Tuesday, March 8, 2011

"It's Gonna Rain Like 
Noah's Coming Back..."
- Mr. Grant, Teacher-in-Residence  
from the Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies

3/8/2011- New Weather University Lesson




5:55 PM  Wed 3/9/2011 
In the Northeast, a widespread rainbow of Flood Watches, Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories intermixed blanket the Mid-Atlantic as a strong, moisture laden cold front is moving east toward the coast. Although severe weather is not anticipated in this system, extremely heavy rainfall and dangerous flash floods are expected along with tides several feet above normal in coastal areas. We urge all drivers to heed warnings by local officials and make the only safe choice there can be in a flooding situation: TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN. 

5:15 PM 3/9 A stormy, severe-weather day in much of the East and South. In addition to Tornado Watches, High Wind Warnings and Coastal Flood Advisories, there is a dearth of Winter Weather risks in progress. Please visit our Winter Stormcast page for more details. Additional updates are pending early this evening. 

(The Forecast Advisors and Eastern U.S. Severe Weather Team) 







5:00 PM EST Tue 3/8/2011
Mississippi and Ohio River valleys to the Northeast. A storm system having impacted the Colorado Rockies will by Wednesday move into the southeast, producing severe weather including high winds, hail and tornadoes. To the north, Winter Storm Watches and Advisories bisect the Great Plains toward the Great Lakes By Thursday widespread heavy rain and more flooding is expected in the Northeast.


Tornado Watches are in effect for the Texarkana region, most of Louisiana and southern Alabama. The Storm Prediction Center has indicated an increased risk of tornadoes in the Deep South by tomorrow , extending to a large portion of the Southeast into Thursday as the cold front associated with this system swings toward the east coast. Continue monitoring your local NWS forecast offices for the latest advisories on this rising threat of high impact flooding.

As for the west, conditions have become calm, as indicated by the general absences of high-risk advisories from the Western Regional Headquarters advisory page of the NWS below.


Our multi-state student team continues to post their updates daily in facebook forecast centers. Those details are reposted in the regional tabs in the menu bar above when time permits. Our empathy is extended to those readers who are under the scourge of flooding and we hope you have a chance to regroup before the next round later this week.

(Forecast Advisors Mr. Foot and Mr. Lear)

22 comments:

Andy, Southern York County PA (FORECAST ADVISOR) said...

Monday morning was a little warm up and sneak preview for some of us in the north country of Baltimore.  The last patch was vaporized today.  The IDES of MARCH is NEARING, The PROSPECT of SNOW, anyone FEARING?   

somestars said...

I don't know about "fearing" but I might be "beware-ing."
During my 6:30 a.m. Monday morning trek northward, the ground looked like iced oatmeal cookies!  I just had chunky ice covering my windshield where I live, but looking at the cars driving south, I was amazed at the amount of snow on the roofs.  Made me happy!  Just like your photo.

Just saw Henry Margusity mentioning a big storm on the 20th.  Did he mean the Ides, or is this another one?  Have you seen anything around then to make you sit up and put gas in the snow blower?

Andy, Southern York County PA (FORECAST ADVISOR) said...

Foot is cutting expenses and making me recycle old posts.  I will repost previous response to old Somestars question here:

<span>"It will go out like a lamb.  The period between the 15th and the 20th is another story.  Rabid lion?  I don't know.  Time will tell!  The Ides of March might make us start looking at the weather very closely.  That 5 day period is likely to be very interesting.  It is our last true shot."</span>

:-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-P

Andy, Southern York County PA (FORECAST ADVISOR) said...

Julee,

With storms and weather in the very very long range it would impossible for anyone to come close to saying that on the 15th there will be 10 inches of snow.  What I look for is a pattern not a particular model or storm.  The window of the 15th-20th looked like it could really produce something noteworthy. I have been talking about the Ides of March as the opening of that window for a long time now.  People were right, I must be crazy, but it just maybe a lunatic you're looking for (if you like snow).  

Models could show a storm on the 15th but as we get closer it can push back to the 17th, 18th etc.  The IDES is the openiong of the window and it might be time to fire up the blower!

BEWARE THE IDES OF MARCH. 

Andy, Southern York County PA (FORECAST ADVISOR) said...

Henry's focus is all too often on one model run and date.  The details will change many times by the time the period is upon us.  For me the 15th to the 20th is that time period, with the 15th being the first possible date that things could get REALLY INTERESTING.  The monster that Henry speaks of is possible anywhere in that window. 

Andy, Southern York County PA (FORECAST ADVISOR) said...

I had a soild inch of snow here Monday morning.  North of Harrisburg it was more like 4 plus inches.  Trucks from NY State coming down I-83 were really caked.

somestars said...

I AM looking for a lunatic because I'm in a Snow Storm state of mind, but I  didn't start the fire, so it's up to YOU to deliver that frozen precip.

ravensbbr said...

Models seem to have not much snow for yon Ides of March, mighty Ceaser... :-P

Andy, Southern York County PA (FORECAST ADVISOR) said...

Models flip flop.  The 15th to the 20th is our greatest and final chance for a decent storm.

ravensbbr said...

Unfortunately it's the 16th when my wife is due...the one time I don't want snow. >:o

Andy, Southern York County PA (FORECAST ADVISOR) said...

Good luck to you and your family.  Snow this time of year is usually only high impact for a day.  By the next morning you have high mid March sun angle and temps nearing 50. 

BioPat said...

Looks like it's time to batten down the hatches tonight in preparation for tomorrow's torrent of rain.  Andy, I'm not too sure about next week for snow, but we are definitely in a moisture filled pattern.  If the temp slips, then we may see our final snowfall.

hocoKtchr said...

Hopefully not during MSA!  That would make things even more "whack-a-doodle!"   But, you can't control Mother Nature...right???? ;)    

catengers said...

Be careful all, looks like a lot of precip headed for us. Twas cold today...I wa sout taking pictures of the broken bricks in our street scape.

Too much excitement for one day nite all. Congrats Julie/Dan :) Good luck Ravensbbr!

somestars said...

If we were having snow TOMORROW we wouldn't NEED next week ... we'd have enough snow for FOUR weeks.
I have a doctor's appt. tomorrow afternoon and have to walk the entire length of a hospital parking lot to get there ... where did I put my Orvis waders?

JULIE said...

Thank you!! She is just terrific.

JULIE said...

I want one more decent snow....just one at least!

JULIE said...

beautiful profile pic!

JULIE said...

I didn't either and was really worried...it never came :'(

catengers said...

how's everyone holding up. Rufus was trying to help be play bejeweled...It's a nasty night

ravensbbr said...

Thanks! So far so good...

ravensbbr said...

Thanks!