Saturday, November 15, 2014

Faces Behind The Forecasts

TOP (L TO R) EMILY DAY recent Towson graduate; JOEY KRASTEL Screenprinter, Stormchaser, recent CCBC graduate;
DIANDRE WILLIAMS Director of Strategic Media, designer of our Nationwide Facebook logos;
BOTTOM (L TO R) MIKE NATOLI Central MD Lead Forecaster, UM College Park Junior; MEAGAN BUSTER IT Networking, Towson graduate; 
TYLER RICHMAN Central MD Lead Forecaster & Volleyball team captain, C. Milton Wright High School senior
Foot's Forecast is not the work of one person, a single idea, or one team. It was founded in a science classroom of a working class community. Over the past 10 years, the contributions of many have made it much more.

Today, it is a collaborative investment of passion by talented young adults in unlikely places, united by their drive to communicate science with the public. They are intelligent, dynamic and funny. They are healthy, handsome, and pretty. (Weather people always are, it must be an outdoor thing.)

But above it all ...

.. they are inspirational evidence that, despite what the media may say about the youth of America, there are still many hard-working, reliable contributors to our society who make a difference in countless lives every day.

The "Alex From Target" (NYT article) phenomenon of the past month is an interesting look at how and why we use social media today. We are excited that a dedicated, down-to-earth student has earned some credit on behalf of many unsung youth heroes who go about their work and school in a humble way.

Although winter is descending early across America, the lives of our forecasters are brimming hot with potential, highly-marketable skills, and an attitude of service that I think any employer should break down our door to get these rockstars on THEIR team.

And if it was known truly knew how talented these servants really are, employers would be contacting me for referrals. So over time we are going to paint the true story about each of our stars, and if you're interested in seeing a resume from any of them, send me a note: 

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Winter of the Black Swan?

(Forecaster Foot & the Long Range Team) While relative calm has been the general rule this Fall for a good portion of the eastern U.S., those of us who follow long term trends in seasonal climate data are increasingly concerned that a period of major upheaval in weather is fast approaching. 

In this second of our annual three part "What about winter" we will discuss the Black Swan theory and its implications for the winter ahead.

We will also revisit our overview of climate indicators as first posted on 9/22/2014 to determine what changes or anomalies have developed since.

From that assessment, the objective of this report is to present evidence in the data we believe points to the following for this winter:

  • In extrapolating this pattern forward, we suggest storms this winter, enhanced by El Nino, will produce at times, highly disruptive conditions such as heavy wet snow and  strong winds along the coast, paralyzing snow/ice storms in interior areas as well as bouts of higher precipitation hinted by the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO).
  • Long range indicators such higher than normal Siberian snow cover, and a negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) that may introduce cooler temperatures sooner, and also intense periods of below normal temperatures.
  • We are targeting the period from November 15 to 25 for arrival of the Mid-Atlantic's first significant winter storm.  To have a "White Thanksgiving" but miss a White Christmas would most certainly qualify as a rare and unexpected "Black Swan."

Monday, October 6, 2014

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A Team Built By Trust
"My staff tells me that Foot's Forecast is the most accurate around." 
- Former Baltimore County Executive James Smith, in a June 2010 Emergency Operations Center exercise with the Maryland Team.
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Photo: Members of the central Maryland team pause with then-Emergency Manager Steve Welzant of Baltimore County during a September 2012 briefing at the County Operations center in Towson, MD.

Foot's Forecast LLC is a collaborative weather forecastingclient consulting and opportunity-building company headquartered a few miles from Baltimore, Maryland's Inner Harbor. Harnessing the experience and talent of over 50 social-media savvy forecasters and meteorologists across 13 U.S. states. With affiliates stretching from Oregon to Northern Ireland we deliver to clients an unmatched local advantage in authentic weather services.

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