Friday, March 4, 2011

25 comments:
It may be
"All Quiet on the Western Front";
In the east, not so...

7:45 PM
Tornado Watches until 11PM in North Carolina and Virginia

7:40 AM EST Sun 3/6/2011 - Today's action on the advisory map continues to be the risk or presence of flooding in the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic, with Winter Storm Warnings in upstate New York and Northern New England. We anticipate clearing by tomorrow as the front passes through the region. More details later this morning.

See Current Severe Wx details at WINTER STORMCAST


10:10 PM EST Sat 3/5/2011 For those along the east or west coast, the relative calm out your window could easily deceive the extent of flooding dangers in progress throughout the Ohio Valley and Midwest. Flood Warnings elsewhere in numerous states as denoted in bright green on the NWS advisory map. Flood Watches and Advisories from Tennessee and Alabama north and east for almost the entire Appalachian mountain chain into Pennsylvania. Winter Weather Advisories continue northward into New York. It is ironic to note this storm arrives on the anniversaries of the Great Ash Wednesday Storms of both 1960 and 1963.

If you live in or are located in an area prone to flooding, or under an NWS advisory, we urge you to remain on high ground and not to drive or walk over water-covered roadways at any time for any reason. Flooding can happen anywhere and often with little or no warning. The best decision is to simply Turn Around and Don't Drown.

Our multi-state team of student forecasters is closely watching the situation. On facebook, you can follow reports by Affiliate Forecaster Joe Puma at the Puma Weather Center from metro Chicago, Our Ohio Valley Severe Weather page with Lead Forecaster Terence Keaser in western Ohio, the Central Pennsylvania team of Forecasters Dakota Smith and Patrick Ritsko at Penn State.

In the Southeast, our Georgia team is on the watch with this storm at their new page, Foot's Forecast | Georgia, including Lead Forecaster Daniel Ross and Forecaster Chris Davis from GA Tech. Reports for different regions include Mississippi State Meteorology graduate and Forecaster Brandon McKenzie, University of Georgia graduate and Forecaster Paul Prance, and our newest Southeast Team member Matthew Munsey, from Savannah, GA who is studying Atmospheric Science at Cornell University in New York, but originally from San Diego, California. Now THAT is an example of multi-state collaboration right there!
(Lead Advisor Mr. Foot)

Welcome To Weather Camp
NOAA/NCAS 2011 WEATHER CAMP: FLYER | APPLICATION (PDF)





MARCH 4, 2011 | During this brief calm period in advance of the Midwest and East coast storm system expected for the weekend, our team would like to take some time to introduce you to an important nation-wide partnership in which we participate. The U.S. student team of Foot's Forecast has been partnering with the NOAA Careers & Weather Camps since last summer. How did it all come about? Through the suggestion of a student, who attended Weather Camp in summer 2009, then became a forecaster in December of that year... and the rest is history. Read further or check the links above if you or someone you know might be interested in this innovative career-building experience for students in summer 2011.

The NCAS CAREERS Weather Camp is an outreach program funded by grants from NOAA and National Science Foundation. The program is headquartered at Howard University's National Center for Atmospheric Science in Washington, D.C. The weather and climate-centered camp program began in 2007 with three sites in the U.S. and a vision: To provide authentic "career-exposure" opportunities for bright and under-represented middle or high school students interested in the fields of science, technology, engineering and mathematics. The Weather Camp Program funded in part by the NOAA Educational Cooperative Agreement # NA06OAR4810172 and partners with the meteorological training and outreach company How The Weatherworks, Inc. in Naples, Florida.

WEATHER CAMP 411 (Get an inside look via this Associated Content slide show on activities from previous weather camps since 2007). As you'll see from the slide show, Weather Camp can be for many, a life-changing experience. For others, it is an eye-opening look at the many opportunities available to those interested in science as a career.

For two weeks, students are "engaged in hands-on activities, field experiments, seminars, tours of research facilities, and workshops that expand their knowledge of atmospheric sciences, weather and forecast models, and environmental instrumentation." A resident program for rising high school sophomores, juniors and seniors, the camp provides exposure to the college experience through their interactions on campus, interactions with Atmospheric Sciences STEM and graduate students, and use of campus computational and academic facilities.

In the four years since, "Weather Camp" spread from three sites, to six
in 2010, to over ten sites for Summer 2011. As noted on weatherworks.com, the program at Howard University will have one high school residence camp and possibly up to 3 middle school commuting camps. Camps (either middle and/or high school) are slated in Mayaguez (PR), New York City (NY), El Paso (TX), Greensboro (NC), Jackson (MS), Lincoln (NE) and Phoenix (AZ). Work has begun on expanding the weather camp program to more than a dozen sites by the summer of 2012 in conjunction with existing partners and requested funding. Applications are now being accepted for Summer 2011.

THE FOOT'S FORECAST CONNECTION?
In 2010, our team developed a partnership with How The Weatherworks, Inc. and Howard University in order to provide qualified weather camp graduates an opportunity to advance their forecasting skils by joining our multi-state teams.

In addition to two of our forecasters having attended the Howard weather camp in 2009 and 2010, several Mr. Foot and Dakota Smith presented the Foot's Forecasting concept to several NOAA Weather Camp Directors at the 91st Annual Conference of the American Meteorological Society January 27 and 28, 2011.

As reported on the weatherworks website: "We are now heavily involved in fostering the nationwide growth of Foot's Forecast, an innovative weather forecasting program showcasing the talents of interested high school and underclass college undergraduates. You may wish to check in to see what future meteorologists are capable of delivering in the way of weather services."

Now that is what we call an innovative partnership. With the potential for numerous forecast zones to be launched between now and Summer 2011, the future looks very bright for both Foot's Forecast and the NOAA Weather Camp program.

Photos: Top right - a composite of experiences from weather camp. Middle left: The Summer 2010 Howard Campers visit the NOAA World Weather Building/NCEP in Camp Springs, MD. Lower right: Mintong Nan (left) and Dakota Smith (right) are both forecasters on our team in two different zones - and attended Weather Camp in summer 2009.

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

No comments:
In like a Lamb, at last...

8:00 PM EST Tue 3/1/2011 After yesterday's wild weather across the nation, March arrived today in rare fashion...like a lamb. As we close out "National Pink Day" temperatures for most of the country are trending toward warmer hues of yellows and pink and away from colder blues.

Despite this welcome calm, many areas in the central and southern states are picking up the pieces from over 300 storm reports on Monday. Though rain has ended for all those affect by yesterday's cold front, widespread Flood Warnings remain throughout the Midwest and Ohio Valley. Our team urges all readers to remember that the best choice when faced with flood waters: Turn Around, Don't Drown. No activity or deadline is so important that it requires placing you and your family at risk by driving or walking into water on roadways.

We are pleased to report weather for the week ahead will remain calm for most of the country. The notable exceptions for today will be the customary windy conditions along the East coast. Winter Weather Advisories / Winter Storm Warnings for the northern Rockies, upper Great Plains and Big Sky Country of Montana. Our next storm system to affect a large area is not expected until at late week...but its presence is already being felt off the Pacific Northwest coast as Hurricane Force Wind Warnings are in effect.

Welcome to March everyone, may it be a month of safety and preparedness for all. (Forecaster Mike N., Apprentice R. Johnson and Advisor Mr. Foot)

Thursday, February 24, 2011

22 comments:

Saluting the students

We hope that through the recent round of storminess across the country, one idea shone through on this website: That the real workhorses of this team are the high school and college students spread across twelve states that make Foot’s Forecast a innovative multi-state collaborative. Before the next attack of wild weather gets underway this week, the advisors would like to take this time and salute these dedicated, energetic and hard-working students for managing updates, collaborating at all hours of the night, posting facebook reports, consistently featuring NWS graphics, linking to public safety advisories, and engaging the readers to do whatever it takes to keep all of us ahead of the storm. Our sincere gratitude for serving as an excellent example to all of us, and for being the proof of what your readers already know: Students are capable of achieving much more than most people expect.

With deep appreciation to our student forecasters,

Mr. Foot, Mr. Lear and the Advisory Team


6:00 PM Sunday, 2/27/2011

9:45 PM PM EST

TORNADO WARNING FOR PARTS OF MISSOURI AND KANSAS

TORNADO WATCH FOR PARTS OF MISSOURI, KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA
until 9 PM CST

The Desert Southwest was hit today with heavy, blowing snow, especially in the higher elevations. This event strengthened as it entered the Southern Plains this afternoon. Fog, followed by moderate to heavy precipitation is possible. Ample Gulf moisture will enhance this storm as it moves towards the Mississippi Valley Sunday night, will possible severe thunderstorms.

Heavy rain and thunderstorms will affect the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys for much of today.



A front moves northward into the Midwest, Great Lakes and New England regions Sunday night, causing wintry conditions that will affect travel.






"Phil, I think you may have been wrong..."
More snow moving across America

11:00 PM Saturday, 2/26/2011 Dense fog is a danger in the Northern Plains tonight and Midwest is in for freezing rain and a Wintry Mix tomorrow.

Snow will come to the Desert Southwest by Sunday, where a strong cold front will push as far South as Central Arizona.

Severe weather returns across the Southern U.S, where a cold front moving into the Central and Southern Plains on Sunday have plenty of warm, moist Gulf air to meet it.

A short wave from the Upper Midwest will flow to the Northeast Saturday and off the coast by Sunday. The Great Lakes, New York, and New England, should only expect light to moderate snow. Exceptions
(Advisor Lear)




Calmer with the sundown,

but it's not over, yet...
Tragedy in Kentucky
(4:00 PM...sad update)

8:00 PM Friday, 2/25/2011 A mid-level low and upper-level jet are the mechanisms pushing a front through the East. Gulf moisture and instability associated with the front have produced potentials for blowing and drifting snow across the Midwest. This system has pushed the central Atlantic, but not before dumping more rain, some with Thunderstorms. High Winds are played havoc in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast regions, New England will continue to receive moderate to heavy snow through early tomorrow.

The Upper Mid-West
shows Hazardous Weather Outlooks that call for dangerous wind chills overnight.

The Plains States have Winter Weather Advisories that include Freezing Fog Alerts.

Another strong upper-level trough swings southward along the Pacific Coast over the next couple of days keeping the western U.S. very active with wide spread rain and snow. Much of the Mountain West is under some form of Winter Advisory. (Advisor Lear)

A two-storm Thursday
Details in the
6:00 PM EST 2/24/2011 A high-impact "dual" storm system arriving is crossing the country, bring rains and flooding from Arkansas northeastward to Pennsylvania, and frozen precipitation north of that. A severe weather outbreak is also in progress, with the latest tornado watch posted for portions of a 6-state from East Texas to Central Tennessee.

Severe Thunderstorms Warnings are also posted within this area.



TORNADO WARNINGS FOR...  Areas in TENNESSEE...
Areas in MISSISSIPPI...
UNTIL 1015 PM CST
Areas in ALABAMA...
UNTIL 1030 PM CST
TORNADO INFO
TORNADO WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT UNTIL FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS:
LOUISIANA UNTIL 10 PM CST
MISSISSIPPI, ALABAMA, TENNESSEE
UNTIL 2AM CST
Winter Advisories, Watches, and Warnings extend from Kansas to Maine, and everywhere in between.
The Northern Great Plains aren't being spared, with snow and below zero temperatures. Some areas in Horse Country may receive over 4" of rain, and many areas in the South are under the gun for possible severe weather this afternoon and tonight, where possibilities of Tornadoes exist.

Areas of the East may suffer power outages tomorrow due to high winds, and while the Southwest may not be getting Winter Weather, but they will have their own concerns with Red Flag Warnings.

THE FORECAST TEAM ADVISES YOU MONITOR LOCAL NWS FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS BY ENTERING YOUR ZIP CODE IN THE UPPER LEFT SEARCH. (Advisors Lear, Foot and the Eastern U.S. Forecast Team)