the next 3-6 days. It is too early to tell if Ivan will spell trouble for Florida, but the gut feeling is the Gulf of Mexico. Accuweather reported that all storms in the past 100 years which once were where Ivan is now completely missed Florida and either went toward the East Coast or into the Gulf.

But this year, the history book has been revised a bit. We know this, if Ivan stays south of Haiti/the Dominican Republic, then Florida will likely be spared. Even if the storm crosses Cuba, the thinking if the high pressure ridge to the East will shove Ivan into the Gulf anyway.

Storms this far south do not usually turn or curve in time to charge up the East Coast, so I can say with some caution that from the Carolinas on north will probably be spared from the wrath of Ivan the Terrible. (That phrase will be so over-used in the next week, so get ready.)

Keep an eye on it's movement at the The Weather Underground site.

Next update Tuesday night.



No comments: