Sunday, January 29, 2012

Fusion Forecasting

Reach a national audience in our forecast
SEATTLE | NEW ORLEANS | COSTA RICA | OCEAN CITY, MD
(Sample Youtube fusion forecasts during recent team tours )



Meteorologist Shundra Stewart of Central Mississippi welcomes you to the French Quarter of New Orleans at Saint Louis Cathedral. For more information about how we can help you harness our local or national readership to promote your event or destination, send us a note: clients@footsforecast.org


Lead Forecaster Mark Ingalls of our Pacific Northwest Team at the festive Pike Place Market in Seattle. Visit us on Youtube for more.  

Every day, our multi-state forecast teams provide daily, local weather to an engaged readership across all 50 U.S. states and 110 countries. Although we attract over 100 million hits annually to our main site and facebook pages, the focus is on local forecasting from a team in your community. Promoting your event, attraction or sporting activity in our forecast would provide innovative access to a loyal and diverse readership in the core demographic of viewers 25 to 54 years of age.

OUR RECENT WORK Example fusion forecasts in the past year have included special promotions for the Chesapeake Bay Blues Festival in Annapolis, MD, the surf & skate Summer 2011 Dew Tour competition, Opening Day of Major League Baseball, or the USA Science & Engineering Festival. All forecasters on our team can leverage the FusionWeather technique to promote a local event, business or attraction or celebrate the unique history and culture within a forecast zone. It's the most fun you'll ever have with the weather.

A LOCAL EXAMPLE The sunshine and blue skies of the 2011 National Hard Crab Derby in Crisfield, MD provided the perfect backdrop for this shout-out to our team from the event organizers. The multi-state reach of our team allows us to be in numerous locations and promote many events simultaneously. This video below from Labor Day weekend in Ocean City is another example.  

We hope your event will be next in the spotlight of a "fusion forecast." 


6 comments:

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

IN MORE DETAIL...SEE BELOW
EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
153 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...UPDATED MORNING PRELIMS..ADDITIONAL GUIDANCE OF 06Z GFS/06Z
GEFS MEAN/LAGGED AVERAGE FORECASTS/ENSEMBLE CLUSTER GROUPINGS
CONTINUE TO CONCUR WITH ABOVE THINKING. A DIFFICULT AND LOW TO NO
CONFIDENCE FORECAST IN DETAILS LATE PERIOD MAINLY WITH THE ERN
CONUS TROF. BASED ON AN AMALGAM OF DAYS 6-7 SOLUTIONS THE 06Z GFS
ENS MEAN SHOULD BE INCORPORATED INTO THE SOLUTION AND SUPPORTS THE
EARLIER ABOVE USED OVERNIGHT MODEL BLEND. DEPICTION BY DAY 5 FRI
OF A<span> CENTER JUMPING SFC LOW FROM THE OH VALLEY TO THE NC COAST AND
THAN AN EXIT NEWD TO NEAR THE NEW ENG BENCH MARK BY DAY 6 SAT
SEEMS REASONABLE AT THIS TIME ALBEIT WITH CONTINUED VERY LOW
CONFIDENCE.

</span>
AFTN MODEL AND ENS GUIDANCE CONTINUES UNDERMINE ANY ALREADY LOW
CONFIDENCE IN ANY RELIABLE SOLUTION OVER MUCH OF CONUS AS
GFS/UKMET/CMC/ECMWF HAVE GONE BACK TO YESTERDAYS 12Z SOLUTIONS OF
LEAVING BEHIND SIGNIFICANT ENERGY IN SWRN CONUS WITH THE CMC/UKMET
AND ECMWF HAVING THE STRONGEST MID LEVELS AND AT THE SFC FORMING A
SFC LOW IN THE SRN PLAINS TO GLFMEX REGION THEN MOVING INTO THE
SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLC REGIONS. GFS WHILE LEAVING BEHIND MORE OF A
MID LEVEL LOW IN THAT REGION SHEARS IT OUT AND HAS THE DIGGING NRN
STREAM THE DOMINANT FEATURE. THIS RESULTS IN A NRN STREAM SHORTWVE
AND LOW REFORMING FROM THE OH VALLEY TO THE NC COAST BUT SHIFTING
EWD WELL OFFSHORE. THE VERY LARGE SPREAD OF SOLUTIONS AND
UNCERTAINTY AND A GREAT WEATHER AND SOCIAL<span> POTENTIAL IMPACT IN
WHATEVER SOLUTION TURNS OUT TO BE CORRECT WARRANTS A WINTER STORM
PACIFIC RECON WHICH WILL BE FLOWN EARLY THIS WEEK. AFTN FINALS
WILL NOT BE CHANGED BASED ON THE RECENT 12Z RUNS. THERE IS
SIMILARITY TO YESTERDAYS 12Z RUNS WHICH QUICKLY CHANGED OVERNIGHT.
</span>
RAUSCH/ROSENSTEIN

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

=-O

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

The blowtorch of early to mid winter is over.  Round II requires a change of face!  =-O =-O =-O =-O

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

<span>HPC seems to be concerned about a "potential massive winter storm"  If their early theory were to be correct a low moving into the Ohio valley would weaken, transfer energy to the coast off of North Carolina and track NE.  The scenario they are painting os one of a classic "BLIZZARD TYPE SNOW"  The POTENTIAL is there but very low confidence at this time.  If this happens the transfer could occur too late (ala a classic Miller B scenario) where Southern New England does well and we get nothing.  That is the details, and the devil is in them.  The HPC theory might be wrong and no one sees anything.  Right now the best bet is a chance of heavy sow north of our entire region, or nothing, with the outlier prospect of something jumping off the NC coast, which would put us in the game.  
 
HPC is so uncertain that they want to fly pacific recon to get better data, to see if a threat even exists.  So from our perspective, it is something too watch as better data comes out, but nothing to get excited about as we could be sitting here next weekend in a whole lot of partly sunny, and watching the models for what I think is our best pattern come the  10th-15th!  Stay tuned, as these are MORE EXCITING times!</span>

ravensbbr said...

So is this thing somewhere off the Pacific coast, out to sea aways? If so, why the recon flight, why not use the GOES imagery and do it that way, save the flight?

Andy, Southern York County, PA said...

GOES is but one source of data input used by global models.  There are other inputs such as instruments aboard aircraft, weather balloons, bouy data, recon etc.  Some areas are not data rich zones in terms of sampling, so recon flights are an ivaluable souce of additional information to plug in the holes.  GDAS (global data assimilations system) uses a variety of contemporaneous data sources.  Again, I'm not an expert on the physics of these models so I would not be a great source on the nuts and bolts of how the models are initialized.  My knowledge comes from reading NCEP products and following their conversations.  If they tell me there is a hole in their data gathering and they want better samples, I run with it! ;)