Sunday, February 15, 2015

"Til I'm chilled clean through to the bone."


"Til I'm chilled clean through to the bone."

There are strange things done in the Midnight sun...


7:15 AM 2/15 (Forecaster Mike) As we all huddle in our homes listening to one of the strongest Arctic blasts in the last 20 years, it's no solace to learn that temperatures over the next 36 hours will rival the coldest of January 2014, and will easily be the coldest February temps since 1996. Sorry Sam, not even Plumtree down in Tennessee will get to be warm in this outbreak. 

An overview of the current NWS Advisory statements:

  • WIND CHILL WARNINGS are in effect for the entire region until noon Sunday for wind chills approaching -25ºF overnight and Sunday morning. 
  • WIND CHILL ADVISORIES will linger until 6PM Sunday with wind chills still as low as -15ºF. 
  • HIGH WIND WARNINGS are in effect for the entire region until 2PM Sunday for winds of 30-40 mph and gusts to 60 mph. We are concerned about downed trees, power outages, and blowing snow. 

SUNDAY AM - Brutal cold, strong winds, blowing snow, low visibility at times. Lows will fall to below 0ºF for the NW counties and to the single digits closer to the Bay. Winds 30-40 mph with gusts to 60 mph will bring wind chills down to -25ºF. 

AFTERNOON -  Miserable cold. Temperatures reaching highs in the mid teens with winds still at 25-35 mph from the NW and gusts to 55 mph. Wind chills even during the middle of the day could be as low as -10 to -15ºF. 

TONIGHT - Even colder. Back down below 0ºF and the lower single digits closest to the Bay. Thankfully, winds won't be as bad. NW at 15-25 mph. 

MONDAY - Cold and moderately windy with highs in the low to mid 20s and winds from the NW at 10-20 mph. 

LOOKING AHEAD - The Monday-Wednesday system is still uncertain, We will have a storm to the south which may shift north, but we will have to wait and see on this. Regardless, mid next week wil bring another punishing arctic blast. Enjoy above freezing temperatures? Well, today was probably the last one of those for quite a while. 

For those those who know the context of our headline, 
with all this cold, that fiery furnace aboard 
the Alice May sounds pretty nice right now.





15 comments:

NeedaSnowday said...

Flew in from Orlando last night.... Holy crap! Turbulent landing, snow pouring out of sky, and the major roads were a hot mess! Haven't felt bitter cold like this in quite some time!! No wonder folks retire to Florida........☀️

Andy, Southern York County Pa said...

Winter Storm Watches should be up by mid afternoon for all of central and southern MD. Massive shifts in guidance paint a picture of a 6-10 inch snowstorm for our entire region.

Trends have been amazing and all guidance is unanimous in a moderate to major snowstorm.

This will be the first of the season for our entire region. Hit the liquor store, crack open the can of Manwich, it's been too long, but storm central is back in a great way!

Andy, Southern York County Pa said...

Timing:

6:00 pm Monday evening through mid morning Tuesday, moderate to heavy high ratio snow. Details are still emerging so it would be foolish to make a call, but 6-10 is a general idea of the potential.

Westsidehideaway said...

Well. So we have another storm to talk about? I hope it's not another teaser. Not going out today except to move the snow off the driveway and cars. Waiting to do it this afternoon after the wind dies down.

kyleZ said...

Well I hope this storms pans out for us haven't seen more than three inches in a storm and another shot of cold air later this week looks to keep it around if it does snow.

kristia35 said...

Personally I hope it continues to tick north because I have something very important to do that day. Never have those words left my mouth before and they probably never will again but I really need mother nature to do me a solid on this one.

NeedaSnowday said...

Don't toy with me Andy... I am going on about 23 total hours of sleep since last Monday... Field trips can be brutal - even to sunny, warm Florida! I need sleep so Tuesday morning's outlook could provide great relief!!

Unknown said...

THESE ARE 2 POSTS I MADE BACK ON THE BLOG FROM FEB 7TH--- Mike Cheuvront said...
We can get snow without a negative NAO. It does happen but it does not look good for a NEGATIVE NAO THRU FEB 20th give or take a few days. The 14 day outlook does not see the NAO going negative. Couple that with the sun angle issue we will be facing in MID MARCH and we have about 2-3 weeks or so for a big storm. Now the outlook does see it falling toward negative but then going back more positive around the FEB 16. All hope is not lost BUT- Bottom line-----It's not looking real good right now for Mid-Atlantic Powderhounds. That's my take based on the model outlook. Again we can get snow with a positive NAO but it's not the best scenerio for us in Maryland. Maybe the models will be wrong in our favor.

2/7/15, 11:03 AM
******AND THE OTHER POST WAS****** Mike Cheuvront said...
I feel we should be looking to the period between Feb 16-20th for a possible,major storm.

2/7/15, 3:31 PM
*********************************SO THIS IS THE STORM I POINTED TO BACK ON FEB 7TH. EVEN A BLIND SQUIRREL FINDS A NUT IN THE WOODS EVERY NOW AND THEN.

Foot's Forecast said...

You go Mike!! Join our Long Range team, you'd have good company there.

Andy, Southern York County Pa said...

I'm sold for 6 to 12 inches region wide. While qpf is modeled less north trends continue to shift north. Banding also will come into play. Someone could see an isolated 13 to 14 inch total around or to the south of Baltimore. I think models will expand qpf and trend wetter this evening. Watches will be out shortly.

Unknown said...

If the cold air hangs in there for a while, we may be in for a wild ride finish to winter as the NAO looks to go negative as we get closer and into March. Would it not be nice for a slow moving coast hugger to tap the warm gulf water that is sitting right now off the North Carolina/Virginia coast?

Unknown said...

But let's enjoy this potential sweet action first. We may have another next weekend too. Powderhound it up everybody!

River Rat said...

It's been pretty clear that arctic air was going to make an entrance into the mid-atlantic late this season and here it is. Feb 20th through mid-March is going to be very interesting as a result. The NAO even shows a promising trend toward negative as the calendar flips into the 1st 10 days of March.

It simply takes a look back in time along the mid-atlantic to find some very impressive March storms. Perhaps our winter is about to begin....

Unknown said...

I JUST LOVE AN ECHO

River Rat said...

Mike, relax big guy. I wasn't echoing you at all, I didn't even see your above post when I posted...I've been seeing this coming well before seeing your comments.

But if it makes you feel better to beat your chest and say you are THE MAN and the one and only to see this was coming....knock yourself out...lol! Wow,and I decided to post recently because I thought you guys were above being rude to folks...guess I was wrong there!!!