Tuesday, April 19, 2011

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From The East to The West...
...Our Students Have Got You Covered...


NEW: Afternoon update from the Pacific Northwest
(Facebook page being built as you read this.)

TROPICAL NEWS? National Hurricane Conference
Depression near Puerto Rico...

2:10 PM EDT Thu 4/21/2011


Fire Danger remains critical across the Southwest, where over 100 homes have been destroyed in one area alone. Thunderstorms pose a slight risk from Texas into the Missouri Valley. Hail the size of baseballs was reported yesterday in Oklahoma and Texas. The West, Mid-West, and South should see some precipitation today or tonight.

The Pacific Northwest will send a cold wave into the Mountain West, causing significant high-elevation snow across Idaho, parts of Montana, and Wyoming.

Action moves East...Mid-Atlantic next


11:00 AM EDT Wed 4/20/2011
Although all Tornado Watches have expired, instability and daytime heating combined with high dewpoints may fire off another round of strong to severe storms from the Mid-South to the Mid-Atlantic this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked damaging winds as the greatest risks in this next event. Please visit our Stormcast page for on-going updates if any SPC watches are posted, and continue monitoring local conditions and your NWS office for indications severe weather is developing in your area.

Our Severe Weather Teams in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast will be posting overview and updates in our regional facebook pages today. When a local NWS warning is issued, details will be reposted in the affected zone.

We welcome applications from prospective forecasters in the Mid-West, Southeast or Mid-Atlantic. With 33 preliminary reports of tornadoes received by the SPC yesterday, there can never be enough "eyes on the sky" to assist the Weather Service and local TV broadcasters in keeping the public well-informed. If you are in high school, college or the workforce and are interested in joining our multi-state consortium of forecasters, visit our pages for Applicants or Affiliates or contact us: footsforecast@gmail.com.

To learn about our team, programs and services, visit the "Who we are...what we do" page in the left sidebar, or read about us as featured in the media.

Previous reports from Tuesday's outbreak in the Mid-west follows:

Visit our Stormcast page for latest
on the Midwest tornado outbreak

10:45 PM EDT Tue 4/19/2011
Tornado Watches now extend from Northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma through western Arkansas and southern Missouri into central Illinois

Additional areas under watches now include West Tennessee, western Kentucky, central Indiana, western Ohio. The Storm Prediction Center has received preliminary reports of 23 tornadoes as of 9:25 PM CDT and 273+ severe weather incidents thus far in this outbreak across the Midwest.

Today is a classic "Tornado Alley" setup as warm moist subtropical air from the Gulf is clashing with cooler drier air from the upper Great Plains enhanced by upper level influence from the jet stream. Rapid updates on this potential 2-day outbreak will be covered by our regional teams in their Severe Weather forecast pages in facebook, including the Southeast, Ohio Valley, Mississippi and the Mid-Atlantic.

If you are an area under a tornado watch, closely monitor sky conditions and your local NWS forecast office for possible warnings, and seek cover immediately if you suspect severe weather is approaching.

For readers in the Central States, we look forward to increasing our local coverage for your region. We seek additional forecasters in high school, college or the workforce from Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky or Tennessee. Once past this current outbreak, please visit our application page and becoming the face of the place for weather in your state.

Welcoming New Forecasters Please check the Western tab above for a Pacific Northwest regional forecast provided by our newest team member, Apprentice Forecaster Mark Ingalls of Southeast Washington State and his website covering the Tri-Cities area. In the Southeast, we welcome Associate Forecaster Jeremy Buckles from the University of Tennessee in Knoxville, leading a new forecast center in facebook for East Tennessee.

2:25 PM EDT Tuesday 4/19/2011
As residents of the southern states continue picking up the wreckage wrought by 241 tornadoes in 14 states, other parts of the country are facing different challenges. Red Flag Warnings for increased fire risk cover much of Texas and the southwest, while flood warnings advisories remain a constant presence in river valleys of the Upper Mississippi, the Lower Mississippi, the Red River, in the New England States, as well as in the Upper Rockies.

Winter Storm Warnings are posted in the Upper Great Plains and northern Great Lakes, with Winter Storm Watches also posted in those regions.

The next round of severe weather is expected for the Midwest today into tomorrow. If it aims for Mississippi, you can expect Storm Chaser Vince Webb will be on the scene just like he was for WATP-16 minutes after an EF-3 tornado tore through Clinton, MS. Vince's interview with the TV station begins at :50 in this video clip posted on his FF Mississippi Severe Weather page. (Advisors Foot and Lear)

Ahead of this next outbreak, we would like to extend to you, our readers, an opportunity to join our team. Read further for details.

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Welcome Pacific Northwest

The U.S. Team of Foot's Forecast is pleased to introduce our newest Apprentice Forecaster, MARK INGALLS of Southeast Washington.  Mark is a high school student with experience in forecasting and a passion for weather. He will be leading forecasts for the Pacific Northwest, Eastern Washington and other areas,  as well as collaborating with our Central and Eastern U.S. teams and professional meteorologists around the country.

Tuesday, 4/19/2011 
Good day Northwest! This is Apprentice Forecaster Mark with your Tuesday regional roundup. We had a chilly start to our morning across much of the region today, with lows reaching below freezing in most areas. Also, this morning, there is some shower activity in the Everett area that might drop some snow or freezing rain.

Overview Throughout the day today, expect a scattered drizzle in the lowlands of Western Washington, the Okanogan Mountains, and along the Washington/Idaho border, along with flurries in areas above 1500 feet. This system is not expected to impact travel over the Cascades. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain dominant, bringing sunny skies to the Tri-Cities and Yakima areas. For updated weather in the Columbia Basin, check out my local sitehttp://mizweather.blogspot.com

In Washington This weather pattern can be expected to last through the week, with highs this week will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s in the Tri-Cities and Yakima, and mid to low 50s in Spokane, Seattle, Tacoma, and Vancouver. Freezing level today across the Cascades will be 2500 feet, meaning all of the major mountain passes will not get above 32F.

In Oregon Astoria area, along with a chance of valley rain and mountain snow in the Blue and Wallowa Mountains east of Pendleton. A storm will move in from the southwest on Wednesday that will bring valley rain and mountain snow to most of Oregon except the Columbia Basin. Temperatures across the state this week will reach into the upper 50s in the Pendleton area along with the Columbia River George and the Willamette Valley including Portland and Eugene. Low to mid 60s can be expected farther south along I-5 in Roseburg and Medford, and the high deserts in the southeast can expect a high in the mid to upper 40s. Freezing level will be 4200 feet in the Blues, and 4500 feet in the Oregon Cascades.

For Idaho and Western Montana In the mountains north of the Snake River Valley, one can expect scattered snowfall today, with the highest chance of snow just south of I-90 between Coeur d’Alene and Missoula. There will be a break in the precipitation tonight before another storm pushes in from California on Wednesday evening, bring a chance of rain from Boise up the Snake to Rexburg, and a chance of snow north of these areas with the exception of Lewiston and Coeur d’Alene which can expect drizzle. 

Temperatures across much of the state will remain pretty chilly, with the warmest areas (Boise, and Twin Falls) expecting highs of around 50, warming up a few degrees tomorrow. Lewiston can expect a high in the upper 40s, with Coeur d’Alene in the low to mid 40s. Freezing levels will be around 2600 feet in the central portion of the state. 

On behalf of the entire Foot’s Forecast Team, thanks for reading, I am Mark Ingalls in Kennewick, WA wishing you a great Tuesday!


The ole' West will be new again
Join our team...and represent your state

If you are or know a weather enthusiast, college student or high school student with a passion for forecasting and climate analysis - tell them about our team. We are seeking talented forecasters from all fifty states to build our "national network of local teams." 

BEST ALTERNATIVE? BE AN AFFILIATE: If you're in college and already have a lot of responsibilities, but love to forecast and are looking for an "occasional" way to work with us...there is a solution. You can participate as an Affiliate Forecaster. Visit this page for details on how it works. If you are ready to become a full team member for your state, then read on:

Criteria for launching a new zone in any U.S. state or terrority is for a forecast advisor to be pre-trained and ready to collaborate with students in helping them become "the face of the place." Advisors can be teachers, professors, parents, even a minister - it is someone you trust with experience in weather and climate who can guide your forecasting development.

Prospective forecasters in the workforce, in college and grade 10 or above in high school are welcome to submit an application and get the "snowball" rolling.

(link to image source as shown on left)

Our advisors range from life-long weather enthusiasts to high school and college science educators, professional and broadcast meteorologists, members of the COCORaHS network, emergency managers and parents alike. To serve as an advisor, send us request for information to footsforecast@gmail.com

Our site traffic shows us that over 5,000 readers hail from just California alone, so we are working daily to identify areas suitable for new forecast zones. if you are interested in spreading the word about our goals to "go west" please contact us at the email listed above.

Sunday, April 17, 2011

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Who we are...what we do
As Smashmouth would say, "it doesn't make sense not to live for fun"

Ready to make an impact and pursue your passion for weather? Foot's Forecast is more than just a name of its founder, it is a belief in the power of engaged students and supportive professionals. Our diversified U.S. team counts talented forecasters, teachers, students, consultants and weather enthusiasts among our members. Whether you are in high school, college, or are in the workforce, there are many opportunities to become "the face of the place" for weather in your state. (L to R- North Carolina State Meteorology graduate Nick Scirico, Fusion Forecaster and high school junior Evan S., Bayshore Forecaster Samatha H. from the Univ of Maryland and Director of Strategic Media Diandre Williams - Jan 2012) 

With 50 active members in 20 states from Illinois to NYC metro to the Mid-Atlantic, the Southeast and the Western U.S., we are the largest and most diverse student-professional forecasting consortium in the United States. Our successful model of student and public engagement is driven by consistent, locally relevant forecasts produced by qualified team in your community.

Learn how the team developedreview our media portfolio or simply Google "Foot's Forecast" and look over the application processand ask us questions: info@footsforecast.org

Forecasters and Advisors
Forecasters serve on county- or regional teams, (such as Central Florida or Central Maryland), and work closely with a qualified team advisor over 21 in their geographical area. Advisors range from professional and broadcast meteorologists, to science edcuators, college professors, and life-long "professional amateurs" who know the weather. Details are found on our application pagePhoto: Lead Forecaster Greg Jackson of the Maryland Team with Meteorologist Bernedette Woods of CBS WJZ-13 - Aug 2010)

What our teams do
Local teams collaborate online with their advisors to predict daily weather for their immediate area, and post these forecasts on their main page zone and a companion facebook page. When weather is on the move across the country, forecasters get an inside view of the action while our teams collaborate in chasing storms or tracking the events. We also provide extensive on-site and on-line training with professional meteorologists and emergency managers. 

Rising grade 9, 10 and 11 high school students can apply for and receive free tuition to attend NOAA- and NSF-funded Weather Camps.

Reach a large audience
By joining a forecast team, your work will have immediate impact on our main site, receives 10,000 hits daily from all 50 states. Our combined facebook audience reaches over 60,000 readers daily. You can update from your phone, by email or post video reports all of which feed immediately to a localized twitter customized for your zone. Our innovative approach is guided by the philosophy that students are valuable contributors to society and if given the chance, can make a greater impact than most people expect would be possible. (Photo: Storm Chaser/Forecaster Vince Webb interviewing Mike Bettes of the The Weather Channel at the Feb 2011 Storm Chaser's Convention.)

How to join a team
We seek high school and/or college forecasters to join existing teams, or locating an advisor to help start a new zone in your area. Visit our "Forecast Centers" tab to familiarize with our current zones. In addition to local forecasting, we cover regional severe and winter weather, tropical forecasting for the Atlantic basin, Long Range Analyses and Climate & Space Science reports.

A few of locations in the U.S. include Central PA, Southeastern PA, the Ohio ValleyWestern MD/Northern WV, the Capital Region , the Bayshore region of Eastern MD / Delaware, the The CarolinasNorth Georgia & East Tennessee and Central Florida. Since our approach is local areas within a state, we welcome forecasters from around the country regardless of location. If you already produce quality forecasts on your site, consider being an Affiliate Forecaster when weather breaks. You would be able to network with all our members in a multi-state collaboration.

Visit our first forecast page in facebook, the Central Maryland Zone to see the impact students are having this exact momentWe also have regional specialty forecast teams such as the Winter Stormcast Zones for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast as well as The Tropical Zone covering hurricane forecasting in the summer. Simply put, whether you've been in meteorology for years, or starting your study of the atmosphere, your talents are welcome, valuable and showcased to our team and readers.

Ready to dive in?
Visit our application pageWe look forward to reading yours soon.
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Palm Sunday calm...at last

7:45 PM Sunday 4/17/2011 - In the wake of the historic 3-day severe weather outbreak, today was a welcome change of pace with sunshine and cooler conditions for places which have suffered so much so quickly. Heavy rain and coastal flooding continue to impact New England, but are ending this evening. Our readers and forecasters alike across the Southeast are still reeling from the most horrific and high impact outbreak of tornadoes in recent memory. Our team is thankful the weather provided everyone some brief time regroup and cleanup.

CURRENT WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES: Visit our Stormcast Tab above  for the latest details on breaking weather in the U.S. "Regional roundups" of all our forecast zones can be found in the Eastern & Forecast Centers tabs above.

SCIENCE GOT TOO CLOSE We extend our deep sympthany to countless families whom have suffered terrible loss in this tornadic event. Preliminary reports show between 80 and 110 tornadoes touched down from Oklahoma to the Mid-Atlantic from Thursday to Saturday. Even members of our forecast team in multiple states were directly affected.  Storm Chaser and Forecaser Vincent Webb captured a touchdown in Clinton, Mississippi   and Georgia Forecaster Paul Prance had a near direct hit on his home. Web Team member Nick Sirico, a junior in Meteorology and food service manager at North Carolina State, led an evacuation of 500 people from the student union building. North Carolina Forecaster Nic Robeson worked the event closely with his Mid-Atlantic colleagues on the FF: Carolinas page. Lead Forecaster Greg Jackson in Hampstead, MD -- tracking the outbreak online with the Maryland Team, himself ended up in his basement as he noticed rotation before a Tornado Warning even issued. 

The point? Our team forecast for the communities where we live, but we collaborate on a national level to bring readers a consistent and refined product that is locally relevant to the people we serve...our readers.

OUTBREAK ANALYSIS As part of the scientific recovery from the event, Affiliate Forecaster Joe Puma, a high school student in metro Chicago has provided a detailed report on the 3-day outbreak on his website: Puma Weather Center.  A quick glance at NOAA Storm Prediction Center reports shows that over 105 confirmed tornadoes touched down in the Eastern U.S. just on Saturday. 

INTRIGUED BY OUR TEAM?  If you are a weather enthusiast, professional forecaster, work from home or a student not yet in college -- are always welcoming new talent. We know you want your skills and time have immediate impact. Our members would tell you there is no greater impact than to know your work has saved lives and is part of a multi-state consortium of college students, high school students, meteorologists. The bottom line? Despite titles and college degrees, we are also regular people who share in the passion of weather. If you want to have a greater impact, and be part of a growing family of forecasters, there's no better time to become "the face of the place" for weather in your state. With 40 members in 13 states and collaborators at 8 universities, there is plenty of room for your creative talents on our team. 

Make that change, innovative your future and contact us at footsforecast@gmail.com

(Photo: Summer 2009 NOAA-funded Weather Camp at Howard University in Washington DC. Featured L to R: are Forecasters Mintong N., from the Capital Region,Forecaster Dakota at Penn State and Forecaster Reginald J. from Southeast PA.)

Saturday, April 16, 2011

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"Don't know why I go to Extremes..."
- Lyrics by Billy Joel in a single from the 1990 Album Storm Front


4:55 PM EDT Saturday 4/16/2011
Destructive tornadoes have swept across the Carolinas today, with multiple warnings in progress and numerous sightings of twisters across both states. Golf-ball sized hail, 90mph winds and extremely violent tornadoes have impacted a wide area in North Carolina and continue to move east. Visit our page at Foot's Forecast | The Carolinas for the latest details.

The Storm Prediction Center issued an important public safety advisory known as a PDS, which stands for a Particularly Dangerous Situation for much of the Carolinas and southern Virginia. This is a special statement that accompanies a Tornado Watch when there is a high risk of life-threatening severe weather, including large tornadoes, destructive hail and damaging straight-line winds. This Tornado Watch is in effect until 9:00 PM EDT. Text of the SPC advisory.

You can follow the latest updates on facebook from our Southeast Forecast Team in the Carolinas, East Tennessee, Georgia, Mississippi and Central Florida. Region-wide updates are also posted in the Southeast Severe Weather forecast page. Tornado Warnings are posted in locally affected forecast zones by region.

Elsewhere in the East, Tornado Watches extend from the Southern Mid-Atlantic into Central Pennsylvania  as indicated by this current graphic from the Eastern Regional HQ of the National Weather Service.

Flash Flood Watches extend across the Appalachian mountains and Potomac River Valley into central Pennsylvania, with Coastal Flood Warnings tonight for all of Delaware and most of the Jersey coast.

SEVERE IN THE SOUTHEAST On Friday, over 70 tornado reports were recorded across the Southeast yesterday, and outbreaks continue in south Georgia. North Florida. The photo featured was taken by Storm Chaser/Forecaster Vince Webb of Brandon, Mississippi after a strong tornado moved through Jackson, MS Friday afternoon. Visit his page for more pictures of the outbreak. The Weather Channel featured Vince's video footage of debris and funnel clouds, and also interviewed him twice by phone during the outbreak.

Vince, a high school senior in Brandon, MS provides live stream and footage to ABC affiliate WATP-16 in Jackson, MS from his outfitted chase vehicle. Last night's lead story on Channel 16 news Jackson, MS started with--"Our Storm Chaser Vincent Webb..." and word is that both ABC in New York and the CBS Early Show received his video.

Our team also extends condolences to the families who lost loved ones and property in this fast arriving outbreak. We effort each day to keep you informed with the local view so that lives can be saved when weather is on the move.

Additional reports and forecasts for other regions are in process and will be posted in the next section. (Lead Advisor Mr. Foot)

Friday, April 15, 2011

Severe Weather Center

11:25 AM Saturday 4/16/11
A destructive and deadly storm system is continuing to march eastward across the Eastern U.S. today. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop and track eastward over the Mid Atlantic this afternoon, with the potential for storms to become severe. Timing for these storms will be from 3PM-9PM. We expect this threat to be mainly south of Baltimore and Frederick MD, with a more widespread outbreak possible for southern Virginia and eastern North Carolina. Damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will likely be the main threats with severe storms. Small hail will also be possible. Stay tuned for any watches or warnings that may be issued later. (Forecaster Jason M. Collaborators: Forecasters Greg J, Nikki B, Connor M.)

NWS Standard Barotrophic Level Fax Charts


SOUTHEAST AREA NWS Forecast Office Locations

SOUTHEAST STORM CHASERS Follow these citizen forecasters, student meteorologists and storm chasers in Mississippi, Alabama, South Georgia, Memphis, Tennessee and Louisville, KY as they research, record and report on outbreaks.

If you are a university or high school student interested in collaborating or forecasting with the Severe Storm Team, contact us: footsforecast@gmail.com

Thursday, April 14, 2011

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Friday, 4/15/2011 10:15 PM EDT

NOTE: the following is from the pages of the NWS. The italics are the writer's.

Fri, 15 Apr 2011 07:45:00 EDT
Strong winds wrapping around the Kansas/Missouri low will pull moisture north, ahead of a steadily moving cold front and helping to fuel the potential for heavy downpours within the thunderstorms. There will be severe storms today from the central Gulf Coast into the lower Ohio Valley. On the backside of this storm system, cold air across parts of the High Plains will shift east today changing rain over to snow with moderate accumulations possible from the eastern Dakotas into Nebraska. Continued wet weather can be expected from the Northwest into the Northern Rockies through Sunday (The Water Train keeps rollin') The majority of the heavier precipitation will occur today and tonight with a surface low as it reaches the coast this evening.

Wildfires continue across parts of the Southern Plains. ...Fires in Texas remain active, increasing in size, and causing smoke along roadways in the area, resulting in road closures. Homes have been evacuated. For Friday, extremely high danger for wildfires exists for the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles, southwestern Oklahoma, and north central Texas. High danger for wildfires exists for eastern Colorado, the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles, western Oklahoma, and much of Texas. Red Flag Warnings are in effect for parts of Texas, Oklahoma, and Colorado.

A deepening low will move across the north central U.S. through Saturday morning. Over the upper Great Lakes...precipitation starts out as freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet... Heaviest snowfalls are expected across northeast Nebraska, the eastern Dakotas and northeast Minnesota.

This Time, Fire and Rain...and Ice?


Thursday, 4/14/2011 4:45 PM EDT

(note: the NWS Weather Hazards Map is down. Links will be provided ASAP)

Texans have been fighting over 80 wildfires in the last week, which have burned over 400,000 acres. Almost 1,000 firefighters from 34 states have responded. The West and Southwest are under posted High Wildfire dangers. This includes parts of Texas, New Mexico, and Oklahoma. Portions of these states are also under Red Flag Warnings. In addition, RFW are posted in Florida.

A Disturbance in the Southwest will travel to the High Plains today and deepen over the Central Plains. It will be joined by a large wave of moisture from The Gulf producing possible severe thunderstorms, with heavy rainfall. This moisture will move eastward and give the Northeast, the Mid-Atlantic, and The South a wet, perhaps very wet, weekend.

A long trough is developing another Spring snowstorm that will affect the Upper Mid-West and Plains to The Great Lakes, perhaps bringing blizzard conditions to the middle of the country. Yet another system is entering the Pacific Northwest, dumping perhaps a foot of snow there in the higher elevations, before moving into the Northern Rockies.

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

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Either we are soaked...
...or in danger of burning.


Wednesday 4/13/2011, 5:20 AM EDT: National Summary

THE BURNING Despite some areas of the East which received over an inch of rain yesterday, several states in the West remain under Red Flag Warnings for increased fire risk due to dry conditions, as well as portions of Florida. Texas alone has seen 125,000 acres burn in the last two days.

THE FLOODING In the wake of Monday's severe weather outbreak and subsequent heavy rainfall, flood watches and warnings extend across much of the Upper Great Plains and Mississippi Valley.

In the East, a slow, strong low which moved through the Tennessee Valley and Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday is exiting the coast today. Ahead of the cold front, a strong southern fetch of moisture streaming into New England is delivering heavy rain along the coast and inland snow.

THERE'S STILL SNOW... In the Pacific Northwest, mountain snow and lower elevation rain arrives today from the next system. Moderate snowfall is also possible across the Tetons and into South Dakota on the trailing edge of a high pressure ridge moving east.

SPECIAL PRESENTATION The Eastern U.S. Team welcomes Maryland teachers to our presentation today at the MD Society for Educational Technology (MSET) at the Baltimore Convention Center. We hope to video tape and post portions of our "media mosaic" titled "Foot's Forecast: A collaborative opportunity for your students" for educators and readers across the country to consider as how to get more involved in our team. Our thanks to MSET for this generous opportunity to present. (Advisors Mr. Foot, Mr. Lear and the Maryland Team)

Visit our "Stormcast" page for more details on today's stormy weather

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The Gamut of Weather

Wednesday, 4/13/2011, 9:30 AM EDT

The Pacific “Water Train” is alive and well, with heavy snow possible from the mountains of Washington south to the mountains of Northern California. Moving Eastward, Utah may receive a foot or more. This system could affect The High Plains and Great Lakes later this week.

New England will see rain though tonight from the Low that dumped over 1.5” of rain in 24 hours in many regions of the Mid-Atlantic. Some high-elevation areas may see snow.

A cold front moving across Middle America could produce Severe Weather in the East by this weekend.

Extreme Fire Weather conditions are forecast in a 3-state area in the Southwest, and a tri-state region in the South.