Monday, January 12, 2015

Ready for the Refreezing?


  • RAIN SHOWERS INTO EVENING TO BE FOLLOWED BY NORTH WINDS OVERNIGHT DROPPING DROP TEMPS NEAR 25 F BY DAYBREAK FOR RURAL/SUBURBAN AREAS, AROUND 30 F IN CITIES.
  • STANDING WATER WILL REFREEZE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE REGION, AND TUE MORNING MAY BE MORE "ICY" THAN MONDAY.
  • REPRESENTATIVE LOCATION BELOW FOR AREAS NORTH & WEST OF CITIES ALONG I-95 IN VA, MD AND SOUTHEAST PA

3:20 PM 1/12 - Icy and soggy Monday, then black ice Tuesday? 

(Forecaster Mike) We have another concern for some refreezing tonight causing more ice tomorrow. Temperatures are gradually warming up today, and with the help of the sun we can lose some of the ice. Still use caution through the early afternoon hours if you are out on the roads as there could be slick spots! 

TONIGHT - Showers early, ending by midnight. Then dropping temperatures. We may see the NW counties drop below freezing around 12am-1am, reaching the Bay by 4am. Most of the region will hit the mid to upper 20s tonight so black ice and refreezing of today's rain is possible. 

TUESDAY - Not much melting, with highs only expected to reach the upper 20s under mostly cloudy skies. Use caution with black ice patches possible. 

TUESDAY NIGHT - Brrrrr. Not as cold as we've seen, but lows will fall back to the mid teens. 

WEDNESDAY - Perhaps some flurries/light snow showers, otherwise cloudy and very cold with highs in the mid 20s. 

LOOKING AHEAD - Thursday and Friday shouldn't be as bad, with more sunshine returning and highs at least into the 30s. By Saturday and Sunday a warming trend will begin with dry, sunny conditions and highs pushing into the 40s. The pattern in the next 1-2 weeks doesn't look nearly as cold, as the last week, but we will see how long it takes for winter to return. Stay tuned for the latest and have a great day!

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11 comments:

Morpheus said...

so has Wednesday's possible snow event evaporated?

Foot's Forecast said...

Not at all Morpheus. We are simply working the data and using some lesser known techniques to tease out from the oomputer models some indications of how the Wed event may play, before we release those details publicly.

Morpheus said...

Great looking forward to the Foots interpretation, as always!

Mike Cheuvront said...

My take will be that it will be insignificant and verify more south and east. Not a major deal for northern or central maryland.

Morpheus said...

I am south and east, but dusting to an inch is not that exciting. With the miserable wet winter us in the south and east had last winter - I will enjoy what flakes fall our way!

Mike Cheuvront said...

Hope you get it Morp. We have a ways to go yet this winter but the hype before winter set in about what to expect has let everyone down so far with a thud. The overall outlook was for above normal snowfall but we get there with more frequent smaller storms. So far there has been very little in the way of snow. We have a ton of time left and the juicy part of winter to go yet. Keep the faith. There is alot of moisture around this year and we just need everything to come together. It likely will at least a few times.

BioPat said...

I agree with you Mike. Winter is still very early and there has been significant moisture and now the cold has moved in to play as well. No doubt we'll get our share of snow just not right now. Statistically our most significant snowfalls occur in mid=February and I would think between now and then we'll see plenty of the white stuff. However I do think we will see more frequent small storms instead of any super Kahunas.

ravensbbr said...

Keep an eye on the NAO as well.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.shtml

Looking to trend downwards here. Always good for setting up a blocking pattern and clobbering us instead of letting these slip by to the north and west...

BioPat said...

Whoa!! Just stepped outside and found it sleeting. With temps dropping tonight well below freezing I'd say we'll have another icy mess tomorrow morning.

NeedaSnowday said...

Just let pup in and it was still raining here, but it is close to 37 degrees, so no sleet yet. How low is temp going to go tonight?

Butch Dynomite said...

Good ole NAM.....gotta go with NAM.....NAM's the Man for southern MD