Wednesday, June 12, 2013

"If you knew then, what you know now..."

NOAA Storm Prediction Center 
Day 2 Severe Weather Outlook

6:35 PM EDT 6/12 (Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather Team) Concern is rising among our team and in the meteorological community for a significant severe weather event on Thursday across central and eastern portions of the Mid-Atlantic. For today, an isolated threat is present for brief periods of severe weather from late this afternoon into the overnight hours along the I-81 corridor in MD, WV and VA. 

SYNOPSIS: The NOAA Storm Prediction Center currently projects a considerably high 45% probability of severe weather for a large, heavily populated part of the Mid-Atlantic. 

  • This scenario would contain strong damaging winds, hail and possibly tornadoes in some areas, as indicated on this map and linked below. 
  • Given that the event is roughly 24 hours out, it is too early to tell what precise areas will receive potentially damaging weather, however, we can say that when NOAA postes a 45% probability this early, it is a very serious concern for those in public safety, infrastructure, and the public in general.