Thursday, February 7, 2013

7 comments:
Historic Winter Storm To Rival 1978
BLIZZARD & WINTER STORM WARNINGS
FOR TENS OF MILLIONS - 12" to 24" EXPECTED

OUR WINTER STORMCAST TEAM SNOWFALL PROJECTIONS 
8:00 PM 2/7/13 | Updated Overview of Storm Impacts & Timing for Friday-Saturday Winter Storm | Forecasters Zach F., Zach J. & the Winter Stormcast Team 



**BLIZZARD WARNING** - For All of NYC, Eastern Bergen County, Eastern Union County, Eastern Essex County, Long Island, Southern Westchester County, and all of CT *Blizzard Conditions expected here with 10-14" of snow

WINTER STORM WARNING - Northern NJ, Lower Hudson Valley
*12-16" of snow expected in Lower Hudson Valley
*10-14" of snow expected in Northern NJ

Now is the time to prepare for difficult to impossible travel Friday into Saturday, and likely school closures or early dismissals. Snow is expected to begin mid-morning and may mix from NYC on south, but everyone sees very heavy snow Friday night.



SYNOPSIS: 

A HISTORIC WINTER STORM is slated to affect much of the New England states Friday into Saturday and will provide some wintry precipitation across the mid-Atlantic. The mid-Atlantic region should see a mix of snow, freezing rain, and sleet. The precipitation will fall through the day Friday before tapering off overnight Friday night. Almost the entire mid-Atlantic will experience icy or snow covered roads at some point on Friday or Saturday. Read ahead for the amount projections, or see the map above. 

SNOW & TIMING: 

  • From southern & central PA and southern & central NJ north, expect periods of freezing rain, sleet, and snow to change over to snow during the early afternoon hours. 
  • Extreme northern areas of the mid-Atlantic such as northern PA, northern NJ, and NY will see mainly snow as they are expecting a major winter storm with significant accumulation of 6 or more inches are possible. 
  • Expect a possible break of precipitation for a few hours around midday across central & southern PA, central and southern NJ, and central & northern DE before steadier precipitation moves in later in the afternoon from the west. Periods of snow will continue through Friday night before tapering off overnight from west to east. 

WINTRY MIX & TIMING: 


  • By Thursday night, a wintry mix of precipitation is expected for much of the region, except for Northern VA, southern DE, and southern MD which should see mainly rain with some sleet pellets mixing in when precipitation begins.
  • From Thursday night to Friday midday, portions of central MD and central DE will see a mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow to start before changing to plain rain by midday. A break of around three hours in precipitation is possible across central MD and southern DE before steadier precipitation moves in later in the afternoon from the west. Expect precipitation to end from west to east in the regions Friday evening. 

RAIN & TIMING:

  • Southern portions across VA, southern MD, and southern DE will see mainly rain, while further to the north a mix of precipitation is expected. The initial onset of precipitation will begin in these areas from south to north by midnight Thursday night.
  • Expect precipitation to taper off west to east shortly after sundown Friday evening. 

AMOUNTS:



  • Little or no accumulation: Northern VA, southern DE, and southern MD will see a few isolated icy spots, mainly in higher elevations, but otherwise roads will just be wet.
  • Coating to glazing: Central MD and central DE could see up to a dusting of snowfall and a glaze of ice before changing to rain by midday Friday. Central PA and central NJ could see slick roads through the day with light to moderate snowfall possible along with some light ice accumulations in spots.
  • 1 to 3 inches: Areas of southern PA, central & northern DE, and southern NJ should see a glaze of ice Friday morning followed by a few inches of snow once precipitation changes over.
  • 3-6 inches: Portions of central PA and central NJ should see only patchy icy with several inches of snow expected after the changeover Friday. 
  • 6-12 inches: Even further north significant snow is expected to cause major problems in northern PA, northern NJ, and NY.
  • 12+ inches: New York City northward, parts of Long Island, Connecticut, Massachusetts, then Northeast along Atlantic coast into Maine. 
  • 18+ inches: Central CT up through Boston, parts of southern Upstate NY, northern RI. 
Stay safe out there and use extra caution! 





Tuesday, February 5, 2013

2 comments:
A Collaboration Ten Years In The Making...

Pennsylvania Team Leader Andrew Barney, a Meteorology major at Penn State University, presented on behalf of our team at the January 2013 conference of the American Meteorological Society in Austin, Texas. What the power of collaboration can do for you.
On January 26, 2004, during a multi-day ice storm in Baltimore, Maryland, a high school Earth Science teacher heeded suggestions of his students, and began posting their  weather forecasts online for his colleagues. That decision became a vision for authentic local weather. Today, that vision has grown to an international team of dedicated local forecasters across 30 U.S. states to global destinations ranging from Auckland, New Zealand to London, England. Their secret sauce? Collaboration. Passion. Innovation

Your Support Matters. For any readers who wish to support expanding our vision of "authentic, local weather from a trusted team", please visit this link to make a donation, or click the button featured in the right column.


We Thank You. This website and our team would not have happened without the loyalty and support of our readers. We dedicate this 10th year commemoration to you, for believing in our vision all these years. New to Foot's Forecast? We welcome you just like everyone else! Get a glimpse of how it all started at this link to the original post from 1/26/2004, and how the team developed from there in Our Story section.


L to R:  Mr . Foot with original 2007 Dundalk High graduate Diandre Williams
with Director of Outreach Nikki Byers, Forecasters Aaron Salter and Jason Mitchell
at the 2011 Maryland Emergency Association conference in Ocean City, MD

The Brief Back Story In the early 2000's, Mr. Foot, a 1996 Penn State graduate in Earth Science, had been occasionally teaching his 10th grade students at Dundalk High School lesser-known techniques of short and long range weather prediction. Their experiments, as rigorous explorations within the Baltimore County Public Schools Science curriculum, had begun to yield surprisingly accurate results. A summary: 

Saturday, February 2, 2013

4 comments:

Snow For The Groundhogs? 


8:00 AM EST 2/2/2013 (
Winter Stormcast Director Zachary Fasnacht) February was welcomed in classic snowy fashion across much of the Eastern U.S., as Lake Effect snows fell across the Midwest and moved into the Ohio Valley and northwestern Pennsylvania. A weak system moving toward the Mid-Atlantic has already produced 4-6" in some locations, with a coating to two inches haven fallen across central Pennsylvania. 

For this reason, Punxsutawney Phil and his buddies in Pennsylvania saw patches of snow Saturday morning, while his cousins in many other states under the "Big Chill" are seeing frozen green grass. Despite the bright sunshine which may have scared Phil off this morning, we are predicting another 6 weeks of Winter, and the next round for some arrives today.

A TALE OF TWO CLIPPERS: 
A series of clipper systems will slide through the mid-Atlantic over the next few days. The current Eastern US advisories from the NWS are shown below:

  • CLIPPER # 1. The first will arrive during the evening hours Saturday. It will bring periods of light snow to Pennsylvania, West Virginia, New Jersey, Delaware, and Eastern Maryland Saturday night into Sunday. Accumulations will be light with a general 1-3" expected. The highest accumulations will occur in the mountains of Western Pennsylvania and West Virginia. The lower accumulations will occur across eastern Pennsylvania and eastern Maryland. 
  • CLIPPER # 2. A second clipper should arrive during the day Sunday, but it will be much weaker bringing snow showers to Pennsylvania, northern Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey. Most areas will only see an inch or two from this system as it will be weak and move quick. So some snow showers are possible as Baltimore Fans sit in their homes watching the big game Sunday evening. 
A few more minor systems will come through the mid-Atlantic next week, bringing some more light snow to the region. We'll be sure to keep all our readers up to date on this next round of systems.. but until then, ENJOY THE BIG GAME!