Sunday, November 23, 2014

Turkey in the snow?

70 comments:
Turkey in the Snow?
MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST MAY SEE FIRST 
WIDESPREAD WHITE THANKSGIVING SINCE 1989

7:30 PM EST 11/23 - UPDATED - Discussion of scenarios below. 

NOAA Snow Probabilities: Moderate (40%) chance of 4" for Northeast US



1:05 PM 11/23 (By the Kentucky & Winter Stormcast Teams) Although the Thanksgiving holiday period is finally arriving, Mother Nature shows no signs of taking time off as the potential is increasing for a significant weather event that could snarl one of the busiest travel days of the year.

THE SITUATION: Our team first identified the potential for a "White Thanksgiving" in an October 25 post, due in part to data showing a record high snow-cover for Siberia and the downstream effects that large Arctic highs would have coming across the Pole. Now in present day, numerous medium range model runs support a significant winter storm occurring on Wednesday into Thanksgiving morning near the East coast. 
  • The areas which may see notable to significant impacts from this system extend from South Carolina to the Mid-Atlantic, into the Northeast all the way to Maine. 
  • As with all storm forecasts more than 72 hours out, we expect considerable variance between forecasted data and outcomes, until shortly before the event begins.
  • The timing of this system creates additional concern for the traveling public, hence we are outlining scenarios early to help identify which pattern will prevail.


SCENARIO A: OUR GOOSE IS COOKED. An area of low pressure develops in the northern Gulf and moves along the East coast, bringing Gulf moisture while drawing in Atlantic moisture. The system would tap cold air from a snow-cover influenced surface high in western PA/NY. 

  • This track would hug the shoreline, bringing heavy rain and tidal flooding to coastal communities and heavy snow in the interior. 
  • As temperatures fall into the 30s through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, rain would change to snow in the major cities and continue heavy overnight, producing  a major snowfall to a majority of the Northeastern states. 
  • CNN features long lines of weary travelers stuck in airports.
The latest liquid projections by the US Global Forecast System for BWI airport show why there's much concern for Scenario A. Nearly 1.0" of liquid falling as snow would be a major problem.

SCENARIO B: BETTER LEAVE EARLY ANYWAY. The storm develops weaker and further east than in Scenario A. This would produce far less precip for the Carolinas, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. 

  • However, colder air will be more available, as northwest flow would rush in behind the departing storm. Coastal areas would see a cold rain or wet snow that has trouble sticking until after nightfall Wednesday. 
  • The bulk of energy would affect northern states, especially New England while the Mid-Atlantic is only brushed with light accumulations. 



SCENARIO C: CANCEL THE SNOWSUIT SEARCH! Strength and influence of the Great Lakes system on Tuesday nudges any coastal Low pressure away from the eastern seaboard, in tandem with surface high pressure to the north. 


  • This would bring only brief light precipitation to coastal areas, little or no precipitation to major cities and minimal impacts on Thanksgiving travel.

Our Winter Stormcast Team will be frequently monitoring the latest changes and updating here as data becomes available. Our next update is planned for Monday where we will narrow the scenarios to 2 options and begin discussing precip and snowfall ideas.

(Report by the Kentucky Team: Forecasters Kyle Jackson, Darius Mack, and Lead Forecaster Chris Reece. Additional content by Maryland Team members Mike Natoli, Connor Meehan, Joey Krastel and Rich Foot)

Saturday, November 22, 2014

"Cutting it kinda close..."

4 comments:
"Cutting it kinda close, don't ya think?"
-Elastigirl in The Incredibles, 2004

6:55 PM EST 11/22 - UPDATED - Scenario Map and Storm Track Probability posted below. Text of the scenarios will be added on Sunday. By Monday we will narrow to 2 tracks, with preliminary snowfall ideas by Monday night and a snowmap by Tuesday afternoon. 


3:42 PM EST 11/22 - Early this week, we posted a report hoping that the weather would not "be a turkey" for the upcoming holiday weekend. However, the pre-winter pattern indicates Mother Nature did receive our memo from October 25*, and appears determined to deliver the first widespread White Thanksgiving to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast since 1989. (*Hint: It's the post where we said this year, there's better chance of a White Thanksgiving than a White Christmas." 

TEAM STATEMENT: Our composite analyses of several well-known computer models suggests a potentially significant winter weather event may affect much of the East coast for the Wednesday-Thursday period. The timing of this storm could seriously disruptive the Wednesday afternoon and evening holiday travel, if present indications for that time period do not change appreciably.

(Left: Liquid forecasts from NOAA as of Saturday 11/22 show a large swath of precip to affect the East coast Wed night through Friday)

KEY TAKEAWAYS 
  • The system is still 4-5 days away from affecting any of us. But the untimely prospect of a serious storm arriving on the busiest travel days of the year warranted an early heads up
  • If traveling by air on Wednesday night anywhere along the East coast, it might be strategic to contact the airline now and be aware of your options if the situation deteriorates.
  • It is too early to project when and where snow will fall Wednesday. If planning to travel by vehicle, consider now alternate times or routes you could take if snow develops Wed night in your area or along your route.




TRACK: Our three-outcome graphic above depicts the likely paths, and by Sunday-Monday we can narrow this down to the one solution we expect to be most probable. We emphasize that much can change at 120 hours prior to a storm. Slight shifts can produce major differences, and with a lot of air movement and liquid in play, it warrants close attention.
The Takeaway: We understand how serious this situation would be for millions of people all across the country and around the world. In the words of our headline, this really is cutting it kinda close, in how it could completely disrupt the travel plans of everyone depending on air travel in or out of the Northeast. It's not appropriate to cancel your plans based on a 5-day forecast, but it is reasonable to contact your airline and learn your options if the situation sours quickly on Wednesday.

TEMPS: Despite an expected spike into the 50s and 60s by Tuesday, another push of Arctic air will return to the region. Some computer scenarios show a cold rain on Wednesday changing to snow before nightfall. Were the coastal low to develop as shown on Tue-Wed, it would tap a large reservoir of nearby cold air due to the recent heavy snowcover in the Great Lakes to New York state. The European model, notable for accuracy in long range calls from recent winters, shows sub 34 F temps from Virginia north by 7 PM Wednesday.
The Takeaway: Were these temps to occur during a "nor-easter" setup, the result would be wind-whipped heavy snow to hit major East coast interstates of the Northeast corridor at the absolute worst possible time: Wednesday night.

LIQUID: The NOAA Weather Prediction Center's latest liquid projections, (shown above) prepared by actual meteorologists using input from several model sources to convey what we call a "broad brush" look at what's possible. A general 0.50" to 0.75" of liquid is, at this point, the most probable outcome for the I-95 corridor. 
The Takeaway: A slight shift to the west by Wednesday would bring much heavier precipitation, and possibly, heavy snow with low visibility, to the expected high traffic volume areas of the map. 


NEXT UPDATE: Our team will keep close watch on this developing story, and post updates in the early morning and early evening, with a mid-day reassessment each day. 

Forecasters Foot, Connor Meehan, Mike Natoli, Joey Krastel (MD Team); Justin Barker and Andy Smith (VA Team)

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

13 comments:
Hey weather: Don't be a turkey!
AN EARLY LOOK AT THANKSGIVING WEEK CONDITIONS

UPDATED 11/22/2014 - If long range projections are on target, it appears Mother Nature got our memo from 9/25 when we anticipated that a "White Thanksgiving was more likely this year than a White Christmas." The European and US Global Forecast System model printouts, though just at the 120-hour mark, are leaning toward a more snowy result for the mid-Atlantic Wednesday night into Thanksgiving Day. With this event potentially impacting the busiest travel period of the year, we are preparing an overview of the possible hazards, timing and intensity for posting here on Sunday.

NOAA SURFACE MAP PROJECTION FOR
NEXT MON 11/25 AS OF WED 11/19.
11/19/2014 - We know it's coming on quickly, there's nothing anyone can do about it, and there are some who wish it would never happen.

It's not the raucous Midwest-Great Lakes storm to roar through the heartland next week... 

Rather, it is the sometimes dreaded Thanksgiving week travel and the shopping frenzy to follow -- that plunges us all headlong into a spin cycle of insanity. Toss in a "little weather" to the airline adventure and whoop! There it is: Harried parents and woesome children at long ticket counter lines... and so on.

But thanks to taxpayer-funded technology, we have access to this really cool technology from the US Department of Commerce that actually SHOWS, like, a glimpse of what things could be like next week as the holiday travel season launches forth. This way, it's not a mystery to anyone:
  • MONDAY: A vigorous storm system will develop in the southern plains and head for the Great Lakes. On east side of the storm, temperatures Mon-Tue in the Eastern U.S. will begin rebounding to seasonal levels. On the west side of the storm, as noted by the cold front above, conditions will be -- you guessed it -- STORMY! Strong winds, heavy rain and then potentially heavy snow.
  • TUESDAY: We already hear Airport Operators saying, "Can we just get that thing outta here before Wednesday?" Well try, my friends, we'll try. However, it is reasonable to expect flight delays may begin Tuesday and spread into Wednesday because of the front sweeping across the Eastern states.  Places that face potential travel disruptions may include the I-95 corridor from Richmond to New York as a series of Lows could develop and move north along the cold front. Indications point to this being more of a "wet" day than a "white" one, as temperatures should stay above freezing. We'll monitor closely of course as the day approaches. 
  • WEDNESDAY: Arrival of the dreaded big travel day. Early interpretation from NOAA's Day 7 map, while still quite distant in weather time concerns, suggests the hope of travelers may pan out: High pressure looks to reestablish behind the front in the Eastern US, stabilizing the pattern from storminess for Wed into Thanksgiving Day. 
Until then, think ahead to how you would alter your plans for travel on Wed 11/26 IF you had to, unless the weather decides to cut us a break this year and not be a turkey after all.

Forecaster Foot & the Long Range Team

Saturday, November 15, 2014

3 comments:
Faces Behind The Forecasts

TOP (L TO R) EMILY DAY recent Towson graduate; JOEY KRASTEL Screenprinter, Stormchaser, recent CCBC graduate;
DIANDRE WILLIAMS Director of Strategic Media, designer of our Nationwide Facebook logos;
BOTTOM (L TO R) MIKE NATOLI Central MD Lead Forecaster, UM College Park Junior; MEAGAN BUSTER IT Networking, Towson graduate; 
TYLER RICHMAN Central MD Lead Forecaster & Volleyball team captain, C. Milton Wright High School senior
Foot's Forecast is not the work of one person, a single idea, or one team. It was founded in a science classroom of a working class community. Over the past 10 years, the contributions of many have made it much more.

Today, it is a collaborative investment of passion by talented young adults in unlikely places, united by their drive to communicate science with the public. They are intelligent, dynamic and funny. They are healthy, handsome, and pretty. (Weather people always are, it must be an outdoor thing.)

But above it all ...

.. they are inspirational evidence that, despite what the media may say about the youth of America, there are still many hard-working, reliable contributors to our society who make a difference in countless lives every day.

The "Alex From Target" (NYT article) phenomenon of the past month is an interesting look at how and why we use social media today. We are excited that a dedicated, down-to-earth student has earned some credit on behalf of many unsung youth heroes who go about their work and school in a humble way.

Although winter is descending early across America, the lives of our forecasters are brimming hot with potential, highly-marketable skills, and an attitude of service that I think any employer should break down our door to get these rockstars on THEIR team.

And if it was known truly knew how talented these servants really are, employers would be contacting me for referrals. So over time we are going to paint the true story about each of our stars, and if you're interested in seeing a resume from any of them, send me a note: team@footsforecast.org. 


Saturday, October 25, 2014

32 comments:
Winter of the Black Swan?
EARLY PROJECTIONS ON FIRST ARRIVAL OF SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IN THE EASTERN US

(Forecaster Foot & the Long Range Team) While relative calm has been the general rule this Fall for a good portion of the eastern U.S., those of us who follow long term trends in seasonal climate data are increasingly concerned that a period of major upheaval in weather is fast approaching. 

In this second of our annual three part "What about winter" we will discuss the Black Swan theory and its implications for the winter ahead.

We will also revisit our overview of climate indicators as first posted on 9/22/2014 to determine what changes or anomalies have developed since.

From that assessment, the objective of this report is to present evidence in the data we believe points to the following for this winter:


  • In extrapolating this pattern forward, we suggest storms this winter, enhanced by El Nino, will produce at times, highly disruptive conditions such as heavy wet snow and  strong winds along the coast, paralyzing snow/ice storms in interior areas as well as bouts of higher precipitation hinted by the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO).
  • Long range indicators such higher than normal Siberian snow cover, and a negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) that may introduce cooler temperatures sooner, and also intense periods of below normal temperatures.
  • We are targeting the period from November 15 to 25 for arrival of the Mid-Atlantic's first significant winter storm.  To have a "White Thanksgiving" but miss a White Christmas would most certainly qualify as a rare and unexpected "Black Swan."

Monday, October 6, 2014

1 comment:
A Team Built By Trust
"My staff tells me that Foot's Forecast is the most accurate around." 
- Former Baltimore County Executive James Smith, in a June 2010 Emergency Operations Center exercise with the Maryland Team.
In our company, earning trust is as important as delivering an accurate forecast
From tens of thousands of daily readers, to professionals in emergency management and the entertainment industry, we are a trusted go-to source for the weather intelligence they need. Consider what over 70,000 readers in Facebook are getting that would benefit you.

Photo: Members of the central Maryland team pause with then-Emergency Manager Steve Welzant of Baltimore County during a September 2012 briefing at the County Operations center in Towson, MD.


Foot's Forecast LLC is a collaborative weather forecastingclient consulting and opportunity-building company headquartered a few miles from Baltimore, Maryland's Inner Harbor. Harnessing the experience and talent of over 50 social-media savvy forecasters and meteorologists across 13 U.S. states. With affiliates stretching from Oregon to Northern Ireland we deliver to clients an unmatched local advantage in authentic weather services.


Surprising Facts About Us

Monday, September 22, 2014

6 comments:
Preparing for Peak Season ?  (You better while it's calm)
PART ONE OF OUR "WHAT ABOUT WINTER?" SERIES

(By Rich Foot - Baltimore, MD) As we bid farewell to a summer that almost wasn't for some, our Long Range Team is keeping watch down the line on a decidedly more chilly sight: Arctic Sea Ice. 

We love September for many reasons: Football, start of the harvest season, end of the third quarter, college applications...  

But most importantly, in honor of the Powderhounds, September provides a first whiff of climate indicators for the winter season ahead. 

For our clients and partners in the many industries impacted by adverse winter weather, take note of the following early data we find significant as you plan toward your "peak season" in the months ahead.

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

2 comments:
Why Oceans Matter: Heat Capacity & Climate



By Meteorologist/Oceanographer Alex Davies and Forecaster Mike Natoli

Did you know the heat capacity of the ocean is four times greater than that of the atmosphere? That means it will take four times longer to heat and cool a volume of water compared to volume of air under similar environment conditions. 

This is why it takes a while to boil a large pot of water when your make pasta, even though the heat coming-off the stove top burning is extremely hot. So why does that matter in terms of local or global climate? 

The ocean acts as the great regulator of our land surface temperatures, especially near the coast, and help to re-distribute heat from the equator to the poles through large-scalar surface current like the Gulf Stream, and through deep-ocean currents known as Thermohaline Circulation (meaning "heat" and "salt") or the "Ocean Conveyor Belt." 


"Ocean Conveyor Belt" from Oceanmotion.org
Have you ever noticed that on hot summer days in mid-summer, it is more pleasant in places along the coast like Bethany Beach, Delaware or Fenwick Island, DE compared with inland locations like Salisbury, Maryland, Dover, Delaware, and Richmond, Virginia? 

This was because the ocean temperature during that time was only in the upper 70s, while the inland air temperatures were topping-out near 100 degrees, or more. The same thing happens in the early winter as places near the ocean or along The Chesapeake Bay or Delaware Bay often have a tougher time getting "all snow" events as the air temperature is being impacted by the relatively warmer water temperature.
So if you are looking for a snowy winter ahead, ironically you would want a COLD Chesapeake Bay and a WARM western Atlantic! We will soon take a long range look at that possibility in a future post.



Tuesday, May 13, 2014

40 comments:
Opportunities For You.


We Believe Everyone Makes An Impact. 
On our team, the best innovations come from the creative forward-thinking of our members who collaborate across the country.

Being a member of Foot's Forecast is more than a title. Your talents and abilities have wide impact on a readership of 100,000+ and range from working with Emergency Managers and Event Coordinators, to the media and the public.


Opportunities are available for energetic applicants who can contribute to our bigger story, and see the value of working in a team while gaining experience and serving others. 




Start the conversation: team@footsforecast.org
or
Move on it now Complete our text-only application

We Share Your Passion For Weather. 
We welcome applications from those in the workforce seeking a different venue for their talents, from students in high school or college up to those in the professional community or if working from home. It all starts with having the passion to collaborate with others. On our team, our members celebrate your effort across the country, and you are welcomed into a family of supportive, multi-talented professional forecasters of all ages.




Advantages for our members
  • Credit internships to students in high school or college 
  • Travel grants o attend conferences & events with the team
  • Professional presence with business cards/email account
  • Team-building activities with sports and outdoor events 
  • Media features gaining national recognition for students
  • And, in case you didn't notice... we do kick back and have fun
Innovate your future 
We seek epic people ready to make a difference 

    Local & Specialty Forecasting
    • Weather: Forecaster | Lead Forecaster | Regional Forecaster
    • Science: Climate Analyst | Data & Research | Environmental
    • Sports: Surf & Sail | Powderhound | Sports Forecaster
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    • Fusion: Photographer | Forecaster | Graphic Design 
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      Connect today
      Questions? Chat with a member of our Leadership Team? 
      Send a simple message to team@footsforecast.org. 
      We will get back with you, and get it going.


      Isn't it time you take the Right Step for your future?

      Members of our Leadership Team at the 2012 New Orleans Conference
      of the American Meteorological Society


      Monday, April 21, 2014

      No comments:
      Snapback Into Summer?

      OUR LONG RANGE TEAM EXPECTS THE COOL DOWN TO CONTINUE 
      INTO EARLY MAY, THEN A POSSIBLE RAPID INTRODUCTION 
      TO SUMMER-LIKE WEATHER BY MOTHER'S DAY

      8:15 PM EST 4/21 - If you've never heard of the "Rubber Band Theory" of long range forecasting, our short version is below. The concept was first attributed to Dr. Joel Myers, founder of AccuWeather. (Note: This is the geek side of the rubber band theory, there is a well-developed body of work on this idea in how men & women behave in relationships... something way more complicated than weather.)

      The Rubber Band Theory (in weather) goes as follows: The longer duration of an abnormal weather pattern (such as below or above normal temps), the more likely that when that pattern eventually breaks, it does so violently and in a short period of time. Much like a rubber band will snap back more rapidly the longer it is stretched apart. 

      This year, if the theory is correct, the seemingly endless parade of blue colored long range maps will come to an abrupt end. What we believe will follow by Mother's Day is a "snapback" to much hotter conditions - and temperatures in this scenario go WAY above normal for much of the country. 

      How viable is this idea? Only time will tell. If life experience is to be counted as worthy of inclusion in the climate record, this writer remembers like yesterday a searing hot April day in 1985-- the 24th to be exact, when temperatures during a Spring track meet soared to 94 F in suburban Philadelphia. 

      The very next year, on the same day, it snowed 2 inches-- April 24, 1986. Let's hope this time the snapback goes in the hot, not cold, direction!

      Forecaster Foot, Long Range Coordinator Nic Roberson and the Long Range Team

      Saturday, April 19, 2014

      No comments:
      "Every rider dreams of coming here... 


      ...then dreams of coming back."



      Envision the fun of skiing a trail that starts on a snow-covered glacier, and finishes near the patio of world-class, yet affordable restaurants. 

      Experience a day that begins with a sunrise ski on fresh powder, then takes on a thousand foot zip line over an alpine valley, followed by a mid-afternoon lakeside horseback ride, and ends with night snowmobiling.


      Explore the opportunity to bring your friends and family with us to North America's premier all-season resort that hosted the Winter Olympic Games in 2010, and our team in 2004. What and where is this place?

      Photo credit: The Whistler Vacation Club
      It's the one and only Whistler-Blackcomb,
       we're going back April 3, 2015
      and you're invited.

      Additional details this weekend on registering your email to receive 
      the trip "FootNote" and an infopacket on dates, costs and options.

      To get inspired now and start thinking ahead, 
      view this inside look at the Whistler experience from the perspective of a resident, 
      who's also a parent of two young budding skiers, sharing an infectious love for the sport.

      Video by Warren Miller Entertainment


      Saturday, April 12, 2014

      5 comments:
      Two words for the wise: El Nino

      INDICATIONS SHOW "MODERATE" WARMING IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN PACIFIC IS UNDERWAY, SETTING STAGE FOR A TROUBLESOME  WEATHER PATTERN NEXT 6-12 MONTHS. 



      6:30 AM 4/12 - "So you are predicting a rough winter coming up, but aren't sure about MONDAY? Meteorologists just crack me up." 

      Many of our long time readers will notice if they examine our reports on this site, and in our local Facebook forecast pages, that the our team hardly ever delves into the "climate change" arena. Is this because we don't have a stance on the subject, are afraid of it, (or maybe we are part of the global cover-up, and just don't realize it...?)

      No, in reality we elect to maintain a "forecast local, think global" approach. We choose to focus on relatively short term, observable and verifiable data in climate science, while keeping an eye on the underlying long term trends. For our readers and clients, we believe that your immediate need are more likely to be "what's the deal with next week?" or "give me a sense of next winter" than "how much time left before I have to put the house up on stilts?



      EL NINO IS COOKING, ARE YOU READY? 
      We closely examine climate data and known trends to identify what types of long range patterns are most probable in the near future. We believe if you have a general idea of what's coming the next 3 to 6 months, you can more effectively plan your life or business needs going forward. When rough times do hit, such as a repeat of winter 2013-14, or an Isabel-like event, we hope the foreknowledge of what's possible aids in your resiliency and recovery. 

      Here's a look at the indications we see from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, with a brief explanation below the summary. True long range watchers, oceanographers and climate scientists already know why this graph gets us going, and should be a message to purchasing agents who want to be ahead of the game by next winter.


      WHAT THIS CHART MEANS: 
      It is month-by-month measure of changes in sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) across different regions of the Tropical Pacific. The most important of the 4 regions shown below is "3.4"  as noted in the center of the chart. 





    • Region 3.4 is the universally identified "indicator" chart that NOAA and the Climate Science community hang their hat on when gauging status of Pacific warming (El Nino) or cooling (La Nina). 

    • Red indicates sea temperatures are above normal, blue is below normal -- relative to the time of year. It is plain to see that 3 of the 4 measured regions in the Pacific are showing a fairly rapid warming that commenced in February 2014 and has continued well into April.

    • Long term historical climate records of El Nino events going back 50+ years show that moderate episodes of warming in Region 3.4 -- (influential factors in recent winters such as 2009-10 and 2002-03) -- got underway in April, and never looked back. 


    • THE BOTTOM LINE FOR YOU (AND US)?
      • Once warming in the crucial El Nino Region 3.4 starts, it usaully becomes a major  driving factor in weather patterns for the 6-12 months ahead.
      • Influence on the southern jet stream and Atlantic wind patterns can disrupt hurricane formation, hence the recent outlooks for a less active tropical cyclone season.
      • Reduced tropical cyclone activity in the Gulf and East coast allows sea surface temperatures to be less disturbed, and in turn can enter the winter season WARMER than normal. THIS becomes a key fuel source for major winter storms that develop along the coast, and was a strong factor in the Winter 2009-2010 blizzards.

      WORKING THE STORMS WITH YOU
      The important take-away for emergency managers, municipal operators and school district officials is that El Nino has signaled it's intent to return this winter. We suggest you begin planning ahead now so you are ready, if 50 years of known climate trends are of value in your long term risk management planning. 

      If your company or organization is interesting in making our weather intelligence services a part of your planning process for the seasons to come, we welcome your inquiry: team@footsforecast.org. 

      By Rich Foot, CEO & Senior Advisor - Foot's Forecast LLC

      Thursday, April 3, 2014

      No comments:
      Collaboration is the New Chivalry
      Part II of our 10th anniversary series

      After the town of Joplin, Missouri was utterly leveled by an EF-5 tornado in May 2011, many distant families and friends could not reach their loved ones amidst the total destruction.

      With the local power grid devastated, and cell service jammed, communication for some was difficult to impossible. One Maryland resident had been trying desperately to learn the whereabouts of her family, and left a comment on our central Maryland Facebook page about her plight.  

      Then Forecaster Greg Jackson, a soon-to-graduate high school senior from Carroll County, Maryland, noticed her plea and reached out. Within just 30 minutes, after quick collaboration across members of the team, Greg connected the reader to a Red Cross resource working in the vicinity of her family. Shortly thereafter, the reader's family had been found - alive. Here's a link to our Facebook transcript from May 23, 2011.

      Greg was 18. He was busy preparing for graduation to unfold in just a few days. He didn't have to make that connection, nor did he boast about it afterwards. But he did selflessly demonstrate a set of values inherent across our team to this day. It could be considered a mission of honor not unlike early Medieval codes of chivalry as originally developed in the 12th century. Later, English poet Geoffrey Chaucer, branded into society's mind the image of the knight in his famed 1387-1400 collection of stories known as The Canterbury Tales. Yet, many knights never lived up to the ideals opined by Chaucer, and history was forever changed. This begs the question: 

      What relevance do thousand-year-old ideals have in a technology-charged, app-driven culture? 

      Our team has learned the past decade these seemingly forgotten virtues of true chivalry remain as important now as when early monastic knights took a solemn vow to protect pilgrims on simple journeys to the Holy Land. Today, we seek to embody the practical truths of this knightly mission: Maintain a foundation of ethical conduct in our service to civil society, by living a life that puts others' needs ahead of one's own. For our team, it is the course of using sound, collaborative science to inform and educate the public, and doing our part to help save lives and protect property. 



      Forecaster Greg and that concerned reader searching for family will probably never meet. Yet, their lives, and ours, are forever changed, because a Squire put down his sword, and extended his hand to someone in need.

      If you, your family, company or organization would like to learn about what our forecasters could do to help in the dark hours, and the bright ones, our Advisors welcome your inquiry: team@footsforecast.org



      Authentic Weather for a Civil Society

      Monday, March 31, 2014

      No comments:
      Welcome to Opening Week... 
      and the Birdland Zone!


      "Sunshine, Blue Skies... Play Ball!" Gear up Birdland, it's that time again! This will be our fourth season forecasting in the speciality zone just for O's fans who are FF reader: The Birdland Zone on Facebook. This year we are pumped as ever to meetup with readers at the ole' ball game! Our first Birdland Day at Camden Yards in Baltimore is scheduled for the Saturday April 26 game at 7:05 PM against the KC Royals.

      More details on the 4/26 meet up will be coming this week at the zone in Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/ffbirdland



      THE SEASON OPENER In today's 3:05 PM match against the Boston Red Sox, conditions will be even better than the epic pic from Maryland reader Gloria Bethke. 

      • Starting temperatures will be hovering right around 60 degrees. These conditions will remain relatively constant throughout the game. 
      • Expect a strong NW wind between 15-20 mph that will gradually weaken as the game progresses. 
      We hope you will enjoy this long awaited taste of Spring today, what great timing to start another journey to a successful season for sports teams everywhere!

      (Lead Forecaster Tyler J, Forecaster Andy and the Birdland Team)

      Sunday, March 30, 2014

      17 comments:
      No foolin' around this time

      FOOT'S FORECAST TEAM PREPARING TO LAUNCH NEXT-GENERATION 
      WEBSITE TO ENRICH THE AUTHENTIC WEATHER EXPERIENCE 
      FOR READERS, CLIENTS & FORECASTERS. TARGET: APRIL 1.


      11:30 AM 3/30 - "We've been down that road before, but that's over now. You keep me coming back for more..." 

      If Bryan Adams were a forecaster, he might say... Baby, we know that's all that you (and we) want: A richer, more versatile website with ease of access to our local content, anywhere in the country, in as few clicks as possible. 

      In short, the time has come to move beyond blogger. Here's what we hope is welcome news for you:

      • We have read and reviewed the feedback from many readers who sent in comment to our team@footsforecast.org account in the past year. This includes the numerous requests for a SmartPhone app. Details on that will follow after site launch!
      • We have heard the pleas of teachers and school officials in many states who are stymied by the "Facebook Frustration" of being unable to reach our rapid updates in social media, especially during storm mode. 
      • We understand the fast pace of your lives and that of our clients. When you're on the go - and you just want "a quick weather report" or are en route to (or have moved) elsewhere and wonder if we have a zone in another state. 

      Ready for a sneak peek?
      Here's a look at the site while in beta form. Some features and imagery will be different for the official version.

      Saturday, March 29, 2014

      What happened to the "Lamb" part?

      No comments:
      What happened to the "Lamb" part? 
      (You know... "In like a Lion..." etc?)

      11:22 PM 3/29 - The latest discussions in our Severe Weather Team would leave you wondering what time of year it really is in the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest. With Winter Weather Advisories to the north, and Wind Warnings to the south, you had best buckle up for a wild night & day of weather ahead. Here's a snippet of what some forecasters have said about the wild conditions in their areas this weekend:

      OHIO - Forecaster Jason Warren of our Northeast Ohio Zone reported that heavy rain for most of the day changed to snow earlier this evening.

      WEST VIRGINIA - Forecaster Joseph Fitzwater of our Northern WV zone said that snow was also changing over in his area, as indicated by upper level data. 

      SOUTHERN VA - Meteorologist Justin Barker, who leads several of our pages and Forecaster Nick Gilmore of Southwest Virginia reported a wide range of conditions across VA tonight. Justin was notified of pea sized hail a few miles west of his home with the front moving at 40-45 mph. He also noted that the area near Raleigh NC had tornado warnings this evening and Tornado Watches are still in effect for portions of eastern NC. Forecaster Nick stated that temperature ranges are 30 F+ between southwest VA and the Kentucky border!

      Let us know how conditions are faring in your community!