Monday, March 19, 2018

KITCHEN SINK...

It will be everything but the

FAKE VS. REAL: Can you tell which forecast is true? 
(Wonder why weather forecasting is harder than predicting politics, or teenagers? Now you know.)

SINK SCENARIO A: "Rain and sleet before 11 am, then rain, snow, and sleet between 11 am and 2 pm, then snow and sleet likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain after 2 pm. High near 36. Northeast wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. 

OR:

SINK SCENARIO B: "Rain and snow before 2 AM, then changing to rain, sleet and snow between 2 am and 5 am, possibly mixing with freezing rain before 8 am, then rain through 11 am. High 35. Snow, freezing rain and rain likely from 11 am to 4 pm. Wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow and sleet accumulation."



THREE OPTIONS FOR WHAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN:
(Either way, powder cats won't be happy with it.)

  • OPTION 1: Don't Steal My Sunshine. With tropical road temps of 75-80 F today and a mid March sun angle, light precip amounts and marginal air temps in mid 30s suggest the weather impacts would be as minimal as the applicant list for a job at the White House this year. 
Any snow / sleet or freezing rain that would fall in daytime hours would quickly melt away like ice sculptures at an Australian Christmas Party. A 50% chance this comes true, with a varied collection of school districts delaying, others open on time, and everyone else complaining about something.
  • OPTION 2: Come and Get Your Love. The "ping-ping" of sleet on your window around daybreak Tuesday is first indication this day will not go as planned. Better get the high octane Starbucks. Upper level thermal profiles indicate you (if you = east of 270) get sleet- stormed for 6 hours while trying to drive on oil-greased ball bearings all over the road. 
Then you're hit with the kitchen sink of "rain and sleet, or "freezing rain, sleet and snow"; or "rain, snow and sleet" or "snow and sleet" or -- ok you get it. Either way, it's a total hot mess of a day, and then there's a Winter Storm Watch thrown in there for 3-6" of more snow starting Tuesday evening. What's not to love about this, since it has a 40% chance of being your wrinkle in time?
  • OPTION 3: Total Eclipse of the Heart. Like many famous busts in Marches gone by, you awake to the sounds of ... nothing. No precip, no rain, sleet or kitchen sink. You grudgingly head into work or school dragging your arms like Wreck-it Ralph wondering why we even bother having a winter. 
You check airline ticket costs for a romantic weekend getaway to Duluth, MN while rain and then partly cloudy pile up outside your office or classroom window. Meanwhile, this has a 10% chance of happening, since we have two Low pressures coming -- at least ONE of them will deliver frozen precip to someone in _________ (insert desired school district you prefer to be closed Tue or Wed).
WHAT'S THE BOTTOM LINE WITH THIS STORM?
  • Expect a surprising amount of change and intensity with precipitation types throughout Tuesday, with some early dismissals, delays or closures.
  • Plan for heavy, wet, wind-driven snow on Wednesday as the region will grind to a halt much like January 26, 2011.
  • Anticipate widespread refreezing and delays on Thursday as temperatures fail to cross 30 F before late morning.
- Forecaster Foot and the FF Winter Stormcasters


31 comments:

NeedaSnowday said...

HAHA Rebecca... yaaaass the GIANT SUCKING SOUND you hear is all of us getting sucked back in!

I am anxious to see what happens...it was rather warm today! Streets brined and kids outside in tee shirt/shorts!

EGADS!


NeedaSnowday said...

BTW.... FOOTS I AM SOOOOO HAPPY TO SEE YOUR POSTS!!!!!

Butch Dynomite said...

I was never out . Hope springs eternal

NeedaSnowday said...

dont look now Butch… there's actually potential for an event on Sunday 25th too!!!!?

Westsidehideaway said...

Hi Everyone. I missed you! I’m going to enjoy the next 48 hours of checking in and hearing what is falling out your window. I’ll keep everyone posted on the situation in West Bmore. Pray for snow, snow and more snow!!

Matthew Buerhaus said...
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Matt B said...
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Anonymous said...

I used to enjoy this site. Was bummed to not see it updated often this season. But was disappointed to see the dig at Trump in this post. If anything is not funny this year, it’s political commentary. This site should understand that it’s main audience are the ‘red’ counties across northern MD. Not too smart to offend us. The Ravens found that out after the kneeling fiasco in London, but did find plenty of empty purple seats easy to find on Sundays thereafter. This site just lost a devoted lifelong follower. Removing bookmark now. Shame people feel they need to inject their political beliefs into everything they do. In the true spirit of Foot’s forcast I bid this parting farewell; in the words of Baltimore’s famous Edgar Allen Poe, nevermore.

Melissa Thornton said...

I love Foot's! Weather trumps politics any day.
(See what I did there?)

Westsidehideaway said...

Sleeting downtown at 10:20am. Roads look okay but grassy areas are turning white.

Butch Dynomite said...

According to NOAA every county in Maryland is a pink county or a purple county. Sleet accumulating in cold spots in Towson I think changing over to rain at the moment.

Michael Lombardi said...

Baltimore county here, what I don't get is everyone seems to be acting like the snow is tomorrow, but the forecast calls for 5-8 inches of snow and ice TODAY (not including tonight). I woke up to sleet and decided to work from home even though no one else is and my office isn't planning on closing so far. We're supposed to get more snow today than the rest of winter combined and yet everyone is shrugging it off focusing on tomorrow!

the married guy said...

snowing hard in northern Harford Co now, starting to accumulate on non treated hard surfaces

Wisconsin Native said...

Thank you for providing another entertaining yet informative article on what we are going to experience today and tomorrow. Foot's gives nuance that helps you track when things don't go exactly as the forecast called for.

Definitely thought the Foot's team was being comical not political. Politics have been difficult to predict, but weather is another beast. Also, there's a record number of shortages for White House jobs. If reading about that upsets you, then you probably are the definition of a snowflake (pun intended).

NeedaSnowday said...

Puking snow.... everything’s covered!!!

I LOVE IT!!

Kelly Tucker said...

Praying that the snow finally falls on this end. What a bust of a winter, this could make my whole winter. Bring it on!!! Does it look good for Upper Marlboro, MD???

Westsidehideaway said...

Just made it home to West Bmore from downtown. Outside temp according to the car was 32 degrees. At times it was freezing rain/snow and coming hard. Now, very light freezing drizzle. The sun is working hard to keep the roads clear. Slushy but passable.

Luvwinter said...


I am so happy to see these post. Happy Snow days Everyone!!! Thanks Foots!!!! We miss you.

Westsidehideaway said...

3:30pm and there is a lull in the action. Spitting freezing rain with no impact to roads. MTA busses are moving through the hood just fine.

Mike Cheuvront said...

Over 6 inches in Manchester Md. foot to foot and half is a fair bet.

Kelly Tucker said...

Wow, lucky Manchester MD folks!!! I'm jealous, where's my snow? Will it ever get here or will it be a bust?

Westsidehideaway said...

5:00pm and still just light freezing rain in West Baltimore.

NeedaSnowday said...

Hey Westside!

Snowing again.. very fine, but consistently coming down! I am ready for round 2!

Perhaps that will trigger Juleeeeee, BioPat, and Andy from PA to come out to chat!!

Woohooo!

the married guy said...

6 to 8 inches in Jarrettsville, not as much on hard surfaces, time to break out the snow blower, yikes!

Westsidehideaway said...

Hey SnowDay! How are you? Light snow in West Bmore at 7pm. A little stickage on the road as it has been at freezing for a couple of hours and the sun is setting.

The fireplace is ready for tomorrow. I’m praying for good 5-10 inches and working from home.

I’ll check in around 9pm with everyone. Enjoy!!

Westsidehideaway said...

8:30 pm Tuesday and light snow in West Baltimore. Warning now in effect. Justin Berk’s 8pm update is in and he upped his totals for me to 6-12in by the time it’s all over late tomorrow night.

Yippeeee

Butch Dynomite said...

Good fire going in Parkville but precip is a little thin . Ready to get this crankin again

NeedaSnowday said...

WOOOHOOOO!


HCPSS closed tomorrow.. I AM SLEEPIN IN!!

I sent Andy a message --- hopefully he will drop in!

Westsidehideaway said...

Weird. Back to rain in Bmore at 8:50. Like at Woodstock we are screaming “No Rain, No Rain”.

Rebecca said...

Quiet night in Northeast Bmore. Looking forward to the onslaught later today. Even hubby planning on working a half day.

Mr. Foot said...

Happy Day 2 of Spring everyone. Glad to see the long time crew is back, and we are still here, just convalescing. Know what 2018 and 2010 have in common?

It was about 8 years ago the last time we made any reference to politics in our posts. So twice in 10 years not bad. Guess that means we are good now until 2026 or so if that is ok with everyone! ;-)