Monday, June 25, 2012

"Ain't No Sunshine.
- Bill Withers

NORTH FLORIDA FACING HIGH IMPACT 
FLOODING THIS WEEK: 10-20"  of rain expected
Photo Credit: Elizabeth Calver in St. Petersburg Beach
Posted to the Foot's Forecast: Tropical Zone page in Facebook
9:00 AM EDT 6/25/12 (Forecaster Mike) The Sunshine State is facing a high impact situation that has not been experienced at this level since the record 2004 and 2005 seasons. A roundup of the latest information from our forecasters throughout the state.


OFFICIAL NOAA/NWS ADVISORIES AND STATEMENTS 
* National Hurricane Center: Forecast Track | Public Advisory
* NWS Forecast Offices: Hurricane Local Statements in Southeast
* NOAA HPC/OPC updates: Rainfall Projections | Wind/Wave Analysis


SUMMARY OF OUR TEAM REPORTS IN FACEBOOK
* The Tropical Zone: Team forecasts & NHC analysis
* Tweeting the Tropics: @fftropicalzone
* Florida Panhandle:  Meteorologist Megan Hodge from Tallahassee
Central Florida:  Forecaster Matt Bolton / Met. Randall J.
South Florida & Keys: Meteorologist Randall J.


Debby's track with watches/warnings from the NHC
TROPICAL TEAM UPDATE ON T.S. DEBBY – As of 5:00 AM EDT, Debby continues to meander around the northeast Gulf of Mexico. Winds around the center are currently at 50 MPH and Debby’s movement is stationary as it sits south of Apalachicola Florida. Over Florida, we have Tornado Watches up for the state extending from Fort Myers up to the Georgia Border. Coastal Flood Warnings are also in effect for the west coast of the Florida Peninsula extending from Sarasota to Cedar Key. Tropical Storm Warnings are in place as well, extending all across the Panhandle peninsula to Pensacola. 


REPORTS FROM OUR FLORIDA TEAM – The Panhandle team is watching closely for extreme flooding over the next few days as Debby may drop over 10 inches of rain in some places! If you click on the links earlier in the update you can see the links posted in the local zone for news articles on the astounding flooding. Further south in Central Florida, rain and storms have quieted down for the time being, but the team is watching for some re-organization of the system. Another day of is necessary to watch closely for tornadoes spinning up as the outer bands slide through. Across South Florida and the Keys we need to watch for some thunderstorms possible throughout the day as the tail end of Debby moves through. 


IMPACTS TO THE OIL & GAS INDUSTRY – From this article at Businessweek, there are some concerns over Debby impacting the oil/natural gas production out of the Gulf.

  • The U.S. Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement has said that 7.8% of oil production and 8.2% of natural gas production has been stopped due to Debby. 
  • However, it is now more likely that Debby plows into Florida instead of traversing the entire Gulf on its journey over to the western Gulf. 
Stay tuned here and to all of the local zones as the situation behind Debby unfolds! (Forecaster Mike)

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