Monday, February 23, 2015

Please stop

Message to Old Man Winter: Please STOP.

10:45 AM EST 2/23 - As the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic shovel the remaining slop that became of Saturday's over-performing snowfall, eyes and minds are looking for how the winter pattern reaches conclusion. The one glimmer of hope we see in the distant long range is a potential for above normal temperatures toward the middle of March. However the next 2-3 weeks may make you feel like winter has decided to start over from the beginning. The updated overview of our concerns going forward:

  • MELTING AND REFREEZING SNOWPACK in the East as temperatures dropping to the teens tonight in metro areas and possibly single digits in northern/western and rural areas, with sub-zero readings in the Appalachians.
  • SERIES OF LARGE ARCTIC HIGHS will ontinue the wave train of bitter cold air over the next 5-7 days, first entering the northern Plains then drifting toward the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic. This will keep temperatures below normal for most of the week.
  • REACTIVATED SOUTHERN JET STREAM moving toward a more Spring-like pattern. It doesn't take an advanced meteorology degree to see how the convergence of this with large Arctic highs points to a primary hazard into early March: Multiple winter weather events. 
  • COASTAL MISCHIEF PLAYING AROUND on the medium range model maps, as evidenced by this westward creeping edge of precipitation from a coastal Low at the edge of the High. Image below is the Day 1-3 NOAA Liquid Potential through 7 AM Thursday.


THE PATTERN PLAN? SUCCESSIVE PERIODS OF WINTRY WEATHER may impact large areas late this week into early next week, starting in the Southwest - to the Deep South - to the Appalachians, then the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. One glance at the 6-10 day outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center is evidence enough the wild winter ride is not stopping anytime soon.


23 comments:

kyleZ said...

As soon as it comes it goes already melting like crazy say goodbye to the snow it might reach the upper 40s today at this rate. Ten inches compacted to two by night.

Foot's Forecast said...

Mother Nature: You win!

Flame said...

One thing to watch out for is snow dam. If pool of water doesn't go anywhere, that will turn into a solid block of ice! Very bad if that happens on roof or similar.

Morpheus said...

I respectfully disagree. Old Man winter just woke up from a long cold slumber this winter. I say bring it on old man, I am daring you to give us your worst...the colder the wetter the better!!!

BioPat said...

Like your thoughts Morpheus.

After snow blowing and shoveling 3 times between yesterday and today I need a break. I need to post homework fr the week and am hoping to get a test in this week but I am befuddled by the forecast and even unsure if we'll see school tomorrow after the refreezing occurs this evening.

kyleZ said...

No breaks for me bring on the cold and snow old man winter is finally out of nap mode I want to challenge Boston well maybe not atleast get above 30 inches on the season.

sjonathan said...

Morpheus is right!!!! bring it on, Old Man Winter!!! I've missed you, brotha!!!!

NeedaSnowday said...

I am Team Morph!!!

Yesterday only served to whet my appetite! We've gotten some pretty decent storms in March, right!?

Westsidehideaway said...

Westside Here. Let's focus on the next round of bad weather. Late next week?

Butch Dynomite said...

Word ...I didn't start stacking wood and buying salt in September for nothing...Bring it winter!

Morpheus said...

Hummm - think twice before bating old man winter. My driveway is on a fairly steep hill, bringing my garbage and recycling cans down behind me I hit a patch of melt water frozen over and I started to accelerate as the skied down the hill at an alarming rate. It felts like I was going down one of those ski jump ramps in the Olympics. The headlines flashed in front of my eyes man killed by his refuse on a patch of ice after daring old man winter to "Bring it on". It was colder and wetter...be carful out there!

Unknown said...

Wait what's wrong with foots forecast your the last one I would expect to be asking for spring. MD has only had cold this winter we finally get one storm and your talking spring? Pretty sure you've been hacked or need your head examined. Spring leads to heat and humidity which is bad.

Lizzy B said...

Agreed, Johnny Thrift! Dislike!

Unknown said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Morpheus said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Morpheus said...

The good old GEM is showing some nice bands of heavy snow right over DC/Bowie Thursday am...could be interesting and if it creeps north could be some fun more than just for us lowlanders. Well have the cold, so a few more inches anyone??? awful quiet around here...

kyleZ said...

Well if it's gonna snow a foot in North Carolina and southern Virginia then you know it's most likely not our storm up In the counties bordering pa maybe south of Baltimore so enjoy it although could use a surprise storm hopefully it keeps creeping north.

Butch Dynomite said...

Yeah quiet. ...there's enough precip on the board the next few days to at least hope for something...

notsofreestate said...

Any updates on possibilities for the weekend?

Amy said...

My students are hopeful that tonight will affect school tomorrow. Bwahaha. I'm not sure it's even enough to worry about a delay. I told then to try the homework test.

Anonymous said...

JB has up to two inches for south Baltimore County. Thoughts, Foots team??

kristia35 said...

Shift it 100 miles north and I'm in

Amy said...

My students are hopeful that tonight will affect school tomorrow. Bwahaha. I'm not sure it's even enough to worry about a delay. I told then to try the homework test.