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This will be the shortest post in the history of Foot's Forecast. I have three main points for the evening, with an update Thursday morning to explain my reasoning.
1. There will be snow flying from Central New Jersey to New England this weekend. Period.
2. There will be ONE more storm next week, there IS NO WAY we can avoid it, there IS GOING TO BE lots of computer model madness, there WILL BE snow on the ground from DC to Boston by next Saturday, and it SHALL BE an Ultra Kahuna to be long remembered as the grand finale blockbuster event of the winter. As always, I forecast, you decide. I study the patterns, I analyze the data, and I see that there is no getting out of a great big storm to blow out in a blaze of snowy white glory. Just wait and see WHO TURNS OUT TO HAVE THE FINAL WORD ON THIS STORM.
3. "Your overconfidence is your weakness." - Luke to the Emperor. "Your faith in your friends is yours." - Emperor to Luke. As for me, I have faith in my overconfidence.
You can live in your world that is talking about spring, but for a little while longer, you will have to play in ours. And play we shall this time next week. Play we shall.
38 comments:
why are you that confident about next weeks storm?
Wow.
When you put it like that Big Boy, who are WE to question?
Placing the yardstick next to the door, I remain . . .
a faithful PowderHound
Awesome post, I love it. I hope these NY guys are wrong like they have been all season. They claim they were right after the storm is over, when they changed their predictions about 15 times the week before. I like how you stick to your guns, that is the way to be. Looking forward to the next post!
Hey!
I"M still working on a two-hour late for Friday! Is that too much to ask???
I'll ALSO take a small ice age next week...my bet's on your overconfidence...
Enjoy your ski trip.
TB
Wow! Powerful post.
How can you write that with such determination and confidence?
Foot: Mind including stuff for those of us in Northeastern PA (Scranton, to be precise)?
I'm blind, therefore carless, and have to figure out how navigation for me will be on a weekly basis; Only way I can determine how much I should stock up on, say, food and such. Severe snow makes navigation...hard, to say the least. And since I live in a dorm, it's either navigate a blizzard or stock up.
Wow. You really are confident! That is a good sign. I have faith in your prediction. I guess it is time to "Give yourself to the dark side" and forget about spring for a while. Well good night everybody. Sleep well. May the force be with you!
0615
No Terpboy 24 this event:
EVERYBODY is in agreement (sorta). Nobody has called for anything of frozen significance below the Mason-Dixon Line.
But it's interesting, they're all over the place with minor details: "after midnight", "Friday afternoon", "some rain",
"snow showers", "an inch or less".....
They can't even agree when something's NOT going to happen!
Looking forward to the AM post.
TB
Why is it that most weather people assume that noone likes snow? (not referring to you) I personally love snow and hope your predictions are right. I live in Northern WV and have so far been ripped off for a good snow storm. I am hoping things happen here soon before Spring hits.
Why is it that most weather people assume that noone likes snow? (not referring to you) I personally love snow and hope your predictions are right. I live in Northern WV and have so far been ripped off for a good snow storm. I am hoping things happen here soon before Spring hits.
I love snow also, and can't get enough of it! But I will say this that we are in for a nice 1-2 foot storm in January 0f 2006, I promise! I have been closely studying the patterns, have looked at all the models, and even crunched some complex equations. I have concluded based on my analysis the following: 1) NOTHING 2) MY ANALYSIS MAKES NO SENSE 3) I DON'T KNOW WHAT I'M DOING 4) WHY NOT?
I hope Mr. Foot is right, but I don't think that we are going to get any type of huge snowstorm here. IF anyone gets anything worthwhile it will again be New England. Sure anything is possible, but I don't think a monster SNOW is likely here.
My forecast for the rest of the season: NO MORE THAN 4 inches of slushy snow will fall at BWI period, the rest of March into April. TIME WILL TELL. BUT THAT'S MY FORECAST AND I'M STICKING TO IT.
P.S. Hope I'm wrong because I still need a snowday from work!
Most stations around here say 1-2" tomorrow during the day, a break, and then the meat of the storm Friday night through Saturday AM, with a total accumulation of 6-12", continuing all day Sat. and ending as some snow showers Sun. AM. 6-12" north of the Pike with 1-2 feet in the mountains of NH and ME. INCLUDING SUNDAY RIVER. ENJOY, Mr. Foot.
These forecasted snow amounts are based on the GFS, NAM, European, and the QPF. I averaged them out and put numbers which I believe at this point will pan out. Confidence on these numbers is about 60 to 70% so bear with me.
NEW ENGLAND/NORTHEAST
Boston, MA: 6-10"
Woburn, MA: 7-12"
Worcester, MA: 8-13"
North Conway, NH: 10-15"
Portland, ME: 8-14"
Sunday River, ME: 14-24"
Providence, RI: 3-6"
Cape Cod, MA: 2-5"
Hartford, CT: 6-10"
New York, NY: 1-3"
MID ATLANTIC
Rutgers University, NJ: 1-2"
Philadelphia, PA: C-1"
DC: Some Flakes in the air
York, PA: 1-2"
Pittsburgh: 2-4"
Bucks Co: C-1"
Most of WV: 1-2"
Keep looking at this site when Mr. Foot updates and your TV stations for further updates. These numbers are for you to kind of have a general idea of what kind of snow is coming your way. Thanks.
BOSTON -- SIX TO TEN INCHES!!!!!!!!!!
***AGAIN***????????
Who(m) are you PAYING???????
I hope we get four feet of snow at least!!! That would be awesome. I don't know how people can get tired of snow. I love it way too much!
E.H.: Gahh, of course, ignore Northeast PA.:-(
Sorry John...looking into it right now. PS: may have to scale back on SOME of the numbers and others may have to be raised. Be back in 10 minutes.
Here are my latest thinkings on the storm...enjoy.
* = Wet heavy snow
** = Really wet snow
For now...expect the lower numbers, but just be prepared for the higher numbers just in case this storm really bombs out...
NEW ENGLAND/NORTHEAST
Boston, MA: 5-10"**
Woburn, MA: 6-12"*
Worcester, MA: 7-13"*
North Conway, NH: 12-18"
Portland, ME: 12-18"
Sunday River, ME: 16-25"
Providence, RI: 4-7"**
Cape Cod, MA: 2-4"**
Hartford, CT: 4-8"*
New York, NY: 1-2"**
NORTHEAST PA: Coating maybe 1-2"**
MID ATLANTIC
Rutgers University, NJ: 1-2"**
Philadelphia, PA: C-1"**
DC: Some Flakes in the air
York, PA: 1-2"**
Pittsburgh: 2-4"**
Bucks Co: C-1"**
Most of WV: 1-2"**
Baltimore: Light coating on grass or few flakes...sorry.
So, most of the snow seems to be confined to central and northern New England. Up to 2 FEET of powder for Mr. Foot in Sunday River. Enjoy:) Good night. Maybe a quick update later. Over and out.
EH... now you are just rubbin it in!!!! :)
Hello? Has this comment site gone psycho?
What's going on?
Sorry computer REALLY burped.
SORRY
EH - I'm not casting blame, I just wondered why the comment site was looking so strange.
I assume that Mr. Foot has abandoned us for the ski slopes for the duration. I thought something may have happened in his absence.
p.s. Do you think you could set up some really BIG fans facing south and blow some of that snow in our direction?
EH-
Thanks for your forecast, but next time, please give Maryland 6-8" of powder.
Thank you...
Julee- I think you're right about Foot...good for him.
TB
Mr foot, hope you are having fun at Sunday River. It sounds like a dream come true. Talking about next weeks storm, How much snow are we talking? lm bucks county
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