Wednesday, September 10, 2008

HURRICANE FATIGUE?
Ike at 11:00 AM Wednesday 9-10-08

Ike Vis Satellte 1

If you're a resident of the Gulf coast, I'm sure you can identify with this feeling. The other overwhelming aspect of this feeling is not that so many storms have made landfall recently, it's that today..September 10..is the climatological "middle" of tropical cyclone season in the Atlantic basin. Historically, today's date is when storms most often form or are already in progress across the ocean. While the frequency of tropical systems slowly decreases as we move forward through the calendar, it does not mean that the number of hurricanes or tropical storms will be less severe or avoid land. If anything, the danger to the East Coast and the Gulf coast is generally highest from now until mid October.. as evidenced by September and October storms of note such as the Great New England Hurricane of 1938, Hazel (1954), Gloria (1985), Floyd (1999), Isabel (2003) and the double crossers Frances and Jeanne (2004).

In addition to an overview of the factors that will affect Ike's path and his eventual landfall, I am preparing a discussion of how Hanna and Ike may have indicated a pattern change for the East Coast going into October, and what that could mean heading into the Fall and potential for winter weather beyond that. It is written and I will try to post it sometime today.

SITE ADDRESS CHANGE

To all Foot's Forecast readers: The site was hijacked Sunday morning 9-7-08 between 9:30 AM and 1:30 PM. Thus the footsforecast.net address has been discontinued for now and the entire website can be viewed temporarily on it's original URL: http://footsforecast.blogspot.com/. The permanent URL is being changed to http://www.footsforecast.info/ but make take up to 3 days for the transition to occur. Please update your bookmarks/favorites accordingly.

For the next day or so, web searches for the site will direct visitors to the .net address temporarily until search engines pickup on the change. So if you forward content from the site to others, please inform them of the new address. The culprint is a company called nuseek which has hijacked many other sites, is widely known on the internet as engaging in fraudulent activity, and has been reported to the FBI by other bloggers. Although the other site address was "locked" the procedure used was a "302 redirect" though I should be able to prevent this with some simple HTML code adjustments. Thanks to the alert readers who saw the problem and notified me right away.

Regarding comments: For added security, everyone will have to use a Google identity/login name and complete word verification (including me!) Now back to the weather...

Sincerely, Mr. Foot

20 comments:

Julee said...

HEY! They can't do that to YOU!

Let's get'em, boys!!!!!!!!

Mr. Foot said...

Thanks Julee, at least I know the temporary site works. I hope we can get this fixed quick before you know who sees you know what and then you know what will happen.

Did you catch that?

BTW, Houston I think we have a problem.

terpguy said...

From an earlier post:

terpguy said...

Sunday AM

Larry Cosgrove ( WEATHERAmerica) has Ike curving around the Florida peninsula and coming up just inside the East Coast. The eye eventually passing over Southern Maryland.

Right over my son's college...

September 7, 2008 8:54 AM

Blogger Mr. Foot said...

You have got to be kidding. There's no way, what is he seeing?

September 7, 2008 1:55 PM


Cosgrove sites a strong SW flow aloft and an SE intrusion of cool air as the steering mechanisms.

We shall see...

NeedaSnowday said...

Geez Louise!!! Sorry Mr. Foot... I am with ya Julee... let's get 'em! I am feeling rather stoked after the RAVENS win!!!

Mr. B said...

What the heck happened?

Anyways I chased to Leesburg Nr. Foot it was interesting.

Mr. Foot said...

I've learned it is a company called nuseek.com and they are widely known to be engaging in fradulent activity, hijacking websites and other illicit and illegal behavior on the internet.

Crazy people out there. Maybe a hurricane will find them and teach a lesson or two.

Mr. Foot said...

Sorry Zak I did not get back with you, did not have your email address! Glad to hear you did go chasing.

Hey, how about you put a blurb on Eastern about what Terp relayed from Larry Cosgrove. I would love to see the reaction that forecast gets regarding IKE.

As long as we don't upset Dr. Terp for doing such.
(As long as we fon

Julee said...

Late today, on Accuweather's "IKE" page, I saw two possible paths ... one of which was north through Florida, heading up towards I95!

YOWP!


Good eye, Terppy!

wvm said...

Just testing the comment password thing. I couldnt get it to work over the weekend and I want to get it right before Ike...

Mr. Foot said...

Looking at the track, water vapor and upper air, I am thinking Ike's track continues shifting west, not north. I bet he reemerges over the open water south of Cuba and does not remain onshore.

Were that to happen, he could quickly regain strength and follow more of a Rita- or Ivan-type path. SO while it looks like Houston is under the gun, it might actually be where Rita hit instead. That's still a terrible path, but at least there's early indications it should not do a Katrina or Gustav.

Mary said...

that is such a shame with your site Mr. Foot. I enjoyed reading all the comments over the weekend. Then I lost power for several hours and the storm was over. Looking forward to all the IKE stuff. Mom leaves for Biloxi on Friday. I'll be watching this one closely.

Mr. B said...

Mr. Foot I sent you an e-mail a few days ago so not sure why you would not have it.

Sharon said...

As I always say, "Every dog has its day and what goes around, comes around".
Glad to see your new space is up and running.

terpguy said...

Cosgrove now has updated his prediction for Ike:

Landfall: South of Galveston, Texas, Friday PM as a Category 3.

I don't care if you forward this to Eastern. LC used to be a frequent contributer there until the weenage ran him off.

I paraphrased his forecast, as he has a strong copyright warning. I, for one, appreciate his weekly weather reports

NeedaSnowday said...

cool site .. check it out! http://www.stormpulse.com/

Mr. Foot said...

Thanks nasd..I actually have permission from them to embed their graphics on this site, and was planning to do that earlier but the hijack debacle threw me off course.

Hopefully today I will post my discussion of how Hanna and Ike are indicators of the next pattern change, and what that may lead to for October and the winter ahead.

Thanks everyone for your patience during this period of transition for the new site.

terpguy said...

1911 Local (EDT)

Larry Cosgrove has predicted that Ike will make landfall in Texas as Bay City as the present bull's eye. It will be a Cat 4, with a storm surge of 11 feet or more.

PasadenaMatt said...

Mr. Foot and Others. Do you guys think we will have anymore tropical storms/hurricanes strike the East Coast this year?

wvm said...

Mr Foot, I was wondering if you think we will eventually get some rain from the remnants of Ike?

Mr. Foot said...

wvm: It is likely we will feel the effects of Ike's rain by Tuesday at the latest, and could have some good downpours on tap for Wed.