Wednesday, March 10, 2004


3/10 MORNING UPDATE:
BABY IS DOING BETTER, I'M BACK IN BUSINESS


Things to be thankful for:
1. An infant who takes 3 naps during the day.
2. A job that allows Daddy to stay home and take care of her.
3. A nor-easter that decides to stay off the coast and spare us the agony.

RECAPPING PREVIOUS FORECASTS

1. I originally said last weekend that we would not top 50 F in the 95 corridor until Friday. We may poke at 50 on Thursday, but will not move appreciably above that until Saturday.

2. The fruit cup wins again. Storm stayed to our south, no accumulating snow was reporting in the Baltimore metro area. You will notice breezy and gusty winds today though, even in Central PA. Might be some lingering flurries in the Philly area.

LOOKING AHEAD TO THE WEEKEND

Thursday - Warmer and less wind. High around 50 in Baltimore, upper 40's in Philly, mid 40's in Central PA.

Friday - Cooler, some clouds. Highs generally under 50.

Saturday - Mild again, highs generally above 50.

Sunday - Warming trend continues, highs in mid to upper 50's. Forecast models usually underestimate the impact of higher sun angle this time of year, which is why I'm trending warmer than the TV forecasters.

Monday - Continued warming ahead of next front slated to move through mid-day. Coaches... looks like rain for practice. Mild but windy. Temps near 60. A thunderstorm late in the day.

WHEN IS THE NEXT BIG WARMUP COMING?

If you are looking for another round of 70+ days with sunshine, you will have to wait probably until April. The pattern setup does not appear it will allow the Bermuda High to strongly influence our weather for at least several more weeks.

WHAT'S BEYOND THAT?

I have been doing some preliminary research on the Hurricane Season Forecast. I'm sure this comes as no surprise to you that this will be another active hurricane season. In fact, we are likely into a pattern that resembled the 60's for those of you who remember Donna, Camille, etc. And in 1962 (I think) there were 3 storms that charged up the East Coast, dropping heavy rain in all the major cities.

So when you are doing your spring cleaning, think about what kinds of repairs or improvements might be needed to your roof, property, windows, etc that became an issue during Isabel. It is better to take care of those potential problems when you are in cleaning and fix up mode than when you are in vacation mode (August) and back to school mode (September).

More on the Hurricane Forecast later this month, including whether or not the East coast cities will see another "Isabel" this year.





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