Thursday, January 7, 2016

"I can be as contrary as I want..."
-Lady Violet Crawley, Countess Dowager of Grantham in Downton Abbey
(clean Video highlights of Lady Violet's linguistic moments)

6:00 AM 1/7 - For Downton Abbey watchers, we cannot help but see a bit of Lady Grantham in the recent doings of Mother Nature. Surely you would not jest.

Consider how stoic and uncooperative she has been of late: In two weeks, those of us in the Mid-Atlantic will have seen a temperature transference from the 70s on Christmas Day, with occasional tropical deluges at times, to recent readings in the New Year uncomfortably close to the calendar date (such as near 10 F in parts of Frederick County Tue AM). 

If you seek temperature consistency to avoid the colds and flus that follow such Yo-Yo weather, we agree it is quite the horrid and contrarian pattern in present times. Is there any hope for stability? 

  • Temperatures Thursday into Sunday climb from the 40s for most into the mid 50s and perhaps 60 F along the coast. This mild surge will of course be accompanied by rain, and lots of it, arriving Friday afternoon continuing into Sunday.

  • The roller ride resumes early next week, with an Arctic front crossing Sunday afternoon, dropping temperatures 25 degrees or more to the low 30s by Monday morning. Then overnight lows return to their proper place in the 20s. 

ALAS, DEAR POWDERHOUNDS, we know your heart pumps more than just blood.
If snow is what you seek, the truth of the matter is you will have to remain patient a scant longer for it, unfortunately. 

Soon follow is a report for outlining the types of storm and conditions required to deliver the powder of your pleasure. We call it "the Four C's of Real Snow" for the Mid-Atlantic. 
Do check back today for the next part, it will be an important guide to resolving uncertainty on when the pattern can make good on it's winter promise. 

DIRECT WINTER INTELLIGENCE. If you have trusted our reports and seek efficient, direct notification by text & email for long range and imminent winter hazards, we recommend the Insiders service. 

If you have a moment, preview the details at the Insiders portal. We look forward to welcoming you aboard for the journey ahead.

The Insiders Team of Foot's Forecast 

Tuesday, January 5, 2016

Winter's Chill Strikes Back
  • Northwest flow today of 10 mph will keep conditions feeling much colder;
  • AM lows Tue-Thu in the teens region-wide, daytime highs 30-35 F most areas;
  • Rain approaching the DC-Baltimore-northern Virginia region Friday may start as light freezing precip early Friday morning, before turning to all rain. 
  • A pattern change toward more stormy conditions is in the offing after this weekend, with factors becoming more favorable for snow next week.

Need direct access to winter intelligence?
This season, we invite you to consider becoming an Insider with us. 

Advance reports direct to text and email hours or days before public updates, dispense with wading through social media for critical details, and retain civility in the conversation. 

We look forward to welcoming you for the winter journey ahead. 

Friday, January 1, 2016

"Oh the times, they are a-changing." - Bob Dylan

8:00 AM EST 1/1 - As we ring in the New Year, eastern U.S. weather watchers know big changes in the pattern are looming on the horizon. A new change this month will be the option to access our reports through custom apps for clients, Insiders and readers alike.

For now, if you enjoyed the BBQ-like weather featured at Thanksgiving and Christmas in the east, but are ready for a return to cold, your wish is about to be granted. 

Although snow cover in Canada and across the northern U.S. has severely hampered winter-dependent industries, long range indications show a series of Arctic Highs will begin moving southward in the next 2 weeks. These initial Highs will usher in seasonal temperatures, and for those yearning to see snow on slopes or streets, reintroduce one of several critical pre-requisites for accumulation: Frozen ground surfaces. 

Want Snow? First, Freeze The Surface. Given the long period of above-normal temperatures, this process will take many overnights of sub-32 F conditions to refreeze the ground. 
  • However, the U.S. Hazards Map from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center as shown above indicate the pattern is reaching a crucial turning point for winter.
  • Once snow cover can appreciably build in traditional regions such as the Great Lakes regions, southern Ontario, Pennsylvania, New York and New England.
  • Consistent snow cover increases capacity of Arctic Highs to position for longer periods of time in "storm-favorable" locations. 
As the old-school meteorologist saying goes, "Predict the High and you predict the storm." Yet, some need more details than that, and it's time for new options.

This Year, Advance Your Access To Our Reports: 
Become an Insider

As technology increases the pace of life, we know readers wish to retain authentic connections to reliable, uncomplicated information.

Ever notice when automated apps couldn't portray rapid weather changes? Many times, the careful analysis you need only trained human eyes can deliver. 

If you have trusted us all these years to do just that, we recommend gently advancing your access to the next level. 

New World Problem, Authentic Solution. We offer a resource that retains your connection to real forecasters seeing the same weather you are. Automated data is a useful resource, but programs that operate your apps don't permit the level of customization that's central to our approach. As an Insider, you're being advised by real people who can interpret what's coming in a way computers were not designed to do.

We cordially invite you to join the many readers who are Insiders with us. Read further to see if this service would be of value to you.