Friday, January 20, 2012

Wasn't a very Happy Friday


9:00 AM EST 1/21/12 | We would normally wish you a Happy Saturday on this weekend before another round of NFL playoffs, but folks in the Pacific Northwest, the Upper Plains, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and...Mid-Atlantic might feel otherwise. As Washington State reels under a state of emergency, Seattle-Tacoma airport has "officially returned to the Ice Age"  according to the Seattle Times. Not only is most deicing equipment "encased in snow" but the airport may be running low on deicing fluid period. 

Hundreds of schools remain closed and much of the region could double as a set for Day After Tomorrow 2 if Roland Emmerich wanted to script up a sequel.  Forecaster Mark Ingalls, a high school senior reported "It is 18 degrees and freezing rain" the East coast team promptly responded with: "Mark you don't ever want those two factors in the same sentence again (18 F / freezing rain)."  

Our Regional Roundups in Facebook: The latest on the weekend storm situation in our local facebook zones includes Southeast Wisconsin, Western Great Lakes, Northeast Ohio, the Ohio Valley, Three Rivers (metro Pittsburgh), Central PASoutheast PA and Central MD.  Click on the name of the zone to access.  Winter Stormcast, Mid-Atlantic can be found HERE.

From the Twin Cities to Taunton, Massachusetts, the NWS advisory map may look just as ominous, but the scenario is not likely to play out in such epic fashion as Seattle. Still, Winter Storm Warnings, Watches or Winter Weather Advisories stretch over 1,500 miles as the crow files. We urge our readers to stay close by their latest NWS forecast office for changes in this newly-resurgent Winter Storm pattern. 

If one were playing a card game of Hearts with Mother Nature this weekend, don't try to avoid getting the Queen of Spades thinking you can squeeze out a win. This time, the deck is probably stacked against us, and more places will probably end up with more snow or ice than they currently expect.

(Forecaster Foot and the Winter Stormcast Team)



14 comments:

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

I like the trends on some of the models.  I think Baltimore points north could be in for a nice 3-6 inch event =-O

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
139 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

PAZ025>028-036-056-057-059-063>066-211200-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0005.120121T0000Z-120121T1500Z/
BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-
CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...MOUNT UNION...
LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...
HERSHEY...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER
139 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTH-CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND LOWER SUSQUEHANNA
VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS
OF ICE DUE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE
ADVISORY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS
OF SLEET AND OR FREEZING RAIN.

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

I think this will ultimately apply from Baltimore North.  The storm is trending colder and wetter with each suite of models.  I like what I'm seeing for the Baltimore area.  Maybe a surprise upgrade to a winter storm watch for parts of the area?  The criteria is 5 or more inches in MD and I think there could be more than 5 inches in the Hereford zone. 

Amy said...

Any update Andy?  I love just outside Baltimore and am getting ready to go out tonight.  Assuming timing stays in the 9-12 window I am fine.  Also curious what I will wake up to.  Thoughts? 

ravensbbr said...

Andy, any thoughts on what the increased cold/wet in the models would do for potential icing among us Northern microclimate 800 ft+ folks?

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

I think a start time between 10:00-11:00 tonight is a good bet once the colum saturates.  I still like the idea of 4-6 inches of snow from Baltimore North than some sleet and freezing rain to cap it off.  This should be a 90% snow event from the Hereford zone north. 

ravensbbr said...

Cool. Going hunting in the AM, hoping for minimal ice on the roads. Thanks!

ravensbbr said...

Free fire snowzone here at the ranch, let 'er rip! :-P

ravensbbr said...

Andy, moving too fast to bomb or phase? Really looks like it's hustling east on radar.

hocoKtchr said...

Looks like about an inch of snow here in the eastern end of Frederick, with a nice icy coat on top of that!  Luckily, don't have to go anywhere 'til lunchtime!  Be safe out there everyone! :)  

ravensbbr said...

3" of...something fluffy with a heavy crust on top. JD snowthrower ate through it just fine though. Then my neighbor reminded me that it's going to rain and be in the 40's by Monday. Oh well.

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

3.75" and some light glaze on top.  It finally looks and feels like winter.

NeedaSnowday said...

GO RAVENS!!!!!!! 

Let's hunt!!!

ravensbbr said...

Only thing worse then the weather...wow. Unreal.