Sunday, August 13, 2006

ON YOUR MARK... SET...

Invest 92-93


GO..ing into second half of August and still nothing to indicate that this season is headed for the record-books as was expected. My biggest concern is that the later we go in the season, I believe it's more likely that once a storm develops, it will be a BIG one. The system off Florida is in a less than favorable environment so not a threat for a while, but the Caribbean system has potential and thus will be watched closely. You can view the most updated satellite imagery, or check status of the latest recon flight.

22 comments:

Anonymous said...

RAY- Being from Boston, I'm more concerned about the on off the SE coast.

Anonymous said...

RAY- Wow! An absolute whale of a wave seems to be already near depression status right on the African coast! The system north of the bahamas looks to have a circulation.

Eric said...

Hey..internet's been down for the past day or so, but those waves that come off the African coast always seem to look good right when they come off, but then after a little the thunderstorms around it disappear and it fades, but at this time of year, its worth watching.

INTERESTING NOTE:

Around here just north of Boston we have had a few pretty cold early to mid August nights with temps in the mid and upper 40's, and some of the weaker trees are already starting to show some signs of red and yellow...just thought that was interesting to see this early.

Anonymous said...

RAY- Good call on the African coast wave Eric, poof it went, much like just about everything that has looked like it was going to get going this tropical season! ARGHH!! COMPLETE FRUSTRATION and BOREDOM!! I'll keep an eye on that developing feature in the N Central Gulf though.

Eric said...

Time for the low off the SE Coast is running out for it. The high pressure is going off the coast right now and soon the winds aloft will be too strong and it will destroy it.

Did you check the satellite of the Atlantic Ocean. Nothing but blue, the ocean. All of that solar energy is warming up the surface temperatures. Now most of the southern Atlantic is between 82 to 86 degrees. September should be CRAZY.

Anonymous said...

RAY- I agree, the switch will be turned on. Sep 1995 record of 4 hurricances at once in the Atlantic basin could be in jeopardy!

Eric said...

Mr. Foot...

Is there any tie between a slow start to the hurricane season and winter storms?

Warmer water for the storms to regenerate off the Mid Atlantic coast? Bigger winter storms?

Eric said...

Rumblings from the Accuweather tropical update video forecast that there could be 7 to 10 storms within a 7 week period upcoming next week.

Also, they depicted a possible storm, strong tropical storm or hurricane marching up the east coast and slamming into southern New England around Labor Day weekend. Ray, we better watch out. This could be the year. Last one I can remember was hurricane Bob. We'll see.

Anonymous said...

RAY- Yes, but Bob veered off to the east spareing most of the region the WORST affects. I have felt we would be hit this year all season! I have noted that the correlation is the snowier the winter on the E coast, the more active the hurricane season. Worked out well this year and last. Only season that really sticks out as not working out was '95. Very little snow 94-95 season, very active hurricane season.

Eric said...

Yeah, but in the winter season 95-96 most of southern New England saw over 100" of snow for the season.

Anonymous said...

RAY- Yeah, but that was the next season. It DID work out well that year cause the '96 hurricane season was a very active one.

Anonymous said...

RAY- Finaly, TD 4 forms near cape verde islands. My feeling is that it takes forever to become a storm (never a hurricane) and curls out into the middle of nowhere... NEXT!!

Eric said...

I am not so sure about that Ray. Storm is looking good this morning. Could be on a collision course with Bermuda as a HURRICANE and then................

Mr. Foot, your time to shine.

Anonymous said...

RAY- I think the main concern is a wave that appears to have a circulation about 1000 miles east of the windward islands, not TD 4, which WILL NOT be a factor. The wave probably has about 3 days to become a depression (systems don't develop in the E carribean) if not it will have to wait until it reaches the NW carribean. BTW heads up, ssts 86+ throughout entire gulf!! Side affect of the quiet tropical season (no upwelled, cooler waters).

Anonymous said...

RAY- Hey Eric, found another good site to visit during Mr Foots downtime! Theweatherservice.com. C U there! : )

Anonymous said...

RAY- On the surface, Debby appears as though she will do nothing to mitigate this ungodly spell of mundane weather. Not only is she "sure" to trek out to sea, but now she is showing signs of a weakening trend. This new trend could do 2 things: 1)Cause casual observers to totally write it off and lose interest 2) Allow it to sort of fly under the "atmospheric radar" so to speak.

Any weather savy individual knows that the weaker the system the more likely it is to be steered by the easterly trade winds, while a stronger system stacked verticaly higher into the atmosphere is more likely to be picked up by a digging trough. So in conclusion, Debby apparently weakening slightly is THE MOST EXCITING THING I'VE SEEN IN WEEKS!! Unlikely, yes, but is it possible that Debby weakens to the point where her cloud tops elude the grasp of the digging trough and can be recessatated under more favorable conditions much closer to the U.S. coast?? BIG FAT YES!! By all means Debby, take a nap. Am I bored? U betcha!!

Eric said...

Chilly fall air coming to Boston.

Highs 65-70 the next few days with lows in the suburbs 45; city 55.

Anonymous said...

RAY- TD 5 about to form in the E Carribean at 5 pm! Now this will be one to watch!! : )

terpguy said...

TD 5

Ernesto to be?

Stick around.....

Eric said...

FROST ADVISORY in northern New England again for temps around 32.

What an August!

Anonymous said...

RAY- Someone plug Mr Foot's alarm clock back in... we are gonna have a major hurricane strike prolly anywhere from Galvaston, TX-New Orleans, LA around Friday of Labor Day weekend!!!

Mr. Foot said...

Hey Ray... I'm back, and just in time to put a laser beam of scrutiny on the future of Ernesto. I'll try to update twice a day..in the AM and in the evening. With school officially starting Monday, I'll probably issue an afternoon update via the Email Distribution List.