Saturday, May 15, 2010

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 Crown's Second Jewel: Lookin at Lucky


6:30 PM SAT 5.15.2010 Congratulations to the owner and jockey of Lookin At Lucky for being victorious in the 2010 Preakness Stakes. The smashing blue skies made for a photo finish of a superb day, helped by lighter winds and temperatures in the mid 70's as projected by Central Maryland Forecaster Greg J. Thanks to all our forecasters and readers for the fun of covering this unique tradition the past few days. Preak On!

All-American Day in Maryland

11:30 AM SAT 5.15.2010
Glorious sunshine and moderate breezes will make for a wonderful day to celebrate the most exciting two minutes in Maryland sports. An early streak of luck has already set for today's wagers, as much improved conditions look to following last night's storms. By today's post time of 6:18 PM EDT at Pimlico Race Course in Montgomery County, MD, despite breezes of 10-15 mph, the 74 F and  sunshine will make you feel so nice, it won't matter if you don't win, place or show in the 135th Preakness Stakes! Follow race forecast updates on our Central MD Facebook page.

Although we have our preak on today for what some consider to be Baltimore's Mardi Gras, there's much more history and revelry than just the edgier infieldfest . This is an gallant event steeped in tradition which is also promenade of who's who across the Mid-Atlantic region. It is a privilege  for the Foot's Forecast Central Maryland Team to showcase some nice weather in welcoming all our readers to a fine slice of Americana right here in Charm City. Photo: Hat's Off article in Baltimore Magazine.

I GOT THE HORSE RIGHT HERE. Remember the fun opening tune "Fugue for Tinhorns" from Guys and Dolls? Since today's weather is clear, is your horse the one who "can do?" If so, vote on our poll.  Mr. Foot of course is rooting for "Schoolyard Dreams"  followed by Lookin At Lucky, with Super Saver for good measure. What's your pick? Note: No member or affiliate of the Forecast Team is using reader votes to place bets of any kind for today's race, nor do we have any financial interest from or for the event.

Monday, May 3, 2010

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The Georgia-East Tennessee Zone
Visit our Facebook Foot's Forecast: Southeast | Severe Weather Twitter Feed
E-mail  Forecaster Daniel Ross: Georgia Institute of Technology 


UPDATE 5.17.2010 10:00 P.M.
Sorry for the extreme lack in updating. Finals got in the way toward the end of April/early May. 

Anyway, the weather in our area has been mostly quiet with a few tornadoes running through the Tennessee area. Over the next few weeks, tornado will come to a close and hurricane season will start up. It'll be interesting to see how the weakening El Nino will affect the tracks this year. 


Summary: 
The stationary front currently over our area will transition into a cold front and will move south into southern Georgia and North Florida, continuing the pop up thunderstorms typical to those areas. Now that this front has passed, we won't see any significant chances of precipitation for a while (although isolated showers/thunderstorms are possible).


Coming Soon: The Socioeconomics of the Oil Spill: An Editorial

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
Click for radar or advisories
TN: Morristown | GA: Peachtree City 

MEDIA and WEATHER
WSB (Atlanta) | WXIA (Atlanta) | WGXA (Macon)| WRDW (Augusta)
First Coast News (Jacksonville) | WCTV (Thomasville/Tallahassee)





Saturday, May 1, 2010

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Southeast Zones

The link below each banner connects you with latest updates from the Forecast Team dedicated to that region. NOTE: This format is experimental, under construction and part of our transition to a new website coming in June.

GEORGIA - E. TENNESSEE              THE CAROLINAS
Team: Daniel, Chris D., Chrissy W.






Wednesday, April 14, 2010

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"Back in the High Life..."
- 1986 single and album title by Steve Winwood

8:00 AM THU 4.15.2010
Southwesterly flow on the backside of the high pressure system will bring warmer conditions north today. Increasing temperatures and rising moisture content of the atmosphere should spawn thunderstorm activity across the northeast and southeast from Friday evening into Saturday morning.

THE 2010 POLLEN AND PEST ATTACK! Much of the Eastern U.S. experienced record precipitation this winter from both rain and snow. Although NOAA reported a generally cooler than December to February overall, millions of trees and flowers began blooming early, firing up the allergy season with force up as soon as winter signed off. The copious precipitation will lead to a record mosquito outbreak this year, rivaling the allergy annoyance. Then there will be those lovely little black waterbugs too. Ahh, the joys of warmer weather.

Projections from the North Atlantic Oscillation are a heads up going into the April 19-23 Earth Week: Negative values of the NAO index suggest cooler than normal temperatures then. This time of year, that is usually accompanied by showers and stationary fronts. The trade-off would be rainy conditions can at least clear the air for allergy sufferers; though it permits more standing water for mosquito larvae to inhabit. We just can't win for losing. Back in the high life again? For Powderhounds, that's the start of Meteorological Winter, December 1. Surely you can hold on for another seven months now, can't you?

Thursday, April 8, 2010

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"Oh what a beautiful morning..."
- from the Rogers and Hammerstein musical Oklahoma

7:00 AM THU 4.8.2010
Like the famous line from Oklahoma, today's temperatures and summer-like skies certainly makes it feel as though we're gettting the Fourth of July cookout ready instead of putting away Easter decorations. The good news is that easterners looking for relief from the heat will get it from the cooler temps to follow tonight's severe storm potential as the front sweeps east. Until then, you know the drill for this setup: Warm southerly breezes will pump in humid air all day, combining with daytime heating and sharp temperature changes approaching from the west. That's a spicy recipe for severe storms by 9:00 PM tonight containing wind gusts near 50 mph and small hail likely.

Georgia and the Carolinas will be in the crosshairs first this afternoon, followed by Virginia this evening and Maryland-Delaware-Pennsylvania into the overnight hours. As time and school schedules permit, our forecasters will be posting updates in our Severe Storm Center throughout the day and into the evening.

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

2 comments:
"Some like it hot..."
- Robert Palmer in the 1985 single by his band Power Station

7:00 PM EDT TUE 4.7  While some are welcoming this summer preview, many others may not be so thrilled with Robert Palmer's idea of "turning up the heat 'til we fry." Afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 80's across dominated much of the Eastern U.S., with some locations tying or exceeding record highs of 85-90 or above for today's date. The last time it was officially this warm so early in April at Dulles Airport was April 7, 1991 (84 F) whereas today, Mother Nature did 5 degrees better, reaching 89 F by 2:00 PM EDT.
Regarding severe weather risks, the chances increase by Thursday across GA, AL and TN as well as the Mid-Atlantic region into Friday morning. The warm moist flow ahead of a somewhat stalled front in the Midwest will continue to raise humidity and heat index levels until it moves through by Friday. Outdoor sports fans and athletes alike should keep a watchful eye to our Severe Storm Center for an early word on where the next outbreaks may pop.

With thunderstorm and tornado activity building across the nation, the Forecast Team is seeking citizen forecasters or university meteorology students interesting in collaborating on Severe Storm Center updates. Review our application procedures, submit a letter of intent to team@footsforecast.org and you can become a "face with the place" of Team Foot's Forecast.

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

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"Tell me can you feel it...the heat is on!"

6:00 AM TUESDAY 4.6.2010 
With today marking the return of most families to a regular schedule following Spring Break, our headline probably speaks to many corners about the week and months ahead. A summer-like pattern has turned on the heat across the eastern U.S., with a frontal boundary draped over the Great Lakes. Highs today in many areas will reach or exceed 80 F by mid-afternoon. The western Atlantic surface high will feed Gulf moisture through the eastern U.S., setting off occasional bursts of severe weather in the Midwest and Ohio Valley. The eastern seaboard is likely to be spared any significant severe weather outbreaks for the next 36 hours.

Those working outdoors, in second floor school buildings with no A/C, or in after school sports will begin feeling the heat and rising humidity. Coaches and athletes alike: It's time to get back in the habit of hydrating frequently. We're also watching weather for Major League Season Openers, so check your regional forecast zones in the left sidebar on who hits 90 F first today.

Another place turning hot is the expansion of this website. We are fired up to welcome new contributers to our team of citizen forecasters. Student meteorologists Nick Scirico at North Carolina State University and Daniel Ross at Georgia Tech are steaming ahead with development of a Facebook forecast page for the Tri-State Region (NJ, NY, CT). Nick is originally from Albany, NY. NC State students Drew D. and Erik P. are helping launch a forecast zone for the entire Carolinas. In the Mid-Atlantic, Forecasters Ryan Krimm and new forecaster Aaron Salter launched "the Bayshore" for eastern Maryland and Delaware, Greg Jackson pitched forward the Birdland Zone and Jason M. moved on a new Facebook forecast page for the Capital Region. We're also turning up the temp from the southern Chesapeake to the tropics with exciting developments soon to set sail. Winter was just rehearsal for the team you can count on every day of the year. ~Forecaster Foot

Monday, April 5, 2010

1 comment:
Northern Virginia - Western Maryland
to the West Virginia Panhandle
Forecaster Karl Jackson - Manassas, Virginia


11:00 PM SUN 4.11.2010 
I am back everyone, bringing the Virginia to the West Virginia Zone back on the map!!  I started a new job last month working 15 hours a day which was something that I had to get used to.  Now on to the weather.  There is not much to talk about because it will be pretty much the same for the next 7 days.  Look for highs ranging from the mid 60's to the lower 70's and lows in the 40's.  The only hiccup in the forecast might be on Tuesday night when we might have a chance of showers.  Enjoy the nice weather!!


-Karl-

KEY FOR ZONE MAP (image credit: Sterling, VA National Weather Service)

Red Metro Zone
Green Western Suburbs Zone
Turquoise I-81 Zone
Grey Mountain Zone 
Click the link below for your detailed forecast in each zone


Thursday, April 1, 2010

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"Walking on sunshine..."
- lyrics from 1985 single by Katrina & The Waves

10:45 PM THU 4.1.2010
After the fury of Pour'easter II like so many previous storms this year, many of you were walking on sunshine today. Friday, temperatures across the most of the Eastern U.S. will continue climbing into the upper 70's to low 80's. For the first time since last fall, the entire Eastern U.S. will be blessed with a nice weekend.

Despite wonderful sunshine, our hearts and prayers are extended to residents in the Northeast reeling from the second major flood in three weeks as observed by the Northeast River Forecast Center. It is no surprise the National Weather Service in New York City reported this to be the wettest March on record for some these areas. For example, Central Park, received 10.69 inches of rain for all of March.

"THE OCEAN STATE...
UNDER WATER."
- Providence News Journal. Even more stunning is rainfall observations in Rhode Island from Wednesday 3.31A similar 10" of rain actually fell ALL IN ONE DAY across parts of Rhode Island, as shown below in the Significant Event Report from the Taunton, MA NWS Office or click the image for a larger version. Flood Warnings are extended to 5:30 PM today across much of southern New England.

However, data and charts mask the true suffering of people whose lives, dreams and vacation plans were suddenly swept away by this latest round of an harsh El Nino-influenced season thus far. The enclosed MSNBC video gives a sense of how tough it will be some residents faced with resurrecting livelihoods and towns already strained under a difficult recession for many. We wish them Godspeed, hoping the sunshine dries the flood and warms the heart.

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

1 comment:
FEATURED FORECASTERS
by PSU Meteorologists Matt Alto and Jonathan Kegges on Palestra.net
7:00 AM THURSDAY 3.25.2010 Today's feature videos are from Forecasters Matt Alto and Jon Kegges. Matt joined the team in December 2009 and has covered the Northeast Ohio area since January 2010. The first video, recorded Wednesday for a Thursday broadcast is by Jon Kegges, a Meteorology senior at Penn State. Jon has forecasted for our Western Pennsylvania Zone since January 2010. Each week Matt and Jon prepare forecast videos for the college sports network Palestra.net, and we are proud to showcase their work to demonstrate the caliber of your Forecast Team.


Matt Alto, a junior at Penn State University majoring in Meterology, provided the Tuesday night broadcast as shown below. Matt was recently rated the #1 most accurate college student forecaster by the North American Weather Challenge Contest conducted by the University of Oklahoma.


Each day this week we will feature different zones or accomplishments of these multi-talented enterprising young men and women. We hope it will inspire you to tell all your friends something like: "Hey go check Foot's site.. there are some amazing kids on there doing national videos and zone forecasters all over the east coast." Putting it in perspective, all that's happened on this site the past six years was just the first inning of what will be a very exciting ball game. Opening day is coming soon, got your tickets?

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

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"Not enough time..."

SYNOPSIS  (for those with not enough time)
- Pacfic Ocean temperature anomalies due to the current El Nino cycle remain above historical averages, suggesting that stormy weather will persist through the Spring for much of the Eastern U.S.
- Colder conditions are expected this weekend across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast as a storm system travels through the southeast while high pressure orients near the Great Lakes.  Brief periods of snow are possible late Friday into Saturday for parts of the Mid-Atlantic.

6:00 AM TUESDAY 3.23.2010  From the not-yet-recovered flood waters of the northeast to the snowmelt floods of the northern plains or the latest round of winter weather in the southern plains -- there's been not enough time in between events for residents to catch a break from the onslaught of 2010. It has been a "Wherever you are" year, as much of the planet has endured a more variable fall-winter-early spring due largely to the cyclical nature of the 2009-2010 El Nino.

As reported by the Southeast U.S. Farm Press, the impacts of El Nino have already caused significant problems for farmers in some areas, yet helped produced a bumper crop in others.  Is help on the way? Perhaps, depending on where you live. Preliminary data reported by NASA suggests a possible weakening trend, but with Oceanic Heat Content anomalies still above 1.5 degrees C, the Climate Prediction Center reminds that effects of the current cycle will linger well into summer.

GREAT. WHAT ABOUT THIS WEEKEND?  The problem with being in an extreme cycle is that it can take a considerable period of time to rebalance.  Thus, the Forecast Team does not recommend you put away all the winter gear just yet in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. As recent as April 6-7, 2007 - some eastern cities saw measureable snow on Easter eggs and gave the bunny a chilly morning trip. We are watching for the potential of a shift in the cold regime from the central plains to the east, with the possibility of a chilly rain or brief overnight snow Friday into Saturday from Virginia through central Maryland to eastern Pennsylvania.

Monday, March 22, 2010

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THE SPRING BREAK ZONE
"TRAVEL & WEATHER GO TOGETHER"
FORECASTS FOR HOT VACATION SPOTS
By Forecaster Ryan K., Dundalk, Maryland

"It's time to say goodbye"

8:45 PM TUE 4.6.2010 Well ladies and gentlemen, after forecasting for the best Spring Break locations, the breaks that many students, teachers, parents, and others experienced is winding down and saying goodbye to everyone. I am sure that next year, the zone will return, forecasting for even more places and in a stronger form. Spring break is meant to enjoy, and I hope everyone that hoped to have some time for themselves did so, because many love it this time of year. Tune in next year as the Spring Break Zone will surely be revived. FAREWELL FOLKS! From Forecaster RYAN.

8:30 PM FRI 4.2.2010 In many of our vacation spots which are being forecasted for, the weather this week was very enjoyable, except for the passing shower or two. In this piece of the forecast, I will be issuing 3 day outlooks for the next 3 days (Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.) These forecasts are going to be in textual format unlike the last set because of the shorter period that is being analyzed. The locations that were previously used are the 14 that will be followed up on. Enjoy!


*Note: COP Denotes [chance of precipitation]


3 DAY OUTLOOKS


South Padre Island, TEXAS
Saturday: Sunny | Hi: 79 | Lo: 71 | COP: 0%
Sunday: Sunny | Hi: 81 | Lo: 69 | COP: 0%
Monday: Mostly Sunny | Hi: 80 | Lo: 72 | COP: 5%


Cancun, MEXICO
Saturday: Mostly Cloudy | Hi: 86 | Lo: 66 | COP: 20%
Sunday: Partly Cloudy | Hi: 85 | Lo: 67 | COP: 10%
Monday: Mostly Sunny | Hi: 87 | Lo: 66 | COP: 5%


Kingston, JAMAICA
Saturday: Partly Cloudy | Hi: 84 | Lo: 75 | COP: 15%
Sunday: Partly Cloudy | Hi: 85 | Lo: 74 | COP: 10%
Monday: Mostly Sunny | Hi: 84 | Lo: 73 | COP: 5%


San Juan, PUERTO RICO
Saturday: Chance of Showers | Hi: 84 | Lo: 73 | COP: 30%
Sunday: Mostly Cloudy | Hi: 85 | Lo: 75 | COP: 20%
Monday: Slgt Chc of Showers | Hi: 87 | Lo: 76 | COP: 25%


Saint Croix, U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
Saturday: Chance of Showers | Hi: 83 | Lo: 74 | COP: 35%
Sunday: Slgt Chc of Showers | Hi: 85 | Lo: 73 | COP: 25%
Monday: Slgt Chc of Showers | Hi: 84 | Lo: 75 | COP: 20%


Key West, FLORIDA
Saturday: Sunny | Hi: 80 | Lo: 71 | COP: 0%
Sunday: Sunny | Hi: 80 | Lo: 71 | COP: 0%
Monday: Sunny | Hi: 82 | Lo: 69 | COP: 0%


Cocoa Beach, FLORIDA
Saturday: AM Fog/Sunny | Hi: 77 | Lo: 61 | COP: 0% 
Sunday: Sunny | Hi: 81 | Lo: 60 | COP: 0%
Monday: Sunny | Hi: 79 | Lo: 61 | COP: 0%


Fort Lauderdale, FLORIDA
Saturday: Sunny | Hi: 80 | Lo: 71 | COP: 0%
Sunday: Sunny | Hi: 83 | Lo: 69 | COP: 0%
Monday: Mostly Sunny | Hi: 79 | Lo: 69 | COP: 5%


Disney World Resort, FLORIDA *Orlando
Saturday: AM Fog/Sunny | Hi: 83 | Lo: 61 | COP: 0%
Sunny: Sunny | Hi: 84 | Lo: 62 | COP: 0% 
Monday: Sunny | Hi: 87 | Lo: 60 | COP: 0%


Panama City Beach, FLORIDA
Saturday: AM Fog/Mostly Sunny | Hi: 69 | Lo: 57 | COP: 5%
Sunday: Sunny | Hi: 70 | Lo: 56 | COP: 0%
Monday: Sunny | Hi: 74 | Lo: 63 | COP: 0%


Myrtle Beach, SOUTH CAROLINA
Saturday: Sunny | Hi: 78 | Lo: 56 | COP: 0%
Sunday: Sunny | Hi: 79 | Lo: 58 | COP: 0%
Monday: Mostly Sunny | Hi: 80 | Lo: 60 | COP: 5%


Nassau, THE BAHAMAS
Saturday: Partly Cloudy | Hi: 78 | Lo: 67 | COP: 10%
Sunday: Partly Cloudy | Hi: 80 | Lo: 68 | COP: 10%
Monday: Mostly Sunny | Hi: 80 | Lo: 69 | COP: 5%


Lake Havasu City, ARIZONA
Saturday: Mostly Sunny | Hi: 80 | Lo: 56 | COP: 5%
Sunday: Partly Cloudy | Hi: 80 | Lo: 57 | COP: 10%
Monday: Mostly Cloudy | Hi: 74 | Lo: 52 | COP: 15%


Disneyland, CALIFORNIA *Anaheim
Saturday: AM Fog/Partly Cloudy | Hi: 70 | Lo: 51 | COP: 10%
Sunday: Mostly Cloudy | Hi: 65 | Lo: 52 | COP: 15%
Monday: Chance of Showers | Hi: 63 | Lo: 46 | COP: 30%


10:30 PM SAT 3.27.2010
The big week has finally arrived. For most, this is the weekend in which many people are taking their vacations away from home and are enjoying a true "break." For some it couldn't have came any quicker, and is truly a breath of fresh air.

Enjoy these forecasts for 14 great destinations:















If anyone has any locations that they would like to have forecasted, please drop it in the comments and I will make it happen. Thanks!

Sunday, March 21, 2010

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"This is the time to remember..."

View current temperatures as reported by Air Sports Net Weather

6:30 AM MONDAY 3.22.2010  Billy Joel's lyrics used to represent yesterday as the first full day of Spring hopefully spoke to many people in numerous ways. Snow- and cold-weary residents of the southern and central plains no doubt wondered if Spring even remembered them. Meanwhile, New England residents still under Flood Warnings  from the pour'easter-snow-melt-mayhem of last week probably agreed the weekend was a time to remember: A three or four-day string of 60's and 70's. If that summer-like preview had you thinking of warmer locales, bookmark The Spring Break Zone and enjoy Ryan K.'s forecasts for hot vacation spots across North America.

The contrasts observed on March 21, 2010 were memorable. Consider: As DC's cherry blossoms began unfurling for next weekend's national festival, palm trees in Dallas gritted their teeth through snow and temperatures in the mid 30's. While Tulsa, Oklahoma ground to a halt under their fifth major winter storm of the year, temperatures in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast climbed into the 70's.

Words to the weather wise: Those in the Northeast know paybacks are coming for that early Spring gift, as evidenced by the HPC 5-day precip forecast. All that moisture-laden energy is now charging over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, to descend on familiar areas: The Tennessee Valley, I-95 corridor, eastern PA and southern New England.

From the Forecast Team
On the Mid-Atlantic Facebook page, we invite you to a brief tour inside recent meetings of the Maryland and Pennsylvania teams which met at Penn State and the University of Maryland. This week, we plan to build our new specialty zones, including more Spring Break forecast details and the much-anticipated "Birdland Zone."  This will be first in a series of forecast projects utilizing our shortwave tracking techniques to predict arrival, duration and departure of inclement weather during pro baseball games. We will first focus on Camden Yards, and then expand from there to nearby stadiums in the Mid-Atlantic. Season openers are coming up soon - we're watching the long range already!

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

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A SUNNY ST. PAT'S
but looking for luck in the flooded Northeast

7:15 AM WEDNESDAY 3.17.2010  It is an appropriate turn of events to have such improved weather on this St. Patrick's Day of 2010. Our thoughts go to those in the Northeast reeling from the "Pour'easter" floods, and will need all the help they can get to dry out. Hopefully today's golden sunshine we found at end of the rainbow will help.

Our Wednesday Outlook:
For the Mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley:  Sunny with highs in the low to mid 60's. For the Northeast, portions of which remain under flood warnings: Sunny but breezy with highs in the low 60's. The Southeast: Unfortunately, the rainbow did not extend as far south as hoped, for a low pressure system in southern Georgia will produce rainshowers for much of today across the eastern Gulf coast and lower southeastern states. Details in the Georgia-N. Florida Zone.

NEW FEATURES & SITE UPDATE: The Forecast Team is pleased to announce The Capital Zone, led by Forecaster Jason M. of Calvert County, MD. Also just launched on Sunday our first regional facebook page...Foot's Forecast: Southeast, led with southern charm by Forecaster Daniel Ross. The current facebook page stays with the Mid-Atlantic, led by the ever spot-on Forecaster Winterman. Forecaster Ryan K. has been busy again with an overview of the second half of March in the Long Range Zone. He is also developing a new travel forecast feature: The Spring Break Zone with a focus on what to expect in warmer locales for this coming weekend, the period March 26 to 31, and the first week of April to follow.

AS FOR THE NEW DOMAIN Under advisement from several school systems in Maryland, we are navigating the new site domain to http://www.footsforecast.us/.  By the end of today, all browsers should point there, regardless if you use the .org /  .us  / .blogspot. With a few days, the .blogspot.com domain will disappear entirely, thus solving the problem that many encountered with school filtering systems. Thanks everyone for your patience during this switch - many great days are ahead as we move toward a new site.