Friday, September 8, 2017

A SIGHT YOU SELDOM SEE

A Sight You Seldom See
  • ATLANTIC BASIN NOW SUPPORTING 3 HURRICANES, 2 OF WHICH ARE CATEGORY 4, BOTH WITH WINDS OF 150 MPH (IRMA & JOSE) 
  • KATIA ONLY 6 MPH AWAY from becoming the THIRD consecutive category 3 or above storm to form just this month! 
HURRICANE 411 CENTER: IRMA, JOSE AND KATIA



Concerned about track changes?
Monitor the satellite loop
It is direct access to the most important model: Reality.






HURRICANE X...?
...is the beyond catastrophic, no win scenario for Florida and Georgia.  The landfall and aftermath of a Category 5 striking a major city, and then directly impacting several cities in rapid succession, would be a watershed event in American history. 

...is the extreme "nuclear nightmare" of the same storm striking BOTH Miami AND Savannah, which is so outlandish it may have no parallel in known climatology.

..but is not a guaranteed outcome, as the laws of physics will continue to govern the final path of this storm. We have given it the moniker "Hurricane X" because it may not be deserving of a human name.


This map shows projected mean wind speeds for Sunday morning 9/10. 
Think carefully about this: If the mean wind is 130-140 mph, what are the gusts?
What traditional structure is designed to withstand that kind of force for 6-12 hours?
  • SOUTH FLORIDA: MODELS SHOWING BEYOND WORST CASE SCENARIO THAT UNTIL NOW ONLY EXISTED IN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING. Category 4 or 5 storm with 10-15 feet of surge raking several hundred miles of densely populated coastline with tens of billions of dollars in property value.
  • LANDFALL JUST SOUTH OF MIAMI would ads to an inland track with 120-150 mph winds on the east side that will damage or destroy over 50% of all structures in an area containing over 6 million people.
  • BISECTING THE STATE on a track just west of I-95 will bring the core of strongest winds over hundreds of square miles of critical transportation and infrastructure resources.
  • 200-300 BILLION DOLLAR COST when it is realized that large portions of downtown Miami, slated thus far to be in the eyewall, may receive higher elevation winds of 150 mph + for 6-12 hours where high rises reach 300 feet or more.


Savannah, Georgia


What this track really means
  • Large portions of the power grid may need reconstructing in areas where winds exceed 120 mph east of Lake Ockeechobee to the coast and south to Miami.
  • Schools will be heavily damaged or destroyed over dozens of counties, and unavailable for 3-6 months. Alternate structures that would have housed students from a displaced school will also be destroyed.
  • The inland danger of rainwater overtopping leeves and flooding lakes is easily overlooked, until you consider how the 1928 "Forgotten Hurricane" killed at least 2,500 people just in the Lake Okeechobee area from a storm less powerful than Irma. Rescue efforts were hampered by thousands of snakes which had been deposited in trees by the wind and waves of the Lake.
  • Large resupply locations such as big box stores will have their roofs demolished, torn off or completely destroyed, with major damage to interior contents. This will severely hamper recovery efforts as locations to house and protect supplies will be limited due to the widespread damage to available buildings.
FF Team Note: This is a rapidly evolving situation which will have countless spillover impact on people across the country and around the world. We have only just begun to touch on the hard-to-fathom long term ramifications of a storm of this magnitude. If you wish to offer insight on the risks and dangers of this storm, please do so in the comments.

2 comments:

holly balsamo said...

Foot....you summed it up truthfully and very matter of fact. Much appreciated. It's a no win.
Former MD resident and Katrina impact family.

holly balsamo said...

Foot....you summed it up truthfully and very matter of fact. Much appreciated. It's a no win.
Former MD resident and Katrina impact family.