Tuesday, November 13, 2012

"...what to do with 
the time given to us." 
- Gandalf, in The Hobbit (YouTube clip)

6:25 PM EST 11/14/12 (Winter Stormcast Team) With U.S. snowcover already at 30% and the majority of Canada well-coveredPowderhounds know the time is drawing near to start waxing the board and checking the bindings. For those in the transportation, utility and emergency management communities whom have followed us the past, you know when we start ramping up the language, we're not just whistlin' Dixie. 

As Gandalf said, "All we have to do is decide what to do with the time given to us."

"HOW ABOUT THE QUICK FYI?"  If you insist, here's the reason for the hub-bub:
  • Strange as it may seemwe are not predicting a long, brutally cold winter with high levels of snowfall for these same areas. Why? An expected El Nino collapsed back to  near neutral, so the traditional influx of warm Pacific moisture that accompanies Nino patterns (as was observed in recent years such as 1997-98, 2002-03 and 2009-10) is less likely this winter. But we expect this to be another "hybrid winter."
  • So what's the deal? Instead of a knock-down, drag out winter, envision your operational management plans if your facility or location were to receive 80% of your winter weather within a 3-week period-- leading up to the holidays. 
  • And the rationale for that? The run-up of snowcover may permit large and cold high pressure systems in central Canada to build up. When they eventually move southeast toward the U.S. the calendar will have moved to December. This factor combined with above normal sea surface temperatures in the western Atlantic, and a generally more-slow moving storm pattern, means any coastal storms -- in similar fashion to Hurricane Sandy, may be able to throw back a lot of moisture of over large areas. 

Interested in a FREE preview of access to our team's internal analyses? We invite you to attend a special 30-min "Q & A" Long Range teleconference call with the Winter Stormcast Team on THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 15 at either 10:00 AM or 2:00 PM EST.

If you are already a member of our Winter Risk Email List, then you'll receive an invite today. If you'd like to join the no-spam, secure, no-obligation list for the Q & conference call, send us a short note to winter@footsforecast.org.

You'll be on the inside of our team's discussions of the winter pattern going forward, and gain insight from the Winter Stormcast Team across the U.S. 

  • The call is led by members of our Mid-Atlantic Team with years of experience working big storms for us and our readers.
  • The Winter Stormcasters will be answering questions from our Administrative Team about the indicators and what lies ahead toward the December holidays.
  • Participants are not obligated or asked to state their name on the call, if asking a question are requested to note their county and state so we can best answer.

NO HYPE, JUST HELP  We're here to be your go-to source long before the storm, or right before it arrives. We have a competitive range of winter weather consulting services available to keep you well-informed and prepared. For legal backing, in addition to business liability insurance, we have a 50-state case law review on file regarding "Forecaster Liability". This first-of-its kind brief was prepared for us by the intellectual property firm Bell Nunnally & Martin in Dallas, Texas. For risk managers and liability attorneys, the review puts the other side on notice that we've already done our homework - and so clients can confidently engage with us.

This winter, 
If you need a "Snowstradamus" at your side,
we're ready to teach you what we know.

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