Sunday, September 30, 2018

1 comment:
Wondering about winter? 
IN OCTOBER, THE ONES TO WATCH FOR SIGNS ARE 
ARCTIC SEA ICE & SIBERIAN SNOW COVER 


  • Comparison tool to analyze differences in sea ice extent between any two years. (NOAA National Snow & Ice Data Center - NSIDC)
  • Current snow cover in different regions of the Northern Hemisphere (NOAA National Ice Center - NATICE) **Note: Google may report this as an unsafe website. Trust us, it IS safe.


Sunday, September 9, 2018

1 comment:
"She's Got The Look..."
- 1988 single by Roxette (Youtube video)

FLORENCE BECOMING A HURRICANE TODAY, TAKING AIM ON SOUTHEAST & MID-ATLANTIC THIS WEEK, GROWING TO A 140 MPH CAT 4. ALL COASTAL INTERESTS: IT'S TIME TO TALK PLANNING. 


8:30 AM SUN 9/9 - By the time you read this, Florence is likely to have intensified into a Hurricane on her way to Category 3 status within a few days. Despite this being an El Nino-influenced season that generally defects most Atlantic systems due to strong westerlies off the Pacific, 2003's Isabel reminds us in these kinds of patterns, sometimes one storm can slip past the goalie. 

It happened in September of that year, and now 15 years later, it's becoming clear Florence has the look of being that storm for 2018. This system has the potential to produce significant and wide-ranging impacts on the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic not seen since 1999's Hurricane Floyd, 2003's Isabel and could easily eclipse 2012's Sandy. 

Unless something major changes, impacts of rain, wind and inland/coastal flooding over several days are likely for anyone living east of I-81 from:
  • North Carolina north to Pennsylvania
  • The metro areas of Richmond, Washington, Baltimore, Philadelphia / New Jersey
  • The entire Delaware-Maryland-Virginia Eastern shore
LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST DETAILS 




GFS model as example of storm position by Thu PM

8-10"+ likely from North Carolina to Baltimore

FOOT'S FINAL WORDS until the next update:
For those who lived through the impacts of either Floyd, Isabel, Irene or Sandy, review your plans and recollections to consider what you would do different this time.

Friday, April 6, 2018

4 comments:
Like a dagger in the heart of Spring
  • THIS IS NOT A PREVIEW OF STRANGER THINGS SEASON 3, IT'S REAL.
  • RARE APRIL SNOW TO AFFECT SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC SATURDAY
  • WEEKEND CONDITIONS TO RESEMBLE JANUARY, NOT APRIL 
  • MAPS: Below are projected surface maps for 8 AM Saturday.

THE SITUATION
  • WHAT: A reinforcing Arctic air mass will build into the region starting Friday night as waves of low pressure move northeast from the Tennessee Valley along the Arctic front.
  • WHEN: Early Saturday into daybreak, rain will mix with and change to snow from north to south, eventually overspreading the region by mid-morning.
  • HOW: Despite a strong April sun angle, high snowfall rates and dropping temperatures by mid-morning Saturday may produce light accumulations grassy & untreated surfaces. Some refreezing is likely as sub 30 F temps are expected Saturday night into Sunday AM.  
  • OPTICS: Liquid equivalents of 0.25" to 0.50" from DC to Baltimore and Philly as temperatures are dropping Sat AM indicates brief periods of heavy wet snow. It may even look like March 21 for a time, though most roads are likely to remain wet. Still, it's this kind of news that feels like a dagger to the heart of Spring....