Sunday, November 11, 2012

Tricky Times For Turkey Day?

12:00 PM EST 11/11 (From The Long Range Team) While current forecast model indications show much of the U.S. in a milder, Pacific-dominated trend for the next 5-10 days, there are big concerns on the long range horizon. By Tuesday 11/20, a much  stormier pattern is expected to develop across the Eastern U.S. 


The leading event into this 3-4 week pattern may be this hypothesized multi-day coast rainstorm as shown above from the US Global Forecast System. Were this storm to occur as modeled, it would produce several days of lashing rain and coastal wind in the same Northeast & Mid-Atlantic locations impacted by Sandy and the Election Week winter storm. Not what you wanted to read for such a gorgeous Veteran's Day no doubt.

WILL IT PRODUCE SNOW? 
That's much too early to tell with any certainty. However it is notable that models have accurately projected 2 major coastal storms several weeks in advance, and both exceeded the worse case scenario for many. 

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1 comment:

Amy said...

Seriously? The year we decide to cross off seeing the Macy's Thanksgiving Day parade live. One of the few time I'm going to wish away a storm!